Tigers vs. Twins Odds & Betting Predictions - April 20, 2024

Tigers at Twins

6:10 pm • BSN

Detroit Tigers

22-36

3 - 4

Minnesota Twins

27-31

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Ober			3.98	12-9
R.Olson			3.53	4-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Tigers 22-36	+1.5-180	o7-115	+120
Twins 27-31	-1.5+150	u7-105	-142

Saturday 6:10 p.m.

April 20, 2024

Target FieldMinneapolis

R.Olson u2.5 BB-105

0.5u

#Tailing @The_Oddsmaker

B.Ober u6.5 Ks-125

0.5u

#Tailing @The_Oddsmaker

R.Olson u2.5 BB-105

B.Ober u6.5 Ks-125

DET +127

R.Olson u6.5 Ks-145

0.69u

B.Ober u6.5 Ks-155

0.65u

B.Ober o15.5 Outs-130

0.85u

Under 8-115

0.5u

Bet to -118 or 7.5 (+100)

DET +114 (F5)

0.5u

Olson's 14.2 SwStr% suggests he's better than estimators around four. Ober's 4S FB has been smashed (> .500 wOBA & xwOBA) as it's leaked over the middle (just 8.8 SwStr%, 6.46 xERA). DET 13 pt wRC+ edge v RHP. DET superior defense.

Under 8-115

Featured Insight
Tigers RPs have allowed an OPS of just .524 (289 PAs) this season -- best in MLB. Twins hitters have an OPS of just .610 this season -- third worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Twins have allowed just 2.3 runs per game in the first five innings since last season -- fifth lowest in MLB (179 games). The Tigers have scored just 2.2 runs per game in the first five innings since last season -- tied for fourth lowest in MLB (181 games).

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Opening Pitch: Cunningham's MLB Bets for Saturday
Brad Cunningham•
Apr 20, 2024 UTC

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The Twins are 19-56 (.253) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .144.

42% of Edouard Julien strikeouts were looking last season -- sixth highest among hitters with at least 241 total PA's-- 98th Percentile. 46% of Jason Foley strikeouts were looking last season -- second highest among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .474 (9-for-19) against Reese Olson versus the bottom of the order this season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .222 -- first Percentile.

Reese Olson has 6 three-pitch strikeouts this season -- tied for 8th most among pitchers in MLB -- 98th Percentile.

Bailey Ober has thrown fastballs up 77% of the time (1,210/1,565) since the 2022 season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 45% -- 100th Percentile.

Bailey Ober has thrown fastballs up 86% of the time (328/379) with two-strikes since last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: 55% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Twins are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Twins are 14-15 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Twins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 14 of Twins' 29 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	31-27	17-12	14-15	8-8	23-18
Tigers	27-31	17-11	10-20	15-17	12-12

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Twins	32-21-5	14-11-4	18-10-1	9-6-1	22-15-4
Tigers	24-31-3	10-16-2	14-15-1	13-17-2	10-13-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	27-31	15-14	12-17	7-9	20-21
Tigers	22-36	14-14	8-22	15-17	7-17

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 20th	DET	L 4-5	-1.5 L	O 7	DET -158
Apr 17th	@BAL	L 2-4	-1.5 L	U 8.5	BAL +102
Apr 16th	@BAL	L 3-11	+1.5 L	O 8.5	BAL +141
Apr 15th	@BAL	L 4-7	+1.5 L	O 9	BAL +113
Apr 14th	@DET	L 3-4	+1.5 W	U 8.5	DET +110

Reese Olson
SP
Olson is out with shoulder
Out
Jackson Jobe
SP
Jobe is out with elbow
Out
Trey Sweeney
SS
Sweeney is out with shoulder
Out
Sawyer Gipson-Long
SP
Gipson-Long is out with oblique
Out
Beau Brieske
RP
Brieske is out with groin
Out

Pablo Lopez
SP
Lopez is out with elbow
Out
David Festa
SP
Festa is out with shoulder
Out
Travis Adams
SP
Adams is out with triceps
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RR.Olson, P	95	5	4	2
LJ.Wentz, P	23	1.2	1	0
RA.Lange, P	16	1.1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1R.Greene, LF	0-2	2	0
2W.Perez, RF	1-4	0	1
3S.Torkelson, 1B	0-4	0	0
4K.Carpenter, DH	1-4	0	1
5M.Vierling, 3B	2-4	1	0
6C.Keith, 2B	0-2	0	0
6B.Kennedy, PH	0-0	0	0
6B.Kennedy, 2B	0-0	0	0
6Z.McKinstry, PH	0-1	0	0
7J.Baez, SS	1-4	0	1
8P.Meadows, CF	0-4	0	0
9J.Rogers, C	0-2	0	0
9M.Canha, PH	0-1	0	0
9C.Kelly, C	0-0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Ober, P	82	6	6	1
LS.Okert, P	17	0.1	0	1
RC.Sands, P	10	0.2	1	0
LK.Funderburk, P	22	0.2	1	1
RM.Bowman, P	4	0.1	0	0
RG.Jax, P	12	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1E.Julien, 2B	1-3	0	0
2R.Jeffers, C	0-1	1	1
3A.Kirilloff, 1B	0-3	0	0
3C.Santana, PH	0-1	0	0
3C.Santana, 1B	0-1	0	0
4T.Larnach, RF	1-2	0	1
4M.Margot, PH	0-1	0	0
4M.Margot, RF	0-1	0	0
5B.Buxton, CF	2-4	1	0
6J.Miranda, 3B	0-3	0	0
6K.Farmer, 3B	0-0	0	0
7W.Castro, SS	1-2	0	1
8J.Camargo, DH	0-4	0	0
9A.Martin, LF	2-4	2	0