Lakers vs. Nuggets Odds & Betting Predictions - May 17, 2023

AD cleared this in 5 of 6 games in the series against GS, but this is a good time to fade his assists prop. He only averaged 3.7 potential assists a game, but was able to convert on 20 of his 22 potential assists (91% rate). Expect him to regress closer to his season average of 60% going forward, but even that might be a bit high considering the Lakers team total is 9 points lower than their season average. Projecting this closer to -150

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U6.5 AST in 6 straight vs. AD. 40 of the 73 AST (54%) go to Jokic, mostly via PnR. DEN ranks #1 in this playtype, & faced PHX who were 2nd worst in defending. LAL defend 3rd best + will have better coverage/help on Jokic. #PlayerProps

Late putting this into the app but check hundreds podcast on the ringer

Previously, LAL sent help 73% of time on Jokic post-ups, creating open looks for DEN shooters. He’s their worst, & LBJ should sag-off creating chances. 5+ 3PA in 4 of L5 vs LAL. AG shooting 43.8% from 3PT @ home in the playoffs. #PlayerProps

@HPBasketball

Full write up: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/nba-player-props-today-bet-anthony-davis-lakers-vs-nuggets-may-16

Bookies

Via Jay Money

Bet at FanDuel. Nuggets & KCP on 3+ Days Rest has been Lights Out this season. Shooting 60% from 3PT in this spot and averaging 2.6 3PM per game. In 7 games during regular season with 3+ days rest, KCP hit at least 2x 3PT in 5 of them. In G1 vs Twolves and G1 vs Suns, KCP hit 3+ 3PT in both games as it was 3+ Days Rest. In 4 games vs Lakers during regular season, KCP shot 53% from 3PT.