Twins vs. White Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - May 1, 2024

Twins at White Sox

6:10 pm • BSN

Minnesota Twins

36-41

10 - 5

Chicago White Sox

39-35

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Flexen			4.95	3-15
B.Ober			3.98	12-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Twins 36-41	-1.5-135	o9-108	-225
White Sox 39-35	+1.5+114	u9-112	+185

Wednesday 6:10 p.m.

May 01, 2024

Rate FieldChicago

Under 9-110

$1.10

MIN o5.5+100

0.5u

Flexen all est > 5, MIN 104/101/170 wRC+ Rd/v RHP/L7 days, CWS one of worst defneses, CWS now worst pen estimators L30 days and everyone was used last night.

MIN -200

0.5u

MIN -190 (F5)

F5 system

MIN -0.5 (F5)-125

1.88u

This team literally can’t lose

C.Flexen u4.5 Ks-150

0.67u

Ballpark pal projects 2.79 Ks and +ev bet with devig odds of -200 giving value at this number

C.Flexen o4.5 Ks+120

0.5u

C.Flexen u4.5 Ks-150

0.67u

Under 9-115

0.58u

Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Wednesday MLB Bets
Sean Zerillo•
May 1, 2024 UTC
MLB NRFI/YRFI Model Predictions for Wednesday
Billy Ward•
May 1, 2024 UTC

See more MLB Coverage

The Twins are 75-14 (.843) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .785.

The Twins are 21-60 (.259) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .144.

The White Sox are just 56-9 (.862) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.

The White Sox are just 6-13 (.316) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .575.

Paul DeJong has struck out in 32% of PA's since the 2022 season -- tied for 13th highest among hitters with at least 528 total PA's-- fourth Percentile. Jhoan Duran has a strikeout rate of 33% since the 2022 season -- 10th highest among qualified RPs-- 94th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 20% (6/30) against Bailey Ober over the last 14 days -- lowest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 40% -- first Percentile.

Chris Flexen has allowed a slugging percentage of .611 (240 Total Bases / 393 ABs) on fastballs since the 2022 season -- 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 140 total IP; League Avg: .435 -- second Percentile.

Opponents are hitless in 18 AB's against Bailey Ober when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days -- best among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .213 -- 100th Percentile.

Chris Flexen has allowed a slugging percentage of .683 (142 Total Bases / 208 ABs) on fastballs since last season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 76 total IP; League Avg: .453 -- first Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

White Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
White Sox are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
White Sox are 19-19 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of White Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 20 of White Sox' 36 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
White Sox	43-31	24-12	19-19	7-5	36-26
Twins	40-37	21-18	19-19	11-12	29-24

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
White Sox	43-30-1	20-15-1	23-15	6-5-1	37-25
Twins	46-26-5	20-15-4	26-11-1	12-10-1	33-16-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
White Sox	39-35	24-12	15-23	8-4	31-31
Twins	36-41	20-19	16-22	12-11	24-29

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 30th	MIN	L 5-6	+1.5 W	O 8.5	MIN +150
Apr 29th	MIN	L 2-3	+1.5 W	U 7.5	MIN +138
Apr 28th	TB	W 4-2	+1.5 W	U 8	CWS +120
Apr 27th	TB	W 8-7	+1.5 W	O 8.5	CWS +164
Apr 26th	TB	W 9-4	+1.5 W	O 7.5	CWS +190

Mike Vasil
RP
Vasil is out with elbow
Out
Ky Bush
SP
Bush is out with elbow
Out
Brooks Baldwin
LF
Baldwin is out with elbow
Out
Kyle Teel
C
Teel is out with hamstring
Out
Drew Thorpe
SP
Thorpe is out with elbow
Out

Pablo Lopez
SP
Lopez is out with elbow
Out
David Festa
SP
Festa is out with shoulder
Out
Travis Adams
SP
Adams is out with triceps
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Ober, P	82	6	3	4
RB.Stewart, P	9	1	0	1
RG.Jax, P	10	1	0	0
LS.Okert, P	13	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Kirilloff, LF	1-3	2	1	1
1M.Margot, PH	0-1	0	0	0
1M.Margot, LF	0-1	0	0	0
2E.Julien, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
2K.Farmer, PH	1-1	1	0	0
2K.Farmer, 2B	1-1	1	0	0
3C.Correa, SS	1-3	2	0	0
4M.Kepler, RF	1-4	1	0	1
5B.Buxton, CF	1-1	0	0	0
5J.Miranda, 3B	3-4	1	0	2
6T.Larnach, DH	0-2	1	0	0
6R.Jeffers, PH	1-2	1	0	2
6R.Jeffers, DH	1-2	1	0	2
7C.Santana, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
8W.Castro, 3B	3-5	1	0	1
8W.Castro, CF	3-5	1	0	1
9C.Vazquez, C	0-5	0	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Flexen, P	92	5	4	2
RS.Wilson, P	21	0.2	0	0
RD.Leone, P	28	0.2	2	2
LT.Hill, P	16	0.2	0	0
LT.Banks, P	22	1.1	1	2
RJ.Brebbia, P	14	0.2	1	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Grossman, DH	2-4	1	0	1
2T.Pham, CF	2-4	2	1	2
3G.Sheets, RF	0-4	0	0	0
4A.Vaughn, 1B	1-4	0	0	1
5A.Benintendi, LF	0-4	0	0	0
6D.Mendick, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
7K.Lee, C	1-3	1	1	1
8P.DeJong, SS	1-3	1	0	0
9B.Shewmake, 2B	0-3	0	0	0