Phillies vs. Rays Odds & Betting Predictions - May 8, 2025

Not sure why this line is so low but I’m taking it. Luzardo has a road ERA of 1.59 and TB has been one of the worst teams against LHP hitting .182 as a team this year. Pepiot has a 4.82 home ERA this year. He has given up 8 HRs so far this year and they have all been at home so good opportunities for the Phils bats here

Phillies have won 8 straight vs Rays – latest 8-4, 7-0 blowouts. Rolling: 8-2 last 10, 11-1 in interleague. Rays collapsing at home – just 1-10 last 11. Also 2-7 vs NL East. Philly owns matchup, full momentum edge. Luzardo starts – 3-0, 1.94 ERA, 9 ER in 41.2 IP. Last 3: 1.47 ERA. Phillies 5-2 in his games. Rays hitting .180 vs LHP, just 1.92 runs/9. Pepiot shaky – 2-4, 4.23 ERA, 18 ER in 38.1 IP. Rays 3-4 when he starts. Philly lineup hot – .281 last 10, 5.00 runs/9 vs RHP. Rays weak – .204 last 10, 3.81 runs/9 overall. Phillies’ bullpen 2.77 ERA, 1.00 WHIP last 3. Rays' pen slipping – 1.57 WHIP. All signs point to Philly.

Has a sweeper this year that's generating a lot of whiffs. Has led to an uptick in both strikeouts and swinging strikes, putting him back at the levels he produced in 2023. Think it's reasonable to expect those gains to stick, and he's in a plus matchup for Ks tonight.

Thursday. Bet to 9 (-105)