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Phillies vs. Rays Odds & Betting Predictions - May 8, 2025

Phillies at Rays

11:05 pm • MLB Network

Philadelphia Phillies

1-3
7
7 - 6

Tampa Bay Rays

0-0
6
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Ryan Pepiot logoR.PepiotTampa Bay Rays logo3.8711-12
Jesus Luzardo logoJ.LuzardoPhiladelphia Phillies logo3.9215-7

Phillies at Rays Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Phillies
1-3
-1.5
-1.5+106
o8.5-123
-160
Rays
0-0
u8.5
+1.5-126
u8.5-109
+135
location pinThursday 11:05 p.m.
May 08, 2025
George M. Steinbrenner FieldTampa
Phillies vs. Rays Expert Picks
PvB Bets
PvB Bets
Last 30d: 4-4-0 (-0.9u)
PHI -144
0.69u
🔔 PHI Phillies ML 🔔 -144 @ ProphetX - 1U 💵 🎯 Luzardo sub-2.00 ERA 🎯 TBR ranks 26th in OPS vs LHP (L30) 🎯 Pepiot owns a 4.66 xERA and isn't getting whiffs Let's get back on track 🫡
David Payne
David Payne
Last 30d: 10-12-0 (-2.0u)
B.Harper o0.5 HR+400
1u
FD
J.Caminero o0.5 HR+525
5.25u
365
Austin Pendergrass
Austin Pendergrass
Last 30d: 53-46-1 (+4.7u)
PHI -148
0.68u
Not sure why this line is so low but I’m taking it. Luzardo has a road ERA of 1.59 and TB has been one of the worst teams against LHP hitting .182 as a team this year. Pepiot has a 4.82 home ERA this year. He has given up 8 HRs so far this year and they have all been at home so good opportunities for the Phils bats here
Picks Office
Picks Office
Last 30d: 122-100-4 (+15.2u)
PHI -135
0.74u
Phillies have won 8 straight vs Rays – latest 8-4, 7-0 blowouts. Rolling: 8-2 last 10, 11-1 in interleague. Rays collapsing at home – just 1-10 last 11. Also 2-7 vs NL East. Philly owns matchup, full momentum edge. Luzardo starts – 3-0, 1.94 ERA, 9 ER in 41.2 IP. Last 3: 1.47 ERA. Phillies 5-2 in his games. Rays hitting .180 vs LHP, just 1.92 runs/9. Pepiot shaky – 2-4, 4.23 ERA, 18 ER in 38.1 IP. Rays 3-4 when he starts. Philly lineup hot – .281 last 10, 5.00 runs/9 vs RHP. Rays weak – .204 last 10, 3.81 runs/9 overall. Phillies’ bullpen 2.77 ERA, 1.00 WHIP last 3. Rays' pen slipping – 1.57 WHIP. All signs point to Philly.
The Degenerates
The Degenerates
Last 30d: 56-59-0 (-7.6u)
PHI -145
1u
Capper Central
Capper Central
Last 30d: 79-74-0 (-9.6u)
Over 8.5+100
1u
Steak Friend
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
TB +128
0.78u
David Payne
David Payne
Last 30d: 10-12-0 (-2.0u)
R.Pepiot o1.5 BB-195
0.51u
DK
💰🦡 Jake
💰🦡 Jake
Last 30d: 115-129-8 (+1.5u)
N.Castellanos o1.5 Total Bases+115
1.3u
The Pick Don
The Pick Don
Last 30d: 18-9-0 (+11.2u)
Over 8.5-115
1.5u
Grant Neiffer
Grant Neiffer
Last 30d: 45-84-0 (+13.9u)
B.Harper o0.5 HR+400
0.5u
J.Caminero o0.5 HR+525
2.63u
Jim Sannes
Jim Sannes
Last 30d: 19-59-0 (-21.3u)
J.Luzardo o6.5 Ks+138
1u
Has a sweeper this year that's generating a lot of whiffs. Has led to an uptick in both strikeouts and swinging strikes, putting him back at the levels he produced in 2023. Think it's reasonable to expect those gains to stick, and he's in a plus matchup for Ks tonight.
MJC Locks
MJC Locks
Last 30d: 12-31-0 (+0.9u)
K.Schwarber o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-115
1.15u
Brian Bitler
Brian Bitler
Last 30d: 75-76-2 (-12.8u)
TB +120
3u
Cam Is Money
Cam Is Money
Last 30d: 82-95-3 (-10.4u)
C.Mead u0.5 Hits+130
1u
David Payne
David Payne
Last 30d: 10-12-0 (-2.0u)
Over 8.5-115
0.87u
FD
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 94-111-5 (+6.6u)
Over 8.5+100
0.5u
Thursday. Bet to 9 (-105)

Phillies vs. Rays Previews & Analysis

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  • Thursday's MLB Best Bets article feature image

    Thursday's MLB Best Bets

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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Phillies vs. Rays Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Phillies

Public

Home Logo

Rays

85%

Bets%

15%

Money%

MLB Public Betting Right Arrow

Betting Trends

  • Rays are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
  • Rays are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
  • Rays are 38-43 in their road games against the spread
  • The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Rays' last 5 games
  • The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Rays' 81 last games at home

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Rays		73-8935-4638-4329-4643-41
Phillies		81-8141-4040-4162-6719-14

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Rays		71-81-1036-41-435-40-632-37-638-42-4
Phillies		70-81-1141-37-329-44-857-61-1113-20

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Rays		77-8541-4036-4542-3334-50
Phillies		96-6655-2641-4080-4916-17

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
May 7thPHIL 0-7+1.5 LU 8.5PHI +140
May 6thPHIL 4-8+1.5 LO 8PHI +110
May 4th@NYYW 7-5+1.5 WO 9TB +142
May 3rd@NYYW 3-2+1.5 WU 10TB +182
May 2nd@NYYL 0-3+1.5 LU 8.5NYY +195

Rays vs. Phillies Injury Updates

Rays Injuries

  • Alex Faedo
    RP

    Faedo is out with shoulder

    Out

  • Taylor Walls
    SS

    Walls is out with groin

    Out

  • Shane McClanahan
    SP

    McClanahan is out with triceps

    Out

Phillies Injuries

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    Phillies vs. Rays Box Score
    Phillies Player Stats
    Projected
    PITCHERPCIPKER
    Jesus Luzardo logoLJ.Luzardo, P1055.142
    Carlos Hernandez logoRC.Hernandez, P80.220
    Tanner Banks logoLT.Banks, P27113
    Jordan Romano logoRJ.Romano, P14110
    Jose Alvarado logoLJ.Alvarado, P11110
    Matt Strahm logoLM.Strahm, P18120
    HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
    Bryson Stott logo1B.Stott, 2B2-4213
    Trea Turner logo2T.Turner, SS2-5001
    Bryce Harper logo3B.Harper, 1B0-4001
    Kyle Schwarber logo4K.Schwarber, LF1-4000
    Johan Rojas logo4J.Rojas, PR0-1100
    Johan Rojas logo4J.Rojas, CF0-1100
    Nick Castellanos logo5N.Castellanos, DH0-3000
    Weston Wilson logo5W.Wilson, PR0-0000
    Weston Wilson logo5W.Wilson, DH0-0000
    Max Kepler logo6M.Kepler, RF0-3001
    J.T. Realmuto logo7J.Realmuto, C1-3000
    Alec Bohm logo8A.Bohm, 3B1-4100
    Edmundo Sosa logo8E.Sosa, PR0-0100
    Edmundo Sosa logo8E.Sosa, 3B0-0100
    Brandon Marsh logo9B.Marsh, CF2-4201
    Brandon Marsh logo9B.Marsh, LF2-4201
    Rays Player Stats
    Projected
    PITCHERPCIPKER
    Ryan Pepiot logoRR.Pepiot, P95631
    Garrett Cleavinger logoLG.Cleavinger, P10100
    Edwin Uceta logoRE.Uceta, P180.203
    Mason Montgomery logoLM.Montgomery, P20.100
    Pete Fairbanks logoRP.Fairbanks, P28110
    Manuel Rodriguez logoRM.Rodriguez, P12111
    HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
    Yandy Diaz logo1Y.Diaz, DH1-5113
    Christopher Morel logo2C.Morel, LF0-3000
    Brandon Lowe logo2B.Lowe, 2B0-1100
    Junior Caminero logo3J.Caminero, 3B1-3112
    Junior Caminero logo3J.Caminero, 1B1-3112
    Jonathan Aranda logo4J.Aranda, 1B3-4000
    Travis Jankowski logo4T.Jankowski, PR0-1000
    Travis Jankowski logo4T.Jankowski, RF0-1000
    Danny Jansen logo5D.Jansen, C2-5001
    Curtis Mead logo6C.Mead, 2B1-2000
    Chandler Simpson logo6C.Simpson, PH1-3000
    Chandler Simpson logo6C.Simpson, RF1-3000
    Chandler Simpson logo6C.Simpson, LF1-3000
    Jose Caballero logo7J.Caballero, RF2-5100
    Jose Caballero logo7J.Caballero, 2B2-5100
    Jose Caballero logo7J.Caballero, 3B2-5100
    Kameron Misner logo8K.Misner, CF0-4000
    Taylor Walls logo9T.Walls, SS3-4200

    Phillies vs. Rays Odds Comparison

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    Phillies at Rays Team Totals

    MatchupOverUnder
    Phillies
    1-3
    o4.5-130
    u4.5+101
    Rays
    0-0
    o3.5-125
    u3.5-103