Rockies vs. Twins Odds & Betting Predictions - June 11, 2024

Rockies at Twins

11:40 pm • COLR

Colorado Rockies

11-8

5 - 4

Minnesota Twins

6-9

pitcher		team	era	w-l
L.Varland			7.61	0-6
C.Quantrill			4.97	8-11

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Rockies 11-8	+1.5	+1.5-115	o8.5-110	+170
Twins 6-9	u8.5	-1.5-105	u8.5-110	-205

Tuesday 11:40 p.m.

June 11, 2024

Target FieldMinneapolis

L.Varland o5.5 Ks+112

COL +170

1.7u

Under 8.5-109

Over 8.5+100

0.25u

Small at +100 or better

Under 8.5-110

1.1u

COL +172

1.72u

Value play on the Rockies fading Louie Varland and a Twins team that is 3-6 in their last nine games.

COL +176

1.76u

COL +164 (F5)

COL +1.5-114

$50.00

Featured Insight
Rockies hitters have a groundball rate of 45% this season -- tied for fourth highest in MLB. Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Twins this season -- third lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Twins have scored 1.6 runs per game in late innings since last season -- fourth highest in MLB (227 games). The Rockies have allowed 1.7 runs per game in late innings since last season -- tied for highest in MLB (227 games).

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The Twins are just 5-11 (.312) after a road loss this season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .493.

Elias Diaz is batting .300 on breaking pitches this season -- seventh best in MLB-- 92nd Percentile. Steven Okert has thrown a breaking pitch 63% of the time this season -- ninth highest among qualified RPs-- 96th Percentile.

Ryan McMahon has struck out in 29% of PA's since the 2022 season -- fifth highest in MLB-- fourth Percentile. Jhoan Duran has a strikeout rate of 32% since the 2022 season -- 13th highest among qualified RPs-- 92nd Percentile.

Louie Varland has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 91.0 MPH in the 2023 season (192 balls in play) -- tied for 11th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 89.2

Cal Quantrill has a strikeout rate of just 32% (51 SO in 162 PAs) with two-strikes this season -- 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% -- second Percentile.

Cal Quantrill has a strikeout rate of just 9% (2 SO in 23 PAs) with two-strikes this month (2 games) -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 41% -- first Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Twins are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Twins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 43 of Twins' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	69-93	33-48	36-45	46-66	22-26
Rockies	80-82	43-38	37-44	3-2	77-80

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Twins	83-73-6	43-33-5	40-40-1	63-43-6	18-30
Rockies	80-80-2	37-43-1	43-37-1	3-2	77-78-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	82-80	43-38	39-42	63-49	18-30
Rockies	61-101	37-44	24-57	3-2	58-99

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 10th	COL	W 5-0	-1.5 W	U 8.5	MIN -250
Jun 9th	@PIT	W 11-5	-1.5 W	O 8.5	MIN +100
Jun 8th	@PIT	L 0-4	-1.5 L	U 9	PIT -130
Jun 7th	@PIT	L 0-3	-1.5 L	U 8	PIT -125
Jun 6th	@NYY	L 5-8	+1.5 L	O 8.5	NYY +125

Brenton Doyle
OF
Brenton Doyle has been Scratched Friday
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Quantrill, P	100	6	5	0
RV.Vodnik, P	22	0.1	1	2
LJ.Beeks, P	18	1.2	0	0
RT.Kinley, P	20	1	2	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Blackmon, DH	1-4	1	0	0
2B.Doyle, CF	0-3	1	0	0
3E.Tovar, SS	1-4	1	1	3
4R.McMahon, 3B	2-4	2	1	1
5J.Stallings, C	1-3	0	0	0
6M.Toglia, RF	0-2	0	0	1
6M.Toglia, 1B	0-2	0	0	1
7J.Cave, LF	1-4	0	0	0
8E.Montero, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
8G.Jones, RF	0-1	0	0	0
9A.Amador, 2B	0-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Varland, P	63	5	3	0
LC.Thielbar, P	18	0	0	4
RC.Sands, P	33	2.2	1	1
RJ.Staumont, P	13	1.1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Larnach, DH	0-3	0	0	0
1J.Miranda, PH	0-2	0	0	0
1J.Miranda, DH	0-2	0	0	0
2C.Correa, SS	1-3	0	0	0
3R.Lewis, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
4M.Kepler, RF	1-4	0	0	0
5R.Jeffers, C	0-4	0	0	0
6W.Castro, 2B	1-2	2	0	0
7B.Buxton, CF	2-4	1	1	2
8A.Kirilloff, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
8A.Kirilloff, LF	0-4	0	0	0
9M.Margot, LF	0-1	0	0	0
9C.Santana, PH	2-2	1	1	2
9C.Santana, 1B	2-2	1	1	2