Suns vs. Thunder Odds & Betting Predictions - February 6, 2025

Suns at Thunder

2:30 am • ESPN

Phoenix Suns

26-28

109

109 - 140

Oklahoma City Thunder

44-9

140

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Suns 26-28	+13.5	+13-110	o230-110	+540
Thunder 44-9	u224.5	-13-110	u230-112	-774

Thursday 2:30 a.m.

February 06, 2025

Paycom CenterOklahoma City

PHX +15.5-145

1.1u

R.O'Neale u2.5 3pt M+100

2.8u

I.Hartenstein o22.5 Pts+Rebs-120

D.Booker o3.5 Rebs-130

1.1u

PHX +13.5-110

0.54u

Big Spread Underdog System 📊 Plays are 35-13-1 (73%) ATS all time covering by an average margin of 4.15 PPG. System Breakdown: - Regular Season Games Only - Spread Range (10+ points) - Team Win Percentage (51% - 81%) - Opponent's Win Streak (2 games) Theory: This system targets moderately strong teams (51%-81% win rate) in regular-season games with a large spread (10+ points) against opponents on a two-game win streak. The theory suggests that favorites in these scenarios are often overvalued, making the underdog a strong play against the spread.

J.Williams u1.5 Stl+108

1.2u

G.Allen u3.5 Rebs-110

1.27u

L.Dort o3.5 Rebs-125

N.Richards o8.5 Rebs-115

1.15u

Accidentally duped this bet

I.Hartenstein o11.5 Rebs-115

1.15u

PHX +13.5-112

1.12u

PHX +560

0.5u

D.Booker u26.5 Pts-122

Collab @CamIsMoney18

D.Booker u26.5 Pts-112

0.89u

OKC -13-110

I.Hartenstein o11.5 Rebs-105

0.53u

#Tailing @JoeDellera

I.Hartenstein Double-Double (Yes)+105

0.5u

I.Hartenstein o11.5 Rebs+100

0.5u

Put a half unit on each of these. I kept waffling between the two for which angle I like better so I'll split my bet this way. He's averaging 11.7 points and 12.4 rebounds per game with a double double in 62% of games this season. His history against the Suns is bad but it's entirely irrelevant based on his prior role and the Suns' prior personnel. In one game against Nick Richards earlier this season when he played for the Hornets, Hartenstein racked up a 12 point 15 rebound double double. Hartenstein should crush today on the glass while also contributing some dunks and floaters on the offensive side of the ball.

I.Hartenstein o27.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-110

1.1u

Fading the Suns’ interior defense as they have been getting crushed by centers as of late. Since acquiring Nick Richards from the Hornets 9 games ago, the Suns have been dead last in attempts in the paint leading to the 3rd most paint points allowed. It is clear Richards was not the answer to their interior issues. Phoenix is also bottom 10 in defending the center in pick n roll defense which the Thunder run at the 3rd highest rate. With SGA’s elite scoring ability, the two man game should be unstoppable. Over the last 10 games Hartenstein is averaging 22+ rebound chances which is the 3rd highest league wide along with 6+ assists chances. Against a poor Suns’ defense, expect Hartenstein to fill up the stat sheet tonight in a prime matchup. This bet can be found on DraftKings

I.Hartenstein o22.5 Pts+Rebs-115

N.Richards o8.5 Rebs-115

1.15u

OKC -12.5-105

0.26u

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NBA Public Betting

Thunder are 5-0 in their last 5 games.
Thunder are 3-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Thunder are 13-9 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Thunder' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 17 of Thunder' 30 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Thunder	33-18-3	20-9-1	13-9-2	31-17-3	2-1
Suns	19-34-1	8-18-1	11-16	11-20-1	7-14

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Thunder	29-25	17-13	12-12	28-23	1-2
Suns	27-27	9-18	18-9	17-15	9-12

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Thunder	44-9	N/A	N/A	42-9	2-1
Suns	26-28	N/A	N/A	21-11	4-17

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Feb 4th	MIL	W 125-96	-17.5 W	U 226.5	OKC -1895
Feb 2nd	SAC	W 144-110	-7.5 W	O 237.5	OKC -302
Jan 30th	@GSW	L 109-116	-9.5 L	O 224	GSW -429
Jan 26th	@POR	W 118-108	-14 L	O 225.5	OKC -900
Jan 24th	DAL	L 115-121	-11.5 L	O 224.5	DAL -600