Red Sox vs. Cardinals Odds & Betting Predictions - May 18, 2024

Red Sox at Cardinals

11:15 pm • BSMW

Boston Red Sox

41-44

2 - 7

St. Louis Cardinals

47-38

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Mikolas			5.35	10-11
K.Crawford			4.36	9-16

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox 41-44	-1.5+140	o8.5-110	-120
Cardinals 47-38	+1.5-166	u8.5-110	+100

Saturday 11:15 p.m.

May 18, 2024

Busch StadiumSt. Louis

Over 8.5-125

1.5u

BOS -120

$1500.00

Under 8.5+100

0.5u

Bet to 8 (+100)

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-110

Under 8-105

0.53u

STL +106

3.18u

Featured Insight
Red Sox have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 32% of their games this season -- third lowest in MLB. The Cardinals have scored in at least three different innings in just 30% of their games this season -- fourth lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Cardinals have allowed just 1.0 runs per game in late innings this season -- third lowest in MLB (43 games). The Red Sox have scored just 0.8 runs per game in late innings this season -- second lowest in MLB (44 games).

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MLB NRFI & YRFI Picks: Saturday Model Predictions
Billy Ward•
May 18, 2024 UTC

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The Red Sox are just 44-59 (.427) after a loss since the 2023 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .493.

Paul Goldschmidt has struck out in 39% of PA's over the last two weeks -- 10th highest in MLB-- fourth Percentile. Kutter Crawford has a strikeout rate of 29% vs right-handed batters over the last two weeks -- 10th highest among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP-- 87th Percentile.

42% of Brendan Donovan strikeouts are looking this season -- 15th highest in MLB-- 92nd Percentile. 36% of Kutter Crawford strikeouts are looking this season -- seventh highest among qualified SPs-- 93rd Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (13/49) against Kutter Crawford in two-strike counts this season -- 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% -- second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .312 (111-for-356) against Miles Mikolas when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 -- sixth Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 24% (16/66) against Kutter Crawford this season -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% -- first Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Cardinals are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Cardinals are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Cardinals are 24-19 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Cardinals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 23 of Cardinals' 43 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cardinals	47-39	23-20	24-19	16-21	30-18
Red Sox	43-43	21-22	22-21	24-28	19-13

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cardinals	44-39-3	23-19-1	21-20-2	20-15-2	23-24-1
Red Sox	40-45-1	18-24-1	22-21	23-28-1	17-15

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cardinals	47-39	26-17	21-22	21-16	25-23
Red Sox	42-44	24-19	18-25	27-25	15-17

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 18th	BOS	W 10-6	+1.5 W	O 8	STL -115
May 16th	@LAA	L 2-7	-1.5 L	O 8.5	LAA -122
May 15th	@LAA	W 7-6	-1.5 L	O 7	STL -142
May 14th	@LAA	W 10-5	-1.5 W	O 8.5	STL -117
May 12th	@MIL	W 4-3	+1.5 W	U 9	STL +130

Tanner Houck
SP
Houck is out with arm
Out
Patrick Sandoval
SP
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
SP
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Masataka Yoshida
LF
Yoshida is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Crawford, P	99	5.2	5	1
LB.Bernardino, P	21	1	1	1
RJ.Slaten, P	26	1	1	4
RZ.Kelly, P	18	0.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Duran, LF	1-4	1	0	0
2W.Abreu, RF	0-2	0	0	0
2R.Refsnyder, PH	1-1	0	0	1
2R.Refsnyder, RF	1-1	0	0	1
3C.Wong, C	0-4	0	0	0
4R.Devers, 3B	1-4	1	1	1
5T.O'Neill, DH	1-4	0	0	0
6D.Smith, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
7V.Grissom, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
8D.Hamilton, SS	1-2	0	0	0
8R.Gonzalez, PH	1-1	0	0	0
8R.Gonzalez, SS	1-1	0	0	0
9C.Rafaela, CF	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Mikolas, P	79	5	4	1
LJ.King, P	6	1	0	0
RA.Kittredge, P	14	1	3	0
LJ.Romero, P	16	1	0	1
RK.Leahy, P	9	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Donovan, LF	1-4	1	0	0
2L.Nootbaar, RF	2-5	0	0	2
2L.Nootbaar, CF	2-5	0	0	2
3P.Goldschmidt, 1B	1-5	0	0	0
4N.Arenado, 3B	2-3	1	0	0
5A.Burleson, DH	2-4	1	0	0
6I.Herrera, C	1-4	1	0	1
7N.Gorman, 2B	2-4	2	1	2
8M.Winn, SS	1-3	1	0	1
9M.Siani, CF	1-1	0	0	0
9D.Carlson, PH	1-2	0	0	0
9D.Carlson, RF	1-2	0	0	0