Yankees vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - July 26, 2024

Yankees at Red Sox

11:10 pm • NESN

New York Yankees

5-1

7 - 9

Boston Red Sox

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Bello			4.49	14-8
N.Cortes			3.77	9-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Yankees 5-1	-1.5+130	o9.5-105	-125
Red Sox 0-0	+1.5-155	u9.5-115	+105

Friday 11:10 p.m.

July 26, 2024

Fenway ParkBoston

J.Soto o0.5 HR+420

0.25u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-108

BOS +0.5 (F5)-135

0.74u

BOS +105

1.05u

Over 9.5-110

$1363.64

Over 9.5-108

Over 0.5 (1st Inn)-115

NYY -120 (F5)

1.2u

N.Cortes u16.5 Outs-115

0.87u

Projection lands at 16.09 and a +ev pick giving us value at this number

N.Cortes u16.5 Outs-114

Cortes under 16.5 outs - [ ] 6.04 ERA on the road - [ ] Under in 8/10 road starts - [ ] Walks rate on road almost doubles - [ ] Sox not a great team at hitting lefties, but they are relatively patient - seeing above avg pitches per PA

Featured Insight
Yankees have a strikeout rate of 25% vs right-handed batters over the last two weeks -- third highest in MLB. Red Sox right-handed hitters have struck out 29% against LHP over the last two weeks -- third highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Red Sox have scored 5.7 runs per game over the last week -- fourth highest in MLB (6 games). The Yankees have allowed 5.3 runs per game over the last week -- fifth highest in MLB (6 games).

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The Red Sox are 6-3 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning this season -- tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Red Sox are 60-18 (.769) when they've hit 2 or more home runs since last season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .693.

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MLB Public Betting

Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Red Sox are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Red Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Red Sox' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	75-87	32-49	43-38	30-49	44-37
Yankees	80-82	35-46	45-36	62-72	18-9

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Red Sox	79-75-8	37-40-4	42-35-4	37-40-2	41-34-6
Yankees	87-69-6	45-33-3	42-36-3	76-54-4	11-14-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	81-81	38-43	43-38	42-37	38-43
Yankees	94-68	44-37	50-31	76-58	18-9

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 24th	@COL	L 7-20	-1.5 L	O 10.5	COL -148
Jul 24th	@COL	W 6-0	-1.5 W	U 11.5	BOS -160
Jul 23rd	@COL	L 8-9	-1.5 L	O 10	COL -169
Jul 21st	@LAD	L 6-9	-1.5 L	O 8.5	LAD -105
Jul 20th	@LAD	L 6-7	+1.5 W	O 9	LAD +114

Luis Garcia
P
Luis García Jr. has been scratched Sunday
Out
Lucas Giolito
P
Giolito is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Garrett Whitlock
P
Whitlock is out with oblique
Out
David Hamilton
IF
Hamilton is out with finger
Out

Nestor Cortes
P
Cortes is out with elbow
Out
JT Brubaker
P
Brubaker is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LN.Cortes, P	81	4.2	5	4
RT.Kahnle, P	22	1	3	0
LT.Hill, P	12	0.1	0	1
RL.Weaver, P	32	1.1	3	3
RC.Holmes, P	14	0.2	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Verdugo, RF	2-4	0	0	1
2J.Soto, LF	0-4	1	0	0
3A.Judge, DH	1-4	1	1	3
4A.Wells, C	3-5	1	1	1
5G.Torres, 2B	3-5	0	0	0
6B.Rice, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
6D.LeMahieu, 1B	0-1	0	0	0
7A.Volpe, SS	2-5	2	1	1
8T.Grisham, CF	1-3	1	0	1
9O.Cabrera, 3B	2-4	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Bello, P	80	5	4	3
LC.Booser, P	8	0.1	0	0
RJ.Winckowski, P	9	0.2	0	0
LB.Bernardino, P	9	0.1	0	2
RZ.Kelly, P	16	0.2	0	2
LB.Horn, P	14	1	0	0
RK.Jansen, P	18	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Duran, CF	1-5	0	0	0
2R.Refsnyder, LF	3-4	2	0	1
3C.Wong, C	2-4	2	0	0
4R.Devers, 3B	2-3	1	0	1
5T.O'Neill, RF	1-3	0	0	1
5W.Abreu, PH	1-1	1	0	1
5W.Abreu, RF	1-1	1	0	1
6M.Yoshida, DH	1-3	1	0	3
7R.Gonzalez, 1B	2-3	1	0	0
7R.Gonzalez, 2B	2-3	1	0	0
7D.Hamilton, PH	0-2	0	0	0
7D.Hamilton, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
8C.Rafaela, SS	1-4	1	1	2
9J.Westbrook, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
9D.Smith, PH	0-2	0	0	0
9D.Smith, 1B	0-2	0	0	0