Pirates vs. Phillies Odds & Betting Predictions - April 11, 2024
Pirates at Phillies
10:40 pm • MLB NetworkStarting Pitchers
| pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |  | 3.47 | 12-8 | |
 |  | 4.14 | 6-8 |
Pirates at Phillies Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Pirates 30-28 | +1.5-175 | o9-121 | +112 | |
Phillies 29-28 | -1.5+145 | u9+100 | -132 | |
Citizens Bank ParkPhiladelphia
Pirates vs. Phillies Expert Picks
Zense
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
PIT +115
$4.00
Brandon Kravitz
Last 30d: 76-87-2 (-10.8u)
Under 9+100
$30.00
💰🦡 Jake
Last 30d: 61-70-5 (+2.8u)
PIT +125
1.5u
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 9-13-0 (-5.5u)
B.Stott u0.5 Total Bases+142
1u
Fading players in slumps
Ryan Minion
Last 30d: 327-372-15 (-19.0u)
PIT +0.5 (F5)-120
$1.20
💰🦡 Jake
Last 30d: 61-70-5 (+2.8u)
Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-105
1.5u
Ryan Minion
Last 30d: 327-372-15 (-19.0u)
J.Jones o5.5 Ks-140
$1.00
Doug Ziefel
Last 30d: 184-147-4 (+16.0u)
Under 9-112
0.89u
Cam Is Money
Last 30d: 56-75-2 (-25.5u)
PIT +130
1u
Collin Wilson
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
PIT +132
0.5u
Matt Trollo
Last 30d: 54-62-6 (-6.8u)
PIT +132
0.5u
Jones 20.7 SwStr%, 2 BB, 75 Z-Contact%, 3.54 xERA even with six Barrels in two starts. PHI just 73 wRC+ v RHP. Defenses and bullpens have been comparable.
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 176-147-11 (+5.8u)
PIT +126 (F5)
0.5u
Bet to +118
PRO Insights
Pirates
PIT Insights
- Featured InsightPirates have struck out just 18% over the last week -- tied for fourth lowest in MLB. Phillies have a strikeout rate of just 17% over the last week -- tied for third lowest in MLB.
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Phillies
PHI Insights
- Featured InsightThe Phillies have scored 2.7 runs per game in the first five innings since the 2022 season -- tied for fifth highest in MLB (336 games). The Pirates have allowed 2.8 runs per game in the first five innings since the 2022 season -- sixth highest in MLB (336 games).
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Pirates vs. Phillies Previews & Analysis
Pirates vs. Phillies Notes
Keys to the Game
The Pirates are 39-8 (.830) when they've had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .732.
The Phillies are 23-17 (.575) after a road win since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .493.
Matchup Contrasts
Nick Castellanos hit 16 home runs on breaking pitches last season -- tied for fourth most in MLB-- 99th Percentile. Ryan Borucki threw a breaking pitch 69% of the time last season -- fourth highest among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.
Today's Starting Pitchers
Jared Jones has a strike rate of 74% (125/169) this season -- highest among in NL; League Avg: 64% -- 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 68% (19/28) against Ranger Suarez this season -- 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% -- 98th Percentile.
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Pirates vs. Phillies Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Phillies are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
- Phillies are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Phillies are 10-17 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Phillies' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 15 of Phillies' 30 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Pirates vs. Phillies Injury Updates
Pirates Injuries
Phillies Injuries
- Max LazarRP
Lazar is out with oblique
Out
- Andrew PainterSP
Andrew Painter was seen walking out to bullpen, he won't start but could be available in relief.
Questionable
- Steward BerroaRF
Berroa is out with shoulder
Out
Pirates vs. Phillies Box Score
Pirates Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 85 | 6.1 | 8 | 3 | |
 | 9 | 0.2 | 0 | 1 | |
 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Phillies Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 97 | 6 | 8 | 0 | |
 | 23 | 1 | 3 | 0 | |
 | 33 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
 | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Pirates vs. Phillies Odds Comparison
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Pirates at Phillies Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Pirates 30-28 | N/A | N/A |
Phillies 29-28 | N/A | N/A |