Red Sox vs. Cardinals Odds & Betting Predictions - May 19, 2024

Red Sox at Cardinals

5:05 pm • Roku

Boston Red Sox

54-48

11 - 3

St. Louis Cardinals

52-49

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Liberatore			4.39	3-4
N.Pivetta			4.14	6-12

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox 54-48	-1.5+130	o8.5-109	-130
Cardinals 52-49	+1.5-155	u8.5-111	+110

Sunday 5:05 p.m.

May 19, 2024

Busch StadiumSt. Louis

BOS -126

BOS -130

0.77u

Under 8.5-110

$1100.00

Over 8.5-110

1.5u

Over 4.5 (F5)-105

BOS -130

STL +100 (F5)

Under 8.5-105

0.53u

Bet to -118

M.Liberatore o9.5 Outs+105

He’s built up to 60 pitches and now on 5 days rest. Marmol said he’s in the rotation going forward, and the Cards bullpen has been used a good amount recently (with no day off til Thursday). If he’s a part of the rotation, they need to stretch him out more - so he should be at 70-75 pitches vs the Red Sox (which should get him at least through 4 IP). Sox have been average vs lefties all season (101 wRC+ vs lefties over the L30 days).

Featured Insight
The Red Sox have scored in at least three different innings in 54% of their games since last season -- fifth highest in MLB. Cardinals have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 56% of their games since last season -- third highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Cardinals have allowed just 1.0 runs per game in late innings this season -- tied for fourth lowest in MLB (44 games). The Red Sox have scored just 0.9 runs per game in late innings this season -- second lowest in MLB (45 games).

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Red Sox vs. Cardinals: Back the Better Pitcher
Sean Paul•
May 19, 2024 UTC

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The Red Sox are just 44-59 (.427) after a loss since the 2023 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .493.

Paul Goldschmidt has struck out in 33% of PA's this season -- 13th highest in MLB-- sixth Percentile. Craig Kimbrel has a strikeout rate of 36% this season -- eighth highest among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.

Matthew Liberatore has allowed an OPS of just .033 (30 PA's) on non-fastballs this season -- best among NL Relievers; League Avg: .591 -- 100th Percentile.

Nick Pivetta has allowed an OBP of just .175 (405 PA's) with two-strikes since last season -- 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 81 total IP; League Avg: .247 -- 98th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Cardinals are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Cardinals are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Cardinals are 27-25 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Cardinals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 27 of Cardinals' 49 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cardinals	54-47	27-22	27-25	20-25	33-22
Red Sox	55-47	28-24	27-23	35-30	20-15

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cardinals	53-44-4	27-20-2	26-24-2	24-18-3	28-26-1
Red Sox	48-52-2	22-28-2	26-24	31-32-2	17-18

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cardinals	52-49	29-20	23-29	25-20	26-29
Red Sox	54-48	32-20	22-28	39-26	15-20

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 18th	BOS	W 7-2	+1.5 W	O 8.5	STL +100
May 18th	BOS	W 10-6	+1.5 W	O 8	STL -115
May 16th	@LAA	L 2-7	-1.5 L	O 8.5	LAA -122
May 15th	@LAA	W 7-6	-1.5 L	O 7	STL -142
May 14th	@LAA	W 10-5	-1.5 W	O 8.5	STL -117

Nolan Gorman
2B
Gorman is out with back
Out

Tanner Houck
SP
Houck is out with arm
Out
Patrick Sandoval
SP
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
SP
Crawford is out with knee
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RN.Pivetta, P	72	6	8	1
RG.Weissert, P	34	1	2	2
LC.Booser, P	11	1	2	0
RC.Martin, P	14	1	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Duran, LF	1-5	0	0	1
1J.Duran, CF	1-5	0	0	1
2R.Refsnyder, RF	1-5	0	0	0
2R.Refsnyder, LF	1-5	0	0	0
3T.O'Neill, DH	2-3	3	1	1
4R.Devers, 3B	1-3	2	1	2
4D.Hamilton, PH	1-1	1	1	1
4D.Hamilton, SS	1-1	1	1	1
5C.Wong, C	2-4	3	0	0
6G.Cooper, 1B	2-2	1	0	1
6W.Abreu, PH	2-3	0	0	1
6W.Abreu, RF	2-3	0	0	1
7R.Gonzalez, SS	1-2	0	0	1
7D.Smith, PH	1-3	0	0	3
7D.Smith, 1B	1-3	0	0	3
8V.Grissom, 2B	0-5	0	0	0
9C.Rafaela, CF	0-4	1	0	0
9C.Rafaela, SS	0-4	1	0	0
9C.Rafaela, 3B	0-4	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Liberatore, P	70	3	3	4
RC.Roycroft, P	36	1	0	3
RR.Fernandez, P	30	2	4	2
RN.Robertson, P	58	3	3	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Carpenter, DH	0-3	0	0	0
1I.Herrera, PH	0-1	0	0	0
1I.Herrera, DH	0-1	0	0	0
2L.Nootbaar, RF	1-4	1	1	1
2L.Nootbaar, CF	1-4	1	1	1
3P.Goldschmidt, 1B	1-4	1	0	0
4N.Arenado, 3B	1-3	1	0	0
4N.Gorman, PH	0-1	0	0	0
5A.Burleson, LF	1-4	0	0	0
6B.Donovan, 2B	1-4	0	0	1
7B.Crawford, SS	0-3	0	0	0
8P.Pages, C	0-3	0	0	0
9M.Siani, CF	0-2	0	0	0
9D.Carlson, PH	1-1	0	0	0
9D.Carlson, RF	1-1	0	0	0