Phillies vs. Cubs Odds & Betting Predictions - July 4, 2024

Phillies at Cubs

6:20 pm • MLB Network

Philadelphia Phillies

28-18

2 - 10

Chicago Cubs

28-19

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Taillon			3.27	12-8
C.Sanchez			3.32	11-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Phillies 28-18	-1.5+130	o7.5-115	-126
Cubs 28-19	+1.5-156	u7.5-105	+108

Thursday 6:20 p.m.

July 04, 2024

Wrigley FieldChicago

PHI -125 (F5)

Sanchez F5

CHC u3.5 Team Total (Live)-110

Cubs suck

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-150

$500.00

T.Turner o1.5 Total Bases+100

PHI -130

Always

PHI -126

1.26u

PHI -130

1.95u

CHC +118

0.59u

Bet to +112

Featured Insight
Phillies have allowed a run just 27% of the time after an opposing score since the 2022 season -- second lowest in MLB. The Cubs have answered-back in just 27% of innings after an opponent scores since the 2022 season -- fourth lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Opponents are hitting just .175 (7-for-40) against Cubs RPs with RISP over the last two weeks -- fourth best in MLB. The Phillies are batting just .207 with RISP over the last two weeks -- tied for second worst in MLB.

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MLB Player Prop Picks for Thursday
Alex Hinton•
Jul 4, 2024 UTC

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The Cubs are 10-5 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning this season -- 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Phillies are 40-5 (.889) when scoring 5 or more runs this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .802.

Christopher Morel has struck out in 27% of PA's since last season -- 15th highest in MLB-- 11th Percentile. Jose Alvarado has a strikeout rate of 33% since last season -- eighth highest among qualified RPs-- 96th Percentile.

Dansby Swanson has struck out in 25% of PA's since the 2022 season -- 13th highest in MLB-- 11th Percentile. Jose Alvarado has a strikeout rate of 35% since the 2022 season -- tied for seventh highest among qualified RPs-- 96th Percentile.

Jameson Taillon has allowed an OPS of just .182 (23 PA's) vs left-handed batters -- 3rd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .728 -- 97th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 65% (132/202) against Cristopher Sanchez in two-strike counts since last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 98 total IP; League Avg: 45% -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (166/273) against Cristopher Sanchez this season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% -- 98th Percentile.

Jameson Taillon has allowed three-ball counts to 7% of batters they faced (12/162 PA's) against right-handed batters this season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: 18% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Cubs are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Cubs are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Cubs are 12-10 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Cubs' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 16 of Cubs' 25 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	25-22	13-12	12-10	16-12	9-10
Phillies	24-22	13-12	11-10	18-19	6-3

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cubs	27-17-3	16-8-1	11-9-2	15-11-2	12-6-1
Phillies	20-25-1	13-12	7-13-1	17-19-1	3-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	28-19	15-10	13-9	19-9	9-10
Phillies	28-18	17-8	11-10	23-14	5-4

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 4th	PHI	L 3-5	+1.5 L	O 7.5	PHI -105
Jul 3rd	PHI	L 4-6	-1.5 L	O 9.5	PHI -122
Jun 30th	@MIL	L 1-7	+1.5 L	O 7.5	MIL +164
Jun 29th	@MIL	W 5-3	-1.5 W	U 8	CHC +100
Jun 29th	@MIL	L 2-4	+1.5 L	U 8.5	MIL +110

Drew Pomeranz
RP
Pomeranz is out with elbow
Out
Justin Steele
SP
Steele is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LC.Sanchez, P	79	4	3	7
RS.Dominguez, P	28	2	5	1
RY.Marte, P	21	1	1	1
LG.Soto, P	24	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Stott, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
2T.Turner, SS	1-4	1	0	0
3A.Bohm, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
4B.Marsh, LF	1-4	0	0	1
5N.Castellanos, DH	2-4	1	1	1
6K.Clemens, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
7D.Dahl, RF	0-4	0	0	0
8J.Rojas, CF	0-3	0	0	0
9G.Stubbs, C	0-2	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Taillon, P	88	7	7	2
LD.Smyly, P	24	1	2	0
RH.Neris, P	17	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1N.Hoerner, 2B	1-4	0	0	1
2P.Wisdom, 1B	1-5	0	0	0
3C.Bellinger, CF	1-4	2	0	1
4S.Suzuki, RF	2-3	3	0	0
5I.Happ, LF	4-4	2	2	6
6C.Morel, DH	1-4	0	0	1
7D.Swanson, SS	0-3	1	0	0
8D.Bote, 3B	1-4	1	0	0
9T.Nido, C	1-4	1	0	1