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Bucks vs. Nuggets Odds & Betting Predictions - March 27, 2025

Bucks at Nuggets

1:00 am • ALT

Milwaukee Bucks

8-7
117
117 - 127

Denver Nuggets

11-3
127

Bucks at Nuggets Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Bucks
8-7
+2.5
+11.5-105
o228-110
+452
Nuggets
11-3
u226.5
-11.5-115
u228-110
-612
location pinThursday 1:00 a.m.
March 27, 2025
Ball ArenaDenver
Bucks vs. Nuggets Expert Picks
Brandon Kravitz
Brandon Kravitz
Last 30d: 77-84-2 (-2.3u)
MIL +7.5 (Live)-105
0.5u
Brian Condon
Brian Condon
Last 30d: 2-26-1 (-13.0u)
M.Porter o15.5 Pts-116
0.86u
Joker is back and surprisingly MPJ is significantly worse with Jokic out. Big man elevates MPJ: 21 overs. 6 unders. when Jokic plays at home 3 overs. 11 unders. When Jokic is out
Scott Rickenbach
Scott Rickenbach
Last 30d: 118-92-0 (+13.1u)
DEN -182
0.55u
Kyle Murray
Kyle Murray
Last 30d: 88-96-6 (-12.5u)
N.Jokic u48.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-115
1.15u
Steak Friend
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
MIL +6.5 (1H)-108
1u
MIL +270 (1H)
1u
MIL +10.5-110
1u
MIL +365
1u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 211-195-13 (+7.5u)
N.Jokic u12.5 Rebs+100
3u
19.32% ev pinny line -172
Picks Office
Picks Office
Last 30d: 208-180-4 (+14.4u)
DEN -4.5-110
0.91u
Jokic back at home? Yeah, give me Denver. Bucks down Lillard (DVT), Portis (suspension), Sims (thumb) — Giannis can't carry it all. Nuggets score 120.7 PPG (3rd), hit 50.5% FG (2nd), and shoot even better at Ball Arena — 122.7 PPG and 50.5% FG at home. Bucks allowing 117 PPG on the road. Milwaukee's defense slipping: 45.4% Opp FG, 46.9% allowed on the road, gave up 118.6 PPG over last 5. Denver offense humming even without Jokic — Murray averaging 33.5 PPG last two, Watson just dropped 24. Now Jokic likely returns: 29.1 PPG, 12.8 REB, 10.3 AST. Huge boost inside & out. Denver owns the matchup — covered 4 of last 6 vs MIL at home. Bucks 6-2 ATS last 8 but fading late, offense dipped to 107.2 PPG over last 5. Denver outrebounds, shoots better, and brings more firepower at altitude. Nuggets need the win to hold playoff seeding — this spot matters.
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 211-195-13 (+7.5u)
G.Antetokounmpo u11.5 Rebs+110
1u
5.91% ev pinny line -117
Player Prop Savant
Player Prop Savant
Last 30d: 38-48-0 (-16.8u)
G.Antetokounmpo o50.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-117
1.17u
49.5 on Dk
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 211-195-13 (+7.5u)
R.Westbrook u25.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-110
0.55u
3.06% ev pinny line -135
M.Porter o7.5 Rebs+105
0.63u
3.39% ev pinny line -117
B.Lopez u25.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-130
0.9u
3.5% ev pinny line -163
Brian Bitler
Brian Bitler
Last 30d: 95-88-2 (+10.2u)
MIL +6-105
3u

Bucks vs. Nuggets Previews & Analysis

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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Bucks vs. Nuggets Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Bucks

Public

Home Logo

Nuggets

53%

Bets%

47%

Money%

NBA Public Betting Right Arrow

Betting Trends

  • Nuggets are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
  • Nuggets are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
  • Nuggets are 4-3 in their road games against the spread
  • The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Nuggets' last 5 games
  • The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Nuggets' 7 last games at home

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Nuggets		9-55-24-39-40-1
Bucks		7-95-42-53-54-4

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Nuggets		8-64-34-37-61-0
Bucks		9-77-22-54-45-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Nuggets		11-3N/AN/A11-20-1
Bucks		8-8N/AN/A5-33-5

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Mar 25thCHIL 119-129-2.5 LO 239CHI -135
Mar 23rd@HOUW 116-111+8 WO 223DEN +260
Mar 22nd@PORL 109-128-1.5 LO 227.5POR -130
Mar 20th@LALL 108-120+5.5 LO 224LAL +177
Mar 18th@GSWW 114-105+13 WU 232.5DEN +525

Nuggets vs. Bucks Injury Updates

Nuggets Injuries

  • Aaron Gordon
    PF

    Aaron Gordon (injury management) out Wednesday.

    Out

  • Christian Braun
    SG

    Braun is out with ankle

    Out

  • Julian Strawther
    SG

    Strawther is out with back

    Out

Bucks Injuries

  • Giannis Antetokounmpo
    PF

    Antetokounmpo is out with adductor

    Out

  • Taurean Prince
    SF

    Taurean Prince (neck) out Friday.

    Out

  • Kevin Porter
    SG

    Porter is out with knee

    Out

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Player Stats
  • scoring
    Nikola Jokic logo
    Nikola Jokic
    39
    ppg
  • rebounding
    player logo
    -
    10
    rpg
  • assists
    Nikola Jokic logo
    Nikola Jokic
    10
    apg
  • shooting
    player logo
    -
    77.8
    fg%
Team Stats

46-89 (52%)
Field Goals
49-90 (54%)
9-13 (69%)
Free Throws
13-22 (59%)
16-37 (43%)
3P
16-37 (43%)
39
Rebounds
46
30
Assists
36
Turnovers
4
Steals
6
6
Blocks
4
14
Fouls
12

Bucks vs. Nuggets Odds Comparison

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Bucks at Nuggets Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Bucks
8-7
o107.5-110
u107.5-110
Nuggets
11-3
o119.5-118
u119.5-102