Heat vs. Celtics Odds & Betting Predictions - May 18, 2023

Heat at Celtics

12:30 am • TNT

Miami Heat

4-3

123

123 - 116

Boston Celtics

3-4

116

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Heat 4-3	+8.5-109	o212.5-110	+305
Celtics 3-4	-8.5-111	u212.5-110	-377

Thursday 12:30 a.m.

May 18, 2023

TD GardenBoston

A.Horford o5.5 Rebs+220

1.1u

D.White o2.5 3pt M+500

1.25u

MIA +8.5-109

MIA +300

0.75u

MIA +320

0.32u

MIA +9-120

0.33u

BOS -8.5-110

1.1u

M.Strus o11.5 Pts-120

0.83u

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M.Smart o3.5 Rebs-108

1.08u

J.Brown o5.5 Rebs-135

Over 213-105

Over 213-110

0.91u

BOS -8-110

$175.00

Over 211-110

C.Martin o12.5 Pts+Rebs-130

0.77u

D.White o1.5 3pt M+130

0.65u

MIA +290

1.45u

D.White o7.5 Pts-125

Gave this out earlier. Hits 4/4 vs MIA. Same PTS line he had in Game 7 vs. PHI in repressed role. This is a new series. I see 23+ MIN. Expect MIA to go more small-ball in 2nd half, & White to benefit off zone coverage. #PlayerProps

MIA +8.5-110

J.Tatum u29.5 Pts-114

1.14u

28.3 PPG in Playoffs. Spo’s the best at scheming to slow down #1 weapons. Tatum avg. 20.7 drives/g L3 vs PHI & was aggressive, but MIA rank 4th best in PITP allowed. 36.8 eFG% on jumpshots. Tough vs. zone coverage. #PlayerProps

G.Vincent u3.5 Ast+105

1.05u

Gave out on Green Dot Daily

D.White o12.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-110

0.91u

Over 211.5-110

BOS -8-110

1.1u

D.White o12.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-117

0.85u

Good buy-low. Will have a write up and will also break it down on today's GDD ep.

MIA o101.5-108

0.93u

A.Horford o6.5 Rebs-125

MIA +8.5-110

0.45u

MIA +300

0.45u

A.Horford o6.5 Rebs-124

0.5u

J.Tatum u29.5 Pts-113

1.13u

Bet at FanDuel. Large spread (-8) and lower total than regular season meetings. Less points to go around. Expect Heat to key in on Tatum defensively and try to reduce possessions. Blowout potential could also see Tatum play less in 4Q. Bit of a risky bet here but after scoring 51 in last game, Tatum in prime letdown spot.

MIA +8-106

$0.94

D.White o7.5 Pts-120

J.Tatum o4.5 Ast-145

B.Adebayo o17.5 Pts-118

Over 210.5-110

MIA +300

MIA +8.5-110

J.Tatum o4.5 Ast-139

A.Horford Double-Double (Yes)+1025

0.2u

Number is too high. Averages 9.1 and 9 against Miami the last 2 seasons.

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NBA Public Betting

Celtics are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Celtics are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Celtics are 20-18 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Celtics' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 21 of Celtics' 41 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Celtics	38-41-3	18-23	20-18-3	37-39-3	1-2
Heat	39-42-1	22-19	17-23-1	21-24	18-18-1

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Celtics	37-45	21-20	16-25	37-42	0-3
Heat	44-38	25-16	19-22	26-19	18-19

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Celtics	6-5	N/A	N/A	60-19	1-2
Heat	0-4	N/A	N/A	26-19	11-26

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 14th	PHI	W 112-88	-6 W	U 201.5	BOS -245
May 11th	@PHI	W 95-86	-2.5 W	U 210.5	BOS -140
May 9th	PHI	L 103-115	-8 L	O 213.5	PHI -330
May 7th	@PHI	L 115-116	-	O 214	PHI -110
May 5th	@PHI	W 114-102	-2.5 W	O 214	BOS -138