Red Sox vs. Twins Odds & Betting Predictions - April 15, 2026

Red Sox at Twins

5:40 pm • MNNT

Boston Red Sox

7-11

9 - 5

Minnesota Twins

11-8

pitcher		team	era	w-l
S.Woods Richardson			6.10	0-3
C.Early			2.29	1-0

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox 7-11	-1.5	-1.5+125	o8.5-107	-135
Twins 11-8	u7.5	+1.5-156	u8.5-118	+113

Wednesday 5:40 p.m.

April 15, 2026

Target FieldMinneapolis

MIN +115

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S.Woods Richardson o4.5 Ks+122

0.2u

S.Woods Richardson o3.5 Ks-155

0.4u

Just a 12% K rate through three starts, but he’s a clear buy low in my adjusted K model, which has him closer to 21.8%, right in line with expectations. He’s simply faced a brutal schedule to start the season, drawing the Blue Jays, Rays, and Royals, just a brutal mix of tough teams to K and/or tougher park factors for Ks. Opponents have also chased just 18% of the time against him. He was also battling an illness in his last start, struggled, and got pulled early, so I’d expect him closer to 100% here. One key change is his increased usage of the splitter, up to 25%. I think that pitch can play and potentially boost his K rate moving forward. He’s due for some positive regression as chase rates normalize, and the Red Sox are a good spot for that to start showing up. I’m projecting him closer to -235 to clear 3.5 and -120 to clear 4.5 so betting on both here

MIN o3.5-120

0.83u

B.Buxton o1.5 Total Bases+113

$1.00

R.Anthony o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-125

$1.00

C.Early o14.5 Outs-162

R.Anthony o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-123

BOS -126

BOS -130

2.31u

MIN +120

BOS -1.5+134

1.34u

Analysis on Twitter @ anderspicks

Over 8-106

Early 13.1 BB%, SWR all est. > 4.5 thru 3 each - Proj LUs 108/109 wRC+ v L/RHP since LY - BOS great base running team - both pens avg FIP/xFIP/SIERA > 4.5 - MIN poor def -

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Apr 16, 2026 UTC
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MLB Public Betting

Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Twins are 5-4 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Twins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Twins' 10 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	12-7	7-3	5-4	3-2	9-5
Red Sox	6-12	2-4	4-8	6-9	0-3

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Twins	10-8-1	5-4-1	5-4	4-1	6-7-1
Red Sox	10-8	2-4	8-4	7-8	3-0

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	11-8	7-3	4-5	3-2	8-6
Red Sox	7-11	3-3	4-8	7-8	0-3

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 14th	BOS	W 6-0	+1.5 W	U 8	MIN +114
Apr 13th	BOS	W 13-6	+1.5 W	O 7.5	MIN +140
Apr 12th	@TOR	W 8-2	-	O 8	MIN +114
Apr 11th	@TOR	W 7-4	-1.5 W	O 8.5	MIN +103
Apr 10th	@TOR	L 4-10	+1.5 L	O 9	TOR +132

Tanner Houck
SP
Houck is out with arm
Out
Triston Casas
1B
Casas is out with knee
Out
Patrick Sandoval
SP
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
SP
Crawford is out with wrist
Out
Romy Gonzalez
1B
Gonzalez is out with shoulder
Out

Pablo Lopez
SP
Lopez is out with elbow
Out
David Festa
SP
Festa is out with shoulder
Out
Travis Adams
SP
Adams is out with triceps
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LC.Early, P	85	6	5	1
LD.Coulombe, P	20	1	0	0
RG.Whitlock, P	22	1	2	0
RR.Watson, P	29	1	0	4

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Anthony, RF	2-4	2	0	0
2C.Rafaela, CF	1-3	2	0	0
3M.Yoshida, DH	1-5	1	0	1
4T.Story, SS	2-4	1	1	5
5J.Duran, LF	0-5	1	0	0
6A.Monasterio, 1B	3-5	1	0	1
7M.Mayer, 2B	1-5	0	0	0
8C.Wong, C	1-3	0	0	1
9I.Kiner-Falefa, 3B	2-3	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Woods Richardson, P	92	5	3	6
LA.Banda, P	24	1	1	2
RJ.Topa, P	13	1	0	0
LK.Funderburk, P	14	1	2	0
RE.Orze, P	12	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Buxton, CF	0-3	0	0	0
1K.Clemens, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
2A.Martin, LF	2-4	1	1	1
3L.Keaschall, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
3J.Outman, CF	0-0	0	0	0
4R.Jeffers, C	0-4	0	0	0
5J.Bell, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
5T.Gray, 1B	1-1	1	0	0
6V.Caratini, DH	1-3	0	0	0
7M.Wallner, RF	0-3	1	0	0
8B.Lee, SS	1-4	1	0	1
9R.Kreidler, 3B	1-3	1	1	3