Lakers vs. Timberwolves Odds & Betting Predictions - December 3, 2024

Reaves is questionable, so worst case scenario if he's out it'll void but he won't be on any kind of minutes limit Reaves has covered in 12/18 w/ AD/Bron - AVG 16.6 PTS and 12.7 FGA. His line has been consistently set to 16.5-17.5 over the last month and I think we're getting a discounted line after he's gone under in two straight, tough MU (OKC and SAS). Opening night Reaves scored 12 PTS vs. MIN but more importantly took 14 shots in that game. MIN allow the 9th highest PnR FREQ%/PPP to the BH and Reaves leads LAL in PnR FREQ%/possessions. Reaves has covered in 4/6 vs. teams who rank T10 in PnR FREQ% - five of those teams were also T10 in PPP and Reaves covered in 4/5 of those games. In the six games vs. the T10, Reaves AVG 13.7 FGA (+1.0 increase on FGA AVG). He's taken 12+ shots in all six games and has covered this line in 13/16 games when taking 12-17 FGA (17 FGA ceiling in these MU). AD also dominated in this game opening night, so it's possible we see a tweak from MIN to try and limit AD.

Read full writeup on X: https://x.com/PicksOffice Minnesota's scoring struggles persist, averaging 103.6 PPG in a 1-4 stretch, despite Anthony Edwards' leadership. Defense and rebounding, led by Gobert, slow games down. The Lakers, on a back-to-back, rely on Davis but face road inefficiency, scoring 110.3 PPG. A prior matchup hit 110-103, highlighting defensive play. With both teams excelling defensively and pace slowed, the under at 222 stands out.

📊 Projection ~ 216.2

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