Cubs vs. Brewers Odds & Betting Predictions - June 29, 2024

Cubs at Brewers

12:10 am • MARQ

Chicago Cubs

28-19

2 - 4

Milwaukee Brewers

22-25

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Rea			4.29	12-6
J.Taillon			3.27	12-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cubs 28-19	+1.5	+1.5-185	o8.5-115	+110
Brewers 22-25	u8	-1.5+154	u8.5-105	-130

Saturday 12:10 a.m.

June 29, 2024

American Family FieldMilwaukee

C.Yelich o1.5 Total Bases+110

MIL -135

C.Rea u4.5 Ks-120

1.2u

J.Taillon u17.5 Outs-115

C.Rea u4.5 Ks-110

1.1u

J.Taillon o5.5 Hits Allowed+100

Over in 8/11 since being fully stretched out - allowing slightly more than a hit per inning dating back to last season. Brewers hitting .251 at home vs righties this season (.261 over the L30). Taillon with the 15th highest zone% of 140 pitchers with 50+ innings - not too worried about the Brewers strong walk rate.

CHC +115 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to +106

Featured Insight
Opponents are hitting just .179 (14-for-78) against Cubs RPs with RISP this month -- fourth best in MLB. The Brewers are batting just .215 with RISP this month -- third worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Brewers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 21% of their games this month -- lowest in MLB. The Cubs have scored in at least three different innings in just 26% of their games this month -- fourth lowest in MLB.

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The Cubs are just 28-4 (.875) when leading entering the 9th inning this season -- 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .942.

Christian Yelich is batting .636 on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- second best among hitters with at least 117 total PA's-- 99th Percentile. Jameson Taillon has a strike rate of 70% on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- seventh highest among starting pitchers with at least 31 total IP-- 94th Percentile.

38% of Christopher Morel strikeouts are looking this season -- ninth highest in MLB-- 95th Percentile. 33% of Colin Rea strikeouts are looking this season -- seventh highest among qualified SPs-- 92nd Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Brewers are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Brewers are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Brewers are 13-12 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Brewers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 8 of Brewers' 23 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	25-23	12-11	13-12	14-9	10-14
Cubs	25-23	13-12	12-11	16-13	9-10

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Brewers	17-28-3	8-14-1	9-14-2	8-14-1	9-13-2
Cubs	28-17-3	16-8-1	12-9-2	16-11-2	12-6-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	23-25	14-9	9-16	16-7	6-18
Cubs	28-20	15-10	13-10	19-10	9-10

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 26th	TEX	W 6-5	+1.5 W	O 8.5	MIL +100
Jun 26th	TEX	W 3-1	+1.5 W	U 9	MIL -110
Jun 25th	TEX	W 6-3	-1.5 W	O 8	MIL -180
Jun 23rd	@SD	W 6-2	+1.5 W	O 7.5	MIL +119
Jun 22nd	@SD	L 4-6	-1.5 L	O 8.5	SD -120

Jose Quintana
SP
Quintana is out with shoulder
Out
Brandon Woodruff
SP
Woodruff is out with shoulder
Out
Easton McGee
SP
McGee is out with arm
Out
Blake Perkins
CF
Perkins is out with leg
Out
Garrett Mitchell
CF
Mitchell is out with oblique
Out
Aaron Ashby
SP
Ashby is out with oblique
Out
Robert Gasser
SP
Gasser is out with elbow
Out

Drew Pomeranz
RP
Pomeranz is out with elbow
Out
Justin Steele
SP
Steele is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Taillon, P	90	6	5	3
RJ.Lopez, P	13	1	0	0
RC.Brewer, P	11	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1N.Hoerner, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
2M.Busch, 1B	0-2	0	0	0
2P.Wisdom, PH	0-1	0	0	0
2T.Nido, C	0-0	0	0	0
3C.Bellinger, RF	0-4	0	0	0
3C.Bellinger, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
4S.Suzuki, DH	1-4	1	1	1
5I.Happ, LF	1-3	1	0	0
6C.Morel, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
7D.Swanson, SS	1-3	0	0	1
8P.Crow-Armstrong, CF	0-4	0	0	0
9M.Amaya, C	0-2	0	0	0
9M.Mastrobuoni, PH	1-1	0	0	0
9M.Mastrobuoni, RF	1-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Rea, P	97	5.1	8	2
RE.Peguero, P	29	1.1	2	0
LJ.Koenig, P	18	1.1	3	0
RT.Megill, P	11	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Turang, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
2W.Contreras, C	0-3	0	0	0
3C.Yelich, DH	0-4	1	0	0
4W.Adames, SS	0-4	0	0	0
5S.Frelick, RF	0-2	1	0	0
6R.Hoskins, 1B	1-3	1	0	0
7J.Chourio, LF	2-3	1	1	4
8B.Perkins, CF	0-3	0	0	0
9A.Monasterio, 3B	1-3	0	0	0