Red Sox vs. Twins Odds & Betting Predictions - May 5, 2024

Red Sox at Twins

6:10 pm • NESN

Boston Red Sox

40-43

9 - 2

Minnesota Twins

40-42

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Ryan			3.60	7-7
C.Criswell			4.08	6-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox 40-43	+1.5-135	o7.5-118	+160
Twins 40-42	-1.5+114	u7.5-105	-190

Sunday 6:10 p.m.

May 05, 2024

Target FieldMinneapolis

Under 7.5-112

0.56u

BOS u3.5 Team Total-125

1.88u

Babe it’s Joe Ryan day!

Under 8-115

0.58u

Bet to 7.5 (-105)

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Featured Insight
Twins RPs have a strikeout rate of 30% this season -- second highest in MLB. Red Sox have struck out 26% this season -- fifth highest in MLB.

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The Red Sox are just 20-32 (.385) after a home loss since the 2023 season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .512.

Carlos Santana has an OPS of just .709 since the 2022 season -- 12th worst in MLB-- 10th Percentile. Andres Munoz has allowed an OPS of just .570 (509 PAs) since the 2022 season -- 12th best among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

Cooper Criswell has struck out just 12% (12/98) of left-handed batters he faced since last season -- tied for lowest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 25% -- second Percentile.

Opposing hitters have a miss rate of just 12% (10/85) against Cooper Criswell when he's behind in the count since last season -- lowest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 27% -- first Percentile.

Joe Ryan has allowed a slugging percentage of .000 (0 TB / 16 ABs) on fastballs away this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .344 -- 100th Percentile.

Joe Ryan has allowed an OBP of just .209 (67 PA's) against right-handed batters this season -- 3rd best among among AL Starters; League Avg: .292 -- 95th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Twins are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Twins are 22-21 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Twins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 18 of Twins' 39 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	45-37	23-16	22-21	28-24	16-13
Red Sox	41-42	19-21	22-21	23-28	18-13

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Twins	35-43-4	18-20-1	17-23-3	24-26-2	10-17-2
Red Sox	38-44-1	16-23-1	22-21	22-28-1	16-15

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	40-42	22-17	18-25	28-24	12-17
Red Sox	40-43	22-18	18-25	26-25	14-17

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 4th	BOS	W 3-1	-1.5 W	U 7.5	MIN -180
May 4th	BOS	W 5-2	+1.5 W	U 7.5	MIN -123
May 1st	@CWS	W 10-5	-1.5 W	O 9	MIN -225
Apr 30th	@CWS	W 6-5	-1.5 L	O 8.5	MIN -180
Apr 29th	@CWS	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 7.5	MIN -164

Tanner Houck
SP
Houck is out with arm
Out
Patrick Sandoval
SP
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
SP
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Masataka Yoshida
LF
Yoshida is out with shoulder
Out

Royce Lewis
3B
Lewis is out with hamstring
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Criswell, P	80	4.1	5	1
LB.Bernardino, P	5	0.2	1	0
RZ.Kelly, P	34	1.2	2	0
LC.Booser, P	5	0.1	0	0
RJ.Winckowski, P	12	1	0	1
RK.Jansen, P	15	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Duran, CF	2-5	2	0	0
1J.Duran, LF	2-5	2	0	0
1J.Duran, CF	2-5	2	0	0
2R.Devers, DH	2-5	2	1	2
3R.Refsnyder, LF	1-2	0	0	1
3D.Hamilton, SS	0-0	0	0	0
3T.O'Neill, PH	1-2	1	0	0
3T.O'Neill, LF	1-2	1	0	0
4W.Abreu, RF	0-3	1	0	0
5V.Grissom, 2B	1-5	1	0	2
6D.Smith, 1B	1-4	0	0	2
7R.McGuire, C	2-4	1	0	0
8C.Rafaela, SS	1-3	1	1	2
8C.Rafaela, CF	1-3	1	1	2
8C.Rafaela, SS	1-3	1	1	2
9Z.Short, 3B	0-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Ryan, P	95	6	5	3
LK.Funderburk, P	42	1.1	2	4
RJ.Jackson, P	35	1.2	1	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Kirilloff, LF	0-2	0	0	0
1M.Margot, PH	0-3	0	0	0
1M.Margot, LF	0-3	0	0	0
2E.Julien, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
2K.Farmer, PH	1-2	0	0	0
2K.Farmer, 2B	1-2	0	0	0
3R.Jeffers, C	1-5	1	1	1
4M.Kepler, RF	2-3	1	0	0
5C.Correa, SS	1-2	0	0	0
6T.Larnach, DH	2-4	0	0	1
7W.Castro, CF	0-4	0	0	0
8C.Santana, 1B	2-4	0	0	0
9J.Miranda, 3B	0-4	0	0	0