Reds vs Nationals Odds: Moneyline, Over/Under, Props - July 5, 2023

Reds at Nationals

11:05 pm • MASN2

Cincinnati Reds

43-51

9 - 2

Washington Nationals

48-48

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Gray			3.91	8-13
G.Ashcraft			4.76	7-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Reds 43-51	N/A	N/A	N/A
Nationals 48-48	N/A	N/A	N/A

Wednesday 11:05 p.m.

July 05, 2023

Nationals ParkWashington

Over 9.5-112

WSH +110

WSH -110

2.2u

CIN -113

G.Ashcraft u17.5 Outs-115

1.15u

WSH +100 (F5)

0.5u

D.Smith o1.5 Total Bases+130

0.5u

G.Ashcraft u17.5 Outs-105

WSH o4.5+100

0.5u

WSH +100 (F5)

G.Ashcraft u17.5 Outs-120

This is one of our highest MLB edges on our FTN Model at FTNBets.com!

Over 9.5-110

Hitter friendly weather - Gray 4.20 xERA only estimator either SP has below 4.50 - CIN 125 wRC+ L7 days - defenses combined -14 Runs Prevented - Both bullpens bottom 4 estimators L30 days

CIN o4.5-130

0.77u

Over 9.5-110

0.91u

Fading is the only way I have fun in MLB now

Under 9.5-105

1.05u

WSH +112

0.5u

WSH +110

0.4u

G.Ashcraft o3.5 Ks+102

Over 9.5-115

0.5u

Bet to -123 or 10 (-105)

MLB NRFI Model Picks For Wednesday
Billy Ward•
Jul 5, 2023 UTC

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The Nationals are just 27-33 (.450) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since last season -- 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .574.

Tyler Stephenson has an OPS of just .593 with RISP this season -- 13th worst in MLB-- ninth Percentile. Josiah Gray has allowed an OPS of just .543 (111 PAs) with RISP this season -- 10th best among qualified SPs-- 85th Percentile.

Dominic Smith has an OPS of just .666 this season -- 14th worst in MLB-- eighth Percentile. Alexis Diaz has allowed an OPS of just .495 (154 PAs) this season -- fifth best among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

Josiah Gray has walked 72 of 473 left-handed batters (15%) since last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 98 total IP; League Avg: 8% -- 0 Percentile.

Josiah Gray has allowed a .462 SLG vs right-handed batters (tied for eighth worst)-- 13th Percentile and just .317 vs left-handed batters this season (tied for fourth best among qualified SPs)-- 93rd Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Nationals are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Nationals are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Nationals are 32-14 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Nationals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 31 of Nationals' 50 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	53-43	21-29	32-14	7-9	46-34
Reds	50-44	24-25	26-19	15-13	35-30

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Nationals	55-36-5	31-16-3	24-20-2	12-3-1	43-33-4
Reds	52-41-1	26-23	26-18-1	18-10	34-30-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	48-48	20-30	28-18	9-7	39-41
Reds	43-51	22-27	21-24	16-12	27-38

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 4th	CIN	L 4-8	-	-	-
Jul 3rd	CIN	L 2-3	-	-	-
Jul 2nd	@PHI	W 5-4	-	-	-
Jul 1st	@PHI	L 4-19	-	-	-
Jun 30th	@PHI	W 2-1	-	-	-

Trevor Williams
SP
Williams is out with elbow
Out
Josiah Gray
SP
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out
DJ Herz
SP
Herz is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RG.Ashcraft, P	98	6	2	1
RD.Law, P	20	1	0	1
LA.Young, P	9	1	0	0
RF.Cruz, P	22	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Friedl, CF	2-5	0	0	1
2M.McLain, SS	1-6	0	0	1
3J.India, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
4E.De La Cruz, 3B	3-6	2	1	1
5J.Fraley, RF	2-4	2	0	1
6J. Votto, 1B	3-5	2	1	1
7S.Steer, DH	1-5	1	0	0
8T.Stephenson, C	1-2	2	0	1
9W.Benson, LF	2-5	0	0	2

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Gray, P	102	5	6	3
RA.Willingham, P	22	1	1	0
LJ.La Sorsa, P	51	2	2	4
RJ.Weems, P	27	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1L.Thomas, RF	2-4	1	0
2L.Garcia, 2B	1-4	1	0
3J.Candelario, 3B	1-4	0	0
3M.Chavis, 3B	0-1	0	0
4J.Meneses, DH	1-3	0	1
5D.Smith, 1B	0-3	0	0
6K.Ruiz, C	1-4	0	0
7C. Dickerson, LF	2-3	0	0
7S.Garrett, PH	0-1	0	0
7S.Garrett, LF	0-1	0	0
8C.Abrams, SS	1-3	0	0
9A.Call, CF	1-4	0	0