Red Sox vs. Mariners Odds & Betting Predictions - March 31, 2024

Red Sox at Mariners

1:40 am • ROOT Sports NW

Boston Red Sox

12-13

3 - 4

Seattle Mariners

10-17

pitcher		team	era	w-l
L.Gilbert			3.24	9-12
K.Crawford			4.36	9-16

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox 12-13	+1.5	+1.5-170	o7.5-101	+130
Mariners 10-17	u7	-1.5+142	u7.5-118	-155

Sunday 1:40 a.m.

March 31, 2024

T-Mobile ParkSeattle

SEA -155

BOS u3.5+100

0.5u

Pitcher friendly park, Seattle has an above average defense and bullpen, while Gilbert's 3.73 ERA matched estimators. Boston is an average offense. This is even money on DK, but much higher on other sites.

Under 7.5-120

L.Gilbert o17.5 Outs-125

0.8u

Under 7.5-120

0.83u

... home team went under by 5 and now home team is fav or slight dogs Overall: 752-542-69,58% (ROI:12%) Season:0-0-0, 0% (ROI: 0%)

BOS +132

… first series take the dogs Overall: 66-54-0,55% (ROI:44%) Season:1-1-0,50% (ROI:13%)

BOS o3.5 Team Total+110

K.Crawford u6.5 Ks-140

L.Gilbert u6.5 Ks+100

Featured Insight
Red Sox had a strikeout rate of 24% vs right-handed batters last season -- 10th highest in MLB. Mariners Right Handed Hitters struck out 26% against LHP last season -- highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Mariners hitters have a hard-hit rate of 42% over the last two weeks -- fourth best in MLB. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of 41% against the Red SoxRPs over the last two weeks -- third worst in MLB.

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The Red Sox are just 38-48 (.442) after a home loss since the 2022 season -- tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .516.

34% of Rafael Devers strikeouts came on 95+ MPH fastballs last season -- fifth highest in MLB-- 97th Percentile. 70% of George Kirby's strikeouts came on 95+ MPH fastballs last season -- highest among qualified SPs-- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Mariners are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Mariners are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mariners are 33-48 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Mariners' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 41 of Mariners' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mariners	69-93	36-45	33-48	44-69	24-22
Red Sox	87-75	43-38	44-37	53-50	34-23

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mariners	88-68-6	41-35-5	47-33-1	58-49-6	28-18
Red Sox	76-82-4	33-45-3	43-37-1	50-50-3	26-30-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mariners	90-72	51-30	39-42	66-47	22-24
Red Sox	89-73	48-33	41-40	61-42	28-29

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Mar 30th	BOS	W 1-0	-1.5 L	U 7	SEA -155
Mar 29th	BOS	L 4-6	-1.5 L	O 7.5	BOS -150
Mar 26th	@SD	W 7-6	+1.5 W	O 8	SEA +117
Mar 26th	@SD	W 4-1	+1.5 W	U 7.5	SEA +105
Mar 24th	CHC	W 9-9	-1.5 L	O 13.5	CHC -192

Tanner Houck
SP
Houck is out with arm
Out

Johan Oviedo
SP
Oviedo is questionable with elbow
Questionable
Patrick Sandoval
SP
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
SP
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Jovani Moran
RP
Moran is out with arm
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Crawford, P	84	6	7	0
RI.Campbell, P	14	1	2	0
RC.Martin, P	14	1	1	0
RG.Weissert, P	19	1	2	0
LJ.Rodriguez, P	16	0.1	0	2
RJ.Slaten, P	5	0	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Duran, LF	1-3	0	0
1T.O'Neill, PH	0-0	0	0
1T.O'Neill, LF	0-0	0	0
2M.Yoshida, DH	1-5	0	1
3T.Story, SS	0-5	0	0
4T.Casas, 1B	0-3	0	0
4B.Dalbec, PR	0-0	0	0
4B.Dalbec, 1B	0-0	0	0
5W.Abreu, RF	0-4	0	0
6C.Rafaela, CF	2-4	2	0
7E.Valdez, 2B	0-4	0	0
8P.Reyes, 3B	1-4	0	2
9C.Wong, C	1-3	0	0
9R.McGuire, PH	1-1	1	0
9R.McGuire, C	1-1	1	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Gilbert, P	91	7	8	1
LG.Speier, P	14	1	2	0
RA.Voth, P	19	1	3	0
RT.Thornton, P	12	0.2	0	1
LT.Saucedo, P	7	0.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Crawford, SS	1-5	1	1
2J.Rodriguez, CF	1-5	0	1
3J.Polanco, DH	0-3	0	0
4M.Haniger, RF	1-4	0	1
5C.Raleigh, C	0-3	0	0
6T.France, 1B	1-4	1	0
7L.Raley, LF	1-4	1	1
8D.Moore, 2B	0-2	0	0
8D.Canzone, PH	0-1	0	0
8L.Urias, 3B	0-1	0	0
9J.Rojas, 3B	2-4	1	0
9J.Rojas, 2B	2-4	1	0