Timberwolves vs. Suns Odds & Betting Predictions - March 30, 2023

Ayton grabbed 8 boards in 30 min in his return last game. Seems like a good time to buy low against Min who rank bottom 5 in off reb% for/against. Projecting this closer to 10.5 with a 60% chance to clear 9.5

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From my Player Props Forecast: When Durant last returned to play, he logged 27 minutes against the Charlotte Hornets and scored 23 points. His points prop opened as high as 25.5 and was bet down to 22.5 or even 21.5. I would expect a similar minutes limit in his return. In his last 25 career games with at least 10 minutes played but fewer than 27, he has scored 30 points once, 25 points once, 23 points twice, 22 points four times, 21 points three times, and 20 points twice. His minutes limit seemed to be removed after just two games though, when he played the Mavericks and torched them for 37 points in 40 minutes on March 5. If this line opens above 22.5 I will likely be playing an under. https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/nba-player-props-betting-forecast-lebron-james-kevin-durant-march-27-april-1

MIN 24-14 (63%) ATS 1H on road, 8-1 ATS L9 1H on road. PHX trailed in 1H in 2/3 KD games so far.

Pretty low number. Played 32 MIN vs. GSW and scored 15 PTS on 5-16 FG. Now has a bigger role on the team (FGA and USG%) going from D’Lo to Conley. Size mismatch w/ Ayton guarding Gobert. #PlayerProps

BUCKETS pod in the AM

Over in 4 straight and 6/7 vs Ayton