Mavericks vs. Clippers Odds & Betting Predictions - May 2, 2024

Mavericks at Clippers

2:00 am • TNT

Dallas Mavericks

4-2

123

123 - 93

Los Angeles Clippers

2-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mavericks 4-2	-3	-3-106	o209-110	-142
Clippers 2-4	u209	+3-113	u209-110	+120

Thursday 2:00 a.m.

May 02, 2024

Crypto.com ArenaLos Angeles

J.Harden o7.5 Ast-150

1.5u

K.Irving o30.5 Pts+Ast-115

0.58u

#Tailing @kylemurray03

D.Gafford u7.5 Pts-105

0.26u

DAL -2.5-112

0.89u

LAC +3-109

1.09u

N.Powell o14.5 Pts+Rebs-121

J.Harden o13.5 Rebs+Ast-125

1.25u

K.Irving o30.5 Pts+Ast-120

1.2u

P.Washington o1.5 3pt M-115

0.58u

IT’S 3PM SOMEWHERE!!

DAL -3-111

J.Harden o21.5 Pts-113

1.13u

DAL -3-110

0.91u

@HPBasketball

Over 208.5-110

0.91u

@TurveyBets

I.Zubac o25.5 Pts+Rebs-108

@TurveyBets

LAC +130

0.5u

Has to be done

I.Zubac o12.5 Rebs+175

0.5u

ZUCCI

I.Zubac o14.5 Rebs+360

0.25u

GRABS

I.Zubac o16.5 Rebs+800

0.25u

I.Zubac o10.5 Rebs-120

Zucci Mane

DAL -3.5-105

Under 209-110

P.Washington o1.5 3pt M-130

Royal told me to do this

P.Washington o1.5 3pt M-108

1.08u

Under 209-110

N.Powell o11.5 Pts-120

Full write-up: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/propbetguy-bet-norman-powell-prop-mavericks-vs-clippers-game-5-wednesday-may-1

J.Harden u3.5 3pt M-155

This should be -135* Nice sell high. This is a coach speak and regression spot. Without Kawhi in Game 4, Harden went 4-5 from 3PT (80%), going 3-3 from 3PT in the first half on tightly contested shots, followed by only attempting one 3-pointer in the 2nd half. The splits were not a coincidence as it was all part of Mavs coach Jason Kidd’s scheme. His comments in the postgame media acknowledged the game plan was to bait him into taking 2s, which is better off than shooting 3s. Harden was less than 30% on his floaters during the regular season so this checks out. Harden averages 3.19 3PM Per-36 MIN in the 418 minutes this season with Paul George ON the court and Kawhi/Batum/Covington/Hyland/PJ OFF the court. Expecting the very most 6-7 attempts out of Harden here. That has a hit rate of 19/22 going U3.5 3PM (86.4%) should that be the case. It’s unlikely lack of volume will meet with efficiency. #PlayerProps

Under 209-110

Trench warfare - playoff edition

L.Doncic u9.5 Ast-130

Only way I’d ever fade Luka

L.Doncic o32.5 Pts-128

$50.00

Under in 3 straight games, bro is cooking tonight

J.Harden u3.5 3pt M-125

0.5u

#Tailing @ChrisRaybon

J.Harden u3.5 3pt M-125

0.8u

N.Powell o14.5 Pts+240

0.2u

N.Powell o10.5 Pts-125

The Clippers and Mavericks are in a tightly contested series and are tied 2-2 headed into Game 5. Kawhi Leonard (knee) has already been ruled out and the primary beneficiary has been Norman Powell despite Amir Coffey joining the starting lineup. Powell has averaged 13.9 ppg in 26.2 minutes per game on the season. It’s a bit surprising that he has actually averaged 1 point fewer in 14 games without Kawhi than with him this season (12.9 vs 13.9); however, the volume has increased in the games without him. Besides the anticipated uptick in volume, Powell has played well the last two games with 21 and 11 points. He is a capable scorer and he has played nearly 30 mins in each game this series. When Powell has played 25+ minutes this season, he has averaged 15.5 points and exceeded this 10.5 line in 84% of games. Even if this bumps to 11.5, he’s exceeded this in 76% of games. I expect Powell to take advantage of the increased workload and exceed 10.5 points today and don’t mind a sprinkle of 15+ (+240 FD).

Under 209.5-110

2.25u

Featured Insight
The Mavericks have shot 48% (391/816) in close and late situations this season -- T-8th-best in the NBA; the Clippers have allowed opponents to shoot 48% in close and late situations this season -- T-6th-worst in the NBA.

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Featured Insight
The Clippers has a TS% of 51% in close and late situations this season -- T-9th-best in the NBA; the Mavericks have allowed a TS% of 53% in close and late situations this season -- 5th-worst in the NBA.

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NBA Public Betting

Clippers are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Clippers are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Clippers are 20-21 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Clippers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 18 of Clippers' 41 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Clippers	38-44	18-23	20-21	32-31	6-13
Mavericks	48-34	21-20	27-14	32-18	15-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Clippers	36-44-2	18-22-1	18-22-1	28-34-1	8-10-1
Mavericks	36-45-1	16-25	20-20-1	22-28	13-17-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Clippers	2-4	N/A	N/A	46-17	5-14
Mavericks	13-9	N/A	N/A	37-13	12-19

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 28th	@DAL	W 116-111	+7 W	O 209.5	LAC +222
Apr 27th	@DAL	L 90-101	+4.5 L	U 214.5	DAL +157
Apr 24th	DAL	L 93-96	-1 L	U 216.5	DAL -115
Apr 21st	DAL	W 109-97	+3.5 W	U 223.5	LAC +135
Apr 14th	HOU	L 105-116	+4 L	U 223.5	HOU +146