Brewers vs. Twins Odds & Betting Predictions - July 21, 2024

Brewers at Twins

5:05 pm • Roku

Milwaukee Brewers

1-2

8 - 7

Minnesota Twins

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Ryan			3.60	7-7
A.Civale			5.07	2-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Brewers 1-2	+1.5-155	o7.5+100	+136
Twins 0-0	-1.5+127	u7.5-122	-162

Sunday 5:05 p.m.

July 21, 2024

Target FieldMinneapolis

MIL +142

$71.00

A.Civale u16.5 Outs-113

0.44u

MIL +136

4.08u

Featured Insight
Brewers hitters have a groundball rate of 46% this season -- third highest in MLB. Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Twins this season -- third lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Twins have struck out just 18% this month -- fourth lowest in MLB. Brewers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this month -- fifth lowest in MLB.

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Brewers vs. Twins: Back Minnesota at Home
Sean Paul•
Jul 21, 2024 UTC

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The Twins are just 4-8 (.333) after a loss as underdogs this season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .443.

Christian Yelich is slugging .569 on non-fastballs this season -- ninth best among hitters with at least 145 total PA's-- 96th Percentile. Joe Ryan has allowed a SLG of .423 non-fastballs this season -- fifth worst among qualified SPs-- eighth Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 31% (48/154) against Joe Ryan this season -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% -- first Percentile.

Joe Ryan has a strikeout rate of 33% (142 SO in 432 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Twins are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Twins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 43 of Twins' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	69-93	33-48	36-45	46-66	22-26
Brewers	87-75	44-37	43-38	43-48	43-26

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Twins	83-73-6	43-33-5	40-40-1	63-43-6	18-30
Brewers	81-70-11	40-33-8	41-37-3	41-43-7	40-25-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	82-80	43-38	39-42	63-49	18-30
Brewers	93-69	47-34	46-35	54-37	38-31

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 20th	MIL	L 4-8	-1.5 L	O 7.5	MIL -125
Jul 14th	@SF	L 2-3	+1.5 W	U 7.5	SF +138
Jul 13th	@SF	W 4-2	+1.5 W	U 8	MIN +110
Jul 13th	@SF	L 1-7	-1.5 L	O 7.5	SF -148
Jul 10th	@CWS	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 8.5	MIN -219

Christian Yelich
OF
Yelich is out with back
Out
Brandon Woodruff
P
Woodruff is out with shoulder
Out
Nestor Cortes
P
Cortes is out with elbow
Out
Robert Gasser
P
Gasser is out with elbow
Out

Jose Miranda
IF
Jose Miranda (back) has been scratched Thursday.
Out
Trevor Larnach
OF
Larnach is out with hamstring
Out
Joe Ryan
P
Ryan is out with triceps
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Civale, P	87	4.1	4	5
LR.Zastryzny, P	11	0.2	1	0
RB.Wilson, P	14	1	1	0
LJ.Koenig, P	24	1	1	0
RE.Peguero, P	28	1	2	0
RT.Megill, P	15	1	1	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Turang, 2B	0-5	0	0	0
2W.Contreras, DH	0-4	0	0	0
3W.Adames, SS	1-5	0	0	0
4S.Frelick, RF	1-4	1	0	0
5R.Hoskins, 1B	2-4	1	1	2
6J.Ortiz, 3B	1-4	1	0	0
7G.Mitchell, CF	1-4	1	0	0
8J.Chourio, LF	2-4	2	1	3
9E.Haase, C	3-4	2	2	3

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Ryan, P	88	6	6	4
RJ.Alcala, P	16	1	2	1
RG.Jax, P	15	1	1	2
LC.Thielbar, P	16	1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1W.Castro, SS	1-2	1	0	0
2T.Larnach, DH	1-3	1	1	2
2R.Jeffers, PH	1-2	0	0	0
2R.Jeffers, DH	1-2	0	0	0
3B.Buxton, CF	2-5	2	2	2
4M.Kepler, RF	1-4	2	0	0
5C.Santana, 1B	0-4	1	0	0
6B.Lee, 3B	1-4	0	0	1
7A.Martin, LF	0-3	0	0	0
7M.Wallner, PH	1-2	0	0	0
7M.Wallner, LF	1-2	0	0	0
8E.Julien, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
9C.Vazquez, C	1-3	0	0	1
9M.Margot, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9J.Camargo, C	0-0	0	0	0