Nationals vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - April 28, 2024

Nationals at Marlins

5:40 pm • BSFL

Washington Nationals

10-9

12 - 9

Miami Marlins

6-10

pitcher		team	era	w-l
R.Weathers			3.64	5-6
P.Corbin			5.62	6-13

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Nationals 10-9	+1.5-175	o8.5-105	+115
Marlins 6-10	-1.5+145	u8.5-115	-135

Sunday 5:40 p.m.

April 28, 2024

loanDepot parkMiami

WSH +120

1.2u

Under 4.5 (F5)-110

0.55u

Under 8.5-115

... early unders for division games and game just went over Overall: 326-245-28,57% (ROI:10%) Season:1-2-0,33% (ROI:-36%)

WSH +124

1.24u

Featured Insight
Nationals have allowed a run just 19% of the time after an opposing score this season -- second lowest in MLB. The Marlins have answered-back in just 20% of innings after an opponent scores this season -- fourth lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Marlins left-handed hitters have struck out just 19% against RHP since last season -- fourth lowest in MLB. Nationals have a strikeout rate of just 19% vs left-handed batters since last season -- second lowest in MLB.

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Opening Pitch: Cunningham's MLB Bets for Sunday
Brad Cunningham•
Apr 28, 2024 UTC

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The Nationals are just 22-26 (.458) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.

Luis Arraez has struck out in just 5% of PA's over the last two weeks -- fourth lowest in MLB-- 98th Percentile. Patrick Corbin has a strikeout rate of just 16% over the last two weeks -- tied for eighth lowest among qualified SPs-- ninth Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 26% of Ryan Weathers' breaking pitches (27/103) this season -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% -- first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .345 (39-for-113) against Patrick Corbin this season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 -- second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .318 (178-for-560) against Patrick Corbin when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 -- third Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Marlins are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Marlins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 53 of Marlins' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	77-85	35-46	42-39	2-15	75-70
Nationals	89-73	44-37	45-36	14-12	75-59

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Marlins	85-66-11	53-20-8	32-46-3	11-5-1	74-61-10
Nationals	76-78-8	37-39-5	39-39-3	9-16-1	65-62-7

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	62-100	30-51	32-49	4-13	58-87
Nationals	71-91	38-43	33-48	15-11	56-78

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 27th	WSH	L 4-11	-1.5 L	O 7.5	WSH -144
Apr 26th	WSH	L 1-3	-1.5 L	U 8.5	WSH -125
Apr 24th	@ATL	L 3-4	+1.5 W	U 9	ATL +220
Apr 23rd	@ATL	L 0-5	+1.5 L	U 8.5	ATL +215
Apr 22nd	@ATL	L 0-3	+1.5 L	U 9.5	ATL +180

Braxton Garrett
P
Garrett is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Eury Perez
P
Perez is out with elbow
Out

Josiah Gray
P
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LP.Corbin, P	93	4	4	4
RD.Law, P	29	2	3	0
RJ.Weems, P	16	0.1	0	2
RH.Harvey, P	19	1.2	0	0
RK.Finnegan, P	21	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Abrams, SS	1-5	1	0	2
2N.Senzel, DH	2-6	2	2	5
3J.Winker, LF	1-5	0	0	0
4J.Meneses, 1B	0-6	0	0	0
5I.Vargas, 2B	2-5	1	0	0
6T.Lipscomb, 3B	3-4	3	0	0
7A.Call, RF	2-2	3	0	0
8R.Adams, C	0-4	0	0	0
9J.Young, CF	3-5	2	0	3

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LR.Weathers, P	87	4	3	6
RA.Bender, P	20	1	2	3
RB.Smith, P	30	1	1	1
RE.Ramirez, P	17	1	1	0
RB.Hoeing, P	27	1	2	2
RD.Cronin, P	12	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Arraez, 2B	2-5	1	0	0
1L.Arraez, 1B	2-5	1	0	0
2B.De La Cruz, LF	2-4	2	0	0
3J.Bell, DH	0-4	1	0	0
4J.Chisholm, CF	1-3	2	1	4
5T.Anderson, SS	1-4	1	0	1
6E.Rivera, 1B	1-3	0	0	1
6N.Gordon, PH	0-2	0	0	0
6N.Gordon, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
7D.Myers, RF	1-3	1	0	0
7J.Sanchez, PH	1-2	0	0	1
7J.Sanchez, RF	1-2	0	0	1
8V.Brujan, 3B	2-4	1	0	1
9N.Fortes, C	1-4	0	0	1