Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Odds & Betting Predictions - June 15, 2023

Phillies at Diamondbacks

7:40 pm • MLB Network

Philadelphia Phillies

42-35

5 - 4

Arizona Diamondbacks

39-38

pitcher		team	era	w-l
R.Nelson			5.31	8-8
A.Nola			4.46	12-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Phillies 42-35	N/A	N/A	N/A
Diamondbacks 39-38	N/A	N/A	N/A

Thursday 7:40 p.m.

June 15, 2023

Chase FieldPhoenix

ARI +2.5 (Live)+105

1.05u

ARI +118

0.5u

PHI w/ large SP edge - but ARI 5 pt wRC+ edge v RHP & Realmuto absence is a huge deal both Off & Def - ARI 14 Runs Prevented edge probably even larger now - ARI pen estimators 1/2 run better L30 days too.

Over 9-110

PHI o2.5 (F5)-105

0.95u

C.Carroll o1.5 Total Bases-105

$1.05

A.Nola u18.5 Outs-131

0.35u

PHI -132

A.Nola u18.5 Outs-140

$115.00

PHI -124

0.81u

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The Diamondbacks are 8-2 (.800) after a road loss this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .459.

Ketel Marte batted just .279 on the first pitch of at-bats last season -- tied for 15th worst in MLB-- 14th Percentile. Aaron Nola had a strike rate of 70% on the first pitch of at-bats last season -- highest among qualified SPs-- 100th Percentile.

Christian Walker has 7 home runs on breaking pitches this season -- tied for fourth most in MLB-- 99th Percentile. Aaron Nola has thrown his curveball 31% of the time this season -- seventh highest among qualified SPs-- 88th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 33% (31/95) against Aaron Nola this season -- 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% -- eighth Percentile.

Aaron Nola has walked 8 of 211 right-handed batters (4%) this season -- tied for 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% -- 90th Percentile.

Ryne Nelson has allowed an OBP of .424 (132 PA's) vs left-handed batters this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .314 -- first Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Diamondbacks are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Diamondbacks are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Diamondbacks are 20-16 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Diamondbacks' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 16 of Diamondbacks' 41 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Diamondbacks	43-34	23-18	20-16	18-19	24-15
Phillies	28-49	15-27	13-22	23-33	5-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Diamondbacks	33-41-3	16-24-1	17-17-2	13-23-1	19-18-2
Phillies	33-41-3	21-19-2	12-22-1	27-27-2	6-14-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Diamondbacks	39-38	24-17	15-21	22-15	16-23
Phillies	42-35	23-19	19-16	34-22	8-13

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 15th	PHI	L 3-4	-	-	-
Jun 14th	PHI	L 3-15	-	-	-
Jun 13th	PHI	W 9-8	-	-	-
Jun 11th	@DET	W 7-5	-	-	-
Jun 10th	@DET	W 5-0	-	-	-

Corbin Burnes
SP
Burnes is out with elbow
Out
Blake Walston
SP
Walston is out with elbow
Out
Tyler Locklear
1B
Locklear is out with elbow
Out

Cristian Mena
SP
Mena is doubtful with shoulder
Doubtful

Max Lazar
RP
Lazar is out with oblique
Out
Andrew Painter
SP
Andrew Painter was seen walking out to bullpen, he won't start but could be available in relief.
Questionable

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Nola, P	104	6.2	9	4
LG.Soto, P	10	0.2	1	0
RS.Dominguez, P	12	0.2	2	0
RC.Kimbrel, P	13	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Schwarber, LF	1-3	1	0	1
2T.Turner, SS	2-5	0	0	1
3N.Castellanos, RF	2-5	0	0	0
4B.Harper, DH	1-4	0	0	1
5B.Stott, 2B	2-5	2	1	1
6A.Bohm, 3B	2-5	1	0	1
7K.Clemens, 1B	1-5	0	0	0
8B.Marsh, CF	1-5	0	0	0
9G.Stubbs, C	1-3	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RR.Nelson, P	82	4	5	5
RD.Jameson, P	35	2.1	3	0
LK.Nelson, P	16	0.2	0	0
RM.Castro, P	17	1.1	1	0
LA.Chafin, P	7	0.2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1P.Smith, RF	0-3	0	0	0
1E.Rivera, PH	0-1	0	0	0
1E.Rivera, 3B	0-1	0	0	0
2K.Marte, 2B	2-4	1	1	3
3C.Carroll, LF	0-4	0	0	0
3C.Carroll, CF	0-4	0	0	0
4C.Walker, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
5L.Gurriel, DH	0-4	0	0	0
6J.Rojas, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
6J.Rojas, LF	0-4	0	0	0
7J.McCarthy, CF	2-4	1	0	0
7J.McCarthy, RF	2-4	1	0	0
8G.Moreno, C	2-4	1	0	1
9G.Perdomo, SS	1-2	1	0	0