Rockies vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - May 2, 2024

Rockies at Marlins

4:10 pm • COLR

Colorado Rockies

0-0

4 - 5

Miami Marlins

0-0

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Rockies 0-0	+1.5-148	o7.5-111	+145
Marlins 0-0	-1.5+124	u7.5-109	-175

Thursday 4:10 p.m.

May 02, 2024

loanDepot parkMiami

L.Arraez o1.5 Total Bases (Live)+100

1.5u

COL +145

E.Cabrera o6.5 Ks-122

He’s got amazing stuff - in the upper echelon of whiff and K rates, the concern has always been his ability to throw strikes. But this is an ideal matchup for him against a Rockies team that has the second highest out of zone swing %. Rockies in general are at 26% K% away from Coors - and they are throwing 7 righties at Cabrera today, and 7 hitters in total have an above avg K%. Cabrera over in 2/3.

COL +144

Under 8-115

... good strikeout pitchers take the under Overall: 310-216-17,59% (ROI:13%) Season:10-8-1,56% (ROI:7%)

COL +143

COL +154

0.5u

Bet to +145

Featured Insight
Rockies have won 76% of their games that have been decided by one run or less this season -- third best in MLB. Marlins have won just 23% of their games that have been decided by one run or less this season -- second worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Marlins left-handed hitters have struck out just 16% against RHP over the last week -- tied for fifth lowest in MLB. Rockies RPs have a strikeout rate of just 4% vs left-handed batters over the last week -- lowest in MLB.

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The Marlins are just 57-15 (.792) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.

The Rockies are just 0-1 (.000) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .575.

The Marlins are just 40-52 (.435) after a home loss since the 2022 season -- 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.

The Rockies are just 48-29 (.623) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .785.

Ezequiel Tovar has struck out in 28% of PA's since last season -- 15th highest in MLB-- 11th Percentile. Aroldis Chapman has a strikeout rate of 41% since last season -- second highest among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.

Ryan McMahon has struck out in 29% of PA's since the 2022 season -- fourth highest in MLB-- third Percentile. Aroldis Chapman has a strikeout rate of 36% since the 2022 season -- seventh highest among qualified RPs-- 96th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 15% (11/72) against Peter Lambert this season -- 7th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% -- sixth Percentile.

Edward Cabrera has walked 72 of 501 batters (14%) since last season -- 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: 8% -- first Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Marlins are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Marlins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 53 of Marlins' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	77-85	35-46	42-39	2-15	75-70
Rockies	80-82	43-38	37-44	3-2	77-80

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Marlins	85-66-11	53-20-8	32-46-3	11-5-1	74-61-10
Rockies	80-80-2	37-43-1	43-37-1	3-2	77-78-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	62-100	30-51	32-49	4-13	58-87
Rockies	61-101	37-44	24-57	3-2	58-99

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 1st	COL	W 4-1	-1.5 W	U 9	MIA -143
Apr 30th	COL	W 7-6	-1.5 L	O 8	MIA -136
Apr 29th	WSH	L 2-7	-1.5 L	O 8.5	WSH -142
Apr 28th	WSH	L 9-12	-1.5 L	O 8.5	WSH -135
Apr 27th	WSH	L 4-11	-1.5 L	O 7.5	WSH -144

Sandy Alcantara
P
Alcantara is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Jesus Luzardo
P
Luzardo is out with back
Out
Max Meyer
P
Meyer is out with shoulder
Out
Eury Perez
P
Perez is out with elbow
Out

Antonio Senzatela
P
Senzatela is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Brendan Rodgers
IF
Brendan Rodgers has been scratched Saturday.
Out
Brenton Doyle
OF
Brenton Doyle has been Scratched Friday
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RP.Lambert, P	67	3.1	3	4
LT.Blach, P	45	4	2	0
RJ.Lawrence, P	22	2	3	0
LJ.Beeks, P	12	0.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1E.Tovar, SS	0-5	0	0	0
2B.Doyle, CF	0-4	0	0	0
3R.McMahon, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
4E.Montero, 1B	0-4	1	0	0
5B.Rodgers, 2B	2-4	1	0	0
6J.Beck, LF	1-4	0	0	0
7J.Cave, RF	0-3	1	0	0
8J.Stallings, C	2-4	1	1	3
9H.Goodman, DH	0-1	0	0	0
9C.Blackmon, PH	0-0	0	0	0
9C.Blackmon, DH	0-0	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RE.Cabrera, P	91	4	9	4
RC.Faucher, P	15	2	1	0
LA.Nardi, P	9	1	2	0
RA.Bender, P	23	1	1	0
RA.Maldonado, P	19	1	1	0
RB.Smith, P	11	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Arraez, 2B	2-5	2	0	0
2B.De La Cruz, DH	1-4	1	0	0
3J.Chisholm, CF	1-5	0	0	1
4J.Bell, 1B	1-4	1	1	1
4O.Lopez, PR	0-0	0	0	0
5J.Sanchez, RF	1-4	0	0	2
6T.Anderson, SS	1-4	0	0	0
7D.Myers, LF	1-3	1	0	0
8E.Rivera, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
9N.Fortes, C	1-3	0	0	1
9V.Brujan, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9C.Bethancourt, C	0-0	0	0	0