Nationals vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - April 29, 2024

Nationals at Marlins

10:40 pm • MASN2

Washington Nationals

10-13

7 - 2

Miami Marlins

11-12

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Rogers			7.11	0-2
J.Irvin			4.41	10-14

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Nationals 10-13	+1.5-170	o8.5-103	+120
Marlins 11-12	-1.5+143	u8.5-118	-142

Monday 10:40 p.m.

April 29, 2024

loanDepot parkMiami

MIA -143

1.43u

J.Meneses o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-115

T.Anderson u1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-105

C.Abrams o0.5 Hits-183

0.55u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-125

0.5u

Over 8-117

0.85u

WSH +133

1.33u

Featured Insight
Nationals have allowed a run just 19% of the time after an opposing score this season -- second lowest in MLB. The Marlins have answered-back in just 20% of innings after an opponent scores this season -- tied for fourth lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Marlins left-handed hitters have struck out just 19% against RHP since last season -- fourth lowest in MLB. Nationals RPs have a strikeout rate of just 19% vs left-handed batters since last season -- lowest in MLB.

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The Nationals are just 22-26 (.458) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.

Luis Arraez is batting .413 on breaking pitches from RHP since last season -- best in MLB-- 100th Percentile. Jake Irvin has thrown his curveball 30% of the time since last season -- tied for 10th highest among starting pitchers with at least 75 total CB-- 93rd Percentile.

Joey Meneses has an OPS of just .702 since last season -- 15th worst in MLB-- 11th Percentile. Tanner Scott has allowed an OPS of just .547 (360 PAs) since last season -- 10th best among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

Trevor Rogers has allowed a slugging percentage of just .100 (2 Total Bases / 20 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season -- 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .353 -- 95th Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 22% (276/1,234) against Jake Irvin since the 2022 season -- 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 140 total IP; League Avg: 29% -- first Percentile.

Jake Irvin has walked 1 of 53 right-handed batters (2%) this season -- 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% -- 95th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Marlins are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Marlins are 4-4 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Marlins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 10 of Marlins' 15 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	12-11	8-7	4-4	0-2	12-9
Nationals	11-12	7-3	4-9	1-3	10-9

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Marlins	15-8	10-5	5-3	1-1	14-7
Nationals	12-11	7-3	5-8	3-1	9-10

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	11-12	8-7	3-5	2-0	9-12
Nationals	10-13	6-4	4-9	2-2	8-11

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 28th	WSH	L 9-12	-1.5 L	O 8.5	WSH -135
Apr 27th	WSH	L 4-11	-1.5 L	O 7.5	WSH -144
Apr 26th	WSH	L 1-3	-1.5 L	U 8.5	WSH -125
Apr 24th	@ATL	L 3-4	+1.5 W	U 9	ATL +220
Apr 23rd	@ATL	L 0-5	+1.5 L	U 8.5	ATL +215

Braxton Garrett
P
Garrett is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Ryan Weathers
P
Weathers is out with arm
Out
Eury Perez
P
Perez is out with elbow
Out

Michael Soroka
P
Soroka is out with biceps
Out
Paul DeJong
IF
DeJong is out with nose
Out
Josiah Gray
P
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out
Andres Chaparro
IF
Chaparro is out with oblique
Out
Cade Cavalli
P
Cavalli is out with elbow
Out
DJ Herz
P
Herz is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Irvin, P	84	6	3	2
RD.Floro, P	16	2	1	0
RM.Barnes, P	11	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Abrams, SS	1-3	2	1	2
2N.Senzel, DH	1-3	0	0	0
3J.Winker, LF	0-3	1	0	2
3E.Rosario, LF	0-1	0	0	0
4J.Meneses, 1B	1-4	1	0	1
5I.Vargas, 2B	2-4	0	0	1
6T.Lipscomb, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
7K.Ruiz, C	0-4	0	0	0
8A.Call, RF	1-4	1	0	0
9J.Young, CF	1-4	2	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LT.Rogers, P	89	5	3	3
RA.Maldonado, P	12	1	0	0
RC.Faucher, P	12	0.1	0	0
LA.Nardi, P	15	0.1	0	1
RE.Ramirez, P	10	1.1	0	0
LT.Scott, P	10	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Arraez, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
2J.Sanchez, RF	1-1	0	0	0
2V.Brujan, PH	1-3	1	0	0
2V.Brujan, SS	1-3	1	0	0
3J.Chisholm, CF	1-4	1	1	2
4J.Bell, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
5B.De La Cruz, DH	0-3	0	0	0
6T.Anderson, SS	0-1	0	0	0
6D.Myers, RF	0-2	0	0	0
7N.Gordon, LF	0-3	0	0	0
8E.Rivera, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
9N.Fortes, C	0-3	0	0	0