Pacers vs. Celtics Odds & Betting Predictions - December 28, 2024

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Lost outright last matchup

Derrick White ⬇️ 3.5 Threes (-125 @ DraftKings) THE BOUNCE 📽️: 2.90 Threes Derrick White faces the Indiana Pacers tonight in a matchup where the under on his 3.5 three-point line looks like a solid value play. **1. Recent Performance Trends** White has stayed under 3.5 made threes in 7 of his last 10 games. He's averaging 3.1 made threes per game over this span, with 9.2 attempts per game. This aligns with the under as his volume hasn't consistently translated to a high success rate. **2. Previous Matchup vs. Indiana** In their last meeting two months ago, White only attempted five threes (but impressively made all five). This was an outlier in terms of efficiency and doesn't suggest repeatable volume tonight. **3. Indiana’s Defensive Strength** The Pacers are limiting opponents to the 8th fewest made threes per game league-wide. They also rank 8th in three-point defense against shooting guards specifically, which is directly relevant to White's role. **4. Market Value and Sharp Action** The under is showing clear positive expected value (+EV) when compared to sharper sportsbooks: FanDuel: -154 Pinnacle: -153 These lines suggest strong confidence in the under, providing additional justification for the play. With a spread of -12.5, White could also see fewer mins in a blowout.