Grizzlies vs. Thunder Odds & Betting Predictions - December 30, 2024

Grizzlies at Thunder

12:00 am • FDSOK

Memphis Grizzlies

37-19

106

106 - 130

Oklahoma City Thunder

45-10

130

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Grizzlies 37-19	+7.5	+8-105	o235.5-110	+252
Thunder 45-10	u228	-8-115	u235.5-108	-312

Monday 12:00 a.m.

December 30, 2024

Paycom CenterOklahoma City

MEM -2.5 (2H)-110

J.Wells o2.5 3pt M+200

0.5u

J.Wells o14.5 Pts+200

0.5u

D.Bane u30.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-137

0.69u

Grizzlies missing a ton of players but I’m trusting this OKC defense to slow down Bane. OKC allows 3rd fewest assists, fewest points per game, 2nd lowest 3%, lowest FG%. Alex Caruso is out but Lu Dort and Cason Wallace being back is important. Projections have Bane at 30.9 so feel free to play light, but my personal projections have him lower than this and I’m going to trust this OKC defense.

J.Wells o15.5 Pts+Rebs-120

MEM +250

0.25u

MEM +8-110

0.5u

Tailing @Steakfriend123

I.Hartenstein o13 Pts-104

MEM +8-105

@Steakfriend123

MEM +8-110

Tailing @Steakfriend123

MEM +194 (1H)

MEM +8-112

1.12u

MEM +4.5 (1H)-104

1.04u

J.Jackson u9.5 Rebs+Ast-135

0.5u

Grizzlies are down a lot of players (Morant, Edey, Smart, Aldama) and we’re still waiting word on Brandon Clarke. Current projections have JJJ at 8.76 RA with Clarke in, and I personally have him projected closer to 8 RA. Thunder do allow 2nd most rebounds per game but allow 3rd fewest assists per game, so if he beats us it’s likely via rebounds. I’m hoping JJJ is forced to take on a larger role on offense and it’s at the sacrifice of his rebound and assist rates.

MEM +270

D.Bane u31.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-115

0.9u

J.Williams o1.5 3pt M-125

S.Gilgeous-Alexander o31.5 Pts-111

@Fatgurls

Over 232.5-110

J.Williams o21.5 Pts-120

1.2u

MEM +6.5-110

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MEM +7.5-110

Read full writeup on X: https://x.com/PicksOffice

OKC -7.5-111

0.5u

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NBA Public Betting

Thunder are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Thunder are 3-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Thunder are 14-10 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Thunder' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 17 of Thunder' 30 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Thunder	34-19-3	20-9-1	14-10-2	32-18-3	2-1
Grizzlies	34-20-2	17-9-1	17-11-1	24-12-2	10-8

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Thunder	30-26	17-13	13-13	29-24	1-2
Grizzlies	34-22	13-14	21-8	20-18	14-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Thunder	45-10	N/A	N/A	43-10	2-1
Grizzlies	37-19	N/A	N/A	30-8	7-11

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Dec 28th	@CHA	W 106-94	-14 L	U 214.5	OKC -1024
Dec 27th	@IND	W 120-114	-5 W	O 227.5	OKC -220
Dec 24th	WAS	W 123-105	-17.5 W	O 226.5	OKC -2100
Dec 21st	@MIA	W 104-97	-1 W	U 217.5	OKC -112
Dec 20th	@ORL	W 105-99	-6.5 L	U 208.5	OKC -278