Bulls vs. Mavericks Odds & Betting Predictions - November 7, 2024

Bulls at Mavericks

1:30 am • KFAA

Chicago Bulls

31-51

99 - 119

Dallas Mavericks

26-56

119

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Bulls 31-51	+10.5	+10.5-112	o237-108	+387
Mavericks 26-56	u230.5	-10.5-115	u237-110	-520

Thursday 1:30 a.m.

November 07, 2024

American Airlines CenterDallas

N.Marshall o9.5 Pts-137

0.69u

D.Gafford o19.5 Pts+Rebs-107

D.Gafford o19.5 Pts+Rebs-120

0.83u

Over 116.5 (1H)-105

1.58u

N.Vucevic o32.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-115

1.15u

K.Thompson o16.5 Pts-112

1.12u

P.Williams o4.5 Rebs+114

0.57u

K.Irving u34.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-116

D.Gafford o10.5 Pts+100

The Mavericks take on the Bulls and I’m targeting a matchup on the interior. I think this is a good spot for Gafford who lines up opposite Nikola Vucevic. When these teams last played, both Gafford and Lively went off for 20 and 22 points respectively. Tonight, Lively is listed as Questionable and it’s possible he does not play at all or is limited. I have this line as fair if Lively is in, but a great value if Lively is out. The Bulls are playing at the fastest-Pace in the NBA and they are allowing the sixth-highest rim rate and the second-highest Rim Shooting Efficiency (70.6%), per Dunks and Threes. I’ll back Gafford to exceed 10.5 points.

Over 234-110

Read full writeup on X: https://x.com/PicksOffice Chicago and Dallas should exceed the total, with Chicago’s high pace and weak defense allowing plenty of scoring. Both teams trend towards the Over, and Dallas’s efficient offense led by Doncic can capitalize. Chicago’s poor defense and Dallas’s tempo adjustment favor a high-scoring game.

J.Giddey o6.5 Rebs-128

1.28u

Over 234-111

$2000.00

Featured Insight
The Bulls had a TS% of 51% in close and late situations last season -- 8th-best in the NBA; the Mavericks allowed a TS% of 53% in close and late situations last season -- 5th-worst in the NBA.

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Featured Insight
The Mavericks were 36-10 (.783) when making 15 or more three-pointers last season -- T-5th-best in the NBA; the Bulls allowed 14.6 made three-pointers per game last season -- 2nd-worst in the NBA.

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NBA Public Betting

Mavericks are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Mavericks are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mavericks are 17-24 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Mavericks' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 22 of Mavericks' 41 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mavericks	37-45	20-21	17-24	9-14	28-31
Bulls	38-43-1	20-20-1	18-23	9-20-1	29-23

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mavericks	37-45	22-19	15-26	9-14	28-31
Bulls	37-45	15-26	22-19	13-17	24-28

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mavericks	26-56	N/A	N/A	12-11	14-45
Bulls	31-51	N/A	N/A	13-17	18-34

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Nov 5th	IND	L 127-134	-4.5 L	O 236.5	IND -194
Nov 4th	ORL	W 108-85	-7 W	U 220	DAL -270
Nov 1st	HOU	L 102-108	-6.5 L	U 226	HOU -259
Oct 29th	@MIN	W 120-114	+4 W	O 220.5	DAL +145
Oct 29th	UTA	W 110-102	-12 L	U 231.5	DAL -724