Royals vs. Diamondbacks Odds & Betting Predictions - April 25, 2023

Royals at Diamondbacks

1:40 am • BSAZ

Kansas City Royals

32-46

4 - 5

Arizona Diamondbacks

39-38

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Henry			4.15	5-4
B.Keller			4.57	3-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Royals 32-46	N/A	N/A	N/A
Diamondbacks 39-38	N/A	N/A	N/A

Tuesday 1:40 a.m.

April 25, 2023

Chase FieldPhoenix

ARI -1+100

KC +134

Over 10.5-105

1.05u

ARI -143

0.7u

KC +130

0.5u

Bet to +118

Over 10-104

Over 10-125

T.Henry u4.5 Ks-146

0.5u

KC +110 (F5)

0.4u

Joining the Keller folk

KC +110 (F5)

Brad Keller breakout szn

KC +110 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to +100

ARI -110

WTF is this line? Henry can't project much worse than Keller (14.9 BB%, 90.5 mph EV) - Both pens suck, but ARI about 30 pts better (wRC+) v RHP & the best defense in MLB. Considering bumping this to 1.5/2 units.

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The Diamondbacks are just 60-36 (.625) when totaling 10 or more hits since the 2021 season -- tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .732.

Josh Rojas has a miss rate of 46% on outside fastballs this season -- eighth worst among hitters with at least 30 total PA's-- third Percentile. Brad Keller has located his fastball away 49% of the time this season -- tied for 15th highest among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP-- 88th Percentile.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is batting just .067 on breaking pitches from RHP this season -- tied for fifth worst among hitters with at least 30 total PA's-- third Percentile. Brad Keller has thrown his slider 48% of the time this season -- second highest among qualified SPs-- 98th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Diamondbacks are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Diamondbacks are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Diamondbacks are 20-16 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Diamondbacks' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 16 of Diamondbacks' 41 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Diamondbacks	43-34	23-18	20-16	18-19	24-15
Royals	33-45	19-22	14-23	14-21	18-24

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Diamondbacks	33-41-3	16-24-1	17-17-2	13-23-1	19-18-2
Royals	37-40-1	21-19-1	16-21	21-14	16-25-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Diamondbacks	39-38	24-17	15-21	22-15	16-23
Royals	32-46	19-22	13-24	16-19	15-27

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 23rd	SD	L 5-7	-	-	-
Apr 23rd	SD	L 3-5	-	-	-
Apr 22nd	SD	W 9-0	-	-	-
Apr 21st	SD	L 5-7	-	-	-
Apr 19th	@STL	L 5-14	-	-	-

Corbin Burnes
SP
Burnes is out with elbow
Out
Blake Walston
SP
Walston is out with elbow
Out
Tyler Locklear
1B
Locklear is out with elbow
Out

Cristian Mena
SP
Mena is doubtful with shoulder
Doubtful

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Keller, P	95	4	2	4
RC.Hernandez, P	29	2	3	0
RJ.Cuas, P	9	1	0	0
LA.Chapman, P	27	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Witt, SS	0-4	0	0	0
2E.Olivares, LF	1-4	2	1	1
3V.Pasquantino, 1B	3-4	1	0	0
3F.Fermin, PR	0-0	0	0	0
4S.Perez, C	2-4	0	0	2
5F. Reyes, DH	0-5	0	0	0
6M.Massey, 2B	2-4	1	0	0
7M.Duffy, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
7N.Lopez, PH	0-0	0	0	0
7N.Lopez, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
8H. Dozier, RF	0-2	0	0	0
8K.Isbel, PH	1-2	0	0	1
8K.Isbel, CF	1-2	0	0	1
9J. Bradley, CF	0-4	0	0	0
9J. Bradley, RF	0-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LT.Henry, P	73	4.1	1	3
LK.Nelson, P	18	0.2	0	0
RS.McGough, P	26	1.2	1	0
RM.Castro, P	9	0.2	0	1
LA.Chafin, P	35	1.2	4	0
LA.Chafin, P	35	1.2	4	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1G.Perdomo, SS	2-4	0	1
2K.Marte, 2B	1-3	0	0
3C.Carroll, LF	1-3	1	0
3C.Carroll, CF	1-3	1	0
4E. Longoria, 3B	0-4	0	0
5L.Gurriel, DH	0-2	2	0
5L.Gurriel, LF	0-2	2	0
6P.Smith, 1B	2-3	1	1
6C.Walker, PH	0-0	1	0
6C.Walker, 1B	0-0	1	0
7G.Moreno, C	1-3	0	1
8A.Thomas, CF	0-2	0	1
8N.Ahmed, PH	0-1	0	1
9J.McCarthy, RF	0-3	0	0