Padres vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - June 28, 2024

Padres at Red Sox

11:10 pm • Apple TV+

San Diego Padres

18-11

9 - 2

Boston Red Sox

17-14

pitcher		team	era	w-l
N.Pivetta			4.14	6-12
R.Vasquez			4.87	4-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Padres 18-11	+1.5-151	o9.5+100	+134
Red Sox 17-14	-1.5+125	u9.5-120	-159

Friday 11:10 p.m.

June 28, 2024

Fenway ParkBoston

Over 5 (F5)-110

1.5u

SD +130

1.3u

SD +130

0.65u

SD +1.5-154

BOS -154

1.54u

BOS -1.5+130

BOS -0.5 (F5)-124

$62.00

N.Pivetta u5.5 Hits Allowed+110

R.Devers o1.5 Total Bases-125

BOS -176 (F5)

0.44u

Meant to track at -165. Small to -167

Featured Insight
Padres had allowed a run just 28% of the time after an opposing score last season -- third lowest in MLB. The Red Sox answered-back in just 29% of innings after an opponent scored last season -- tied for fifth lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Red Sox hitters have an OPS of .832 over the last two weeks -- fourth best in MLB. Padres RPs have allowed an OPS of .871 (207 PAs) over the last two weeks -- worst in MLB.

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The Red Sox are 37-9 (.804) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season -- tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .718.

32% of Ha-seong Kim strikeouts are looking since last season -- tied for eighth highest in MLB-- 94th Percentile. 40% of Brennan Bernardino strikeouts are looking since last season -- eighth highest among qualified RPs-- 96th Percentile.

Dominic Smith has an OPS of just .682 since last season -- 12th worst in MLB-- ninth Percentile. Robert Suarez has allowed an OPS of just .496 (231 PAs) since last season -- second best among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 25% (10/40) against Nick Pivetta this month (4 games) -- lowest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 43% -- second Percentile.

Nick Pivetta has allowed a slugging percentage of .808 (21 Total Bases / 26 ABs) against right-handed batters -- 3rd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .388 -- fourth Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Red Sox are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Red Sox are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Red Sox are 10-7 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Red Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 6 of Red Sox' 14 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	16-15	6-8	10-7	12-12	4-3
Padres	16-13	13-4	3-9	9-6	7-7

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Red Sox	15-15-1	6-7-1	9-8	11-12-1	4-3
Padres	11-17-1	5-11-1	6-6	5-9-1	6-8

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	17-14	8-6	9-8	14-10	3-4
Padres	18-11	13-4	5-7	11-4	7-7

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 25th	TOR	L 4-9	-1.5 L	O 9.5	TOR -130
Jun 24th	TOR	W 7-6	-1.5 L	O 8.5	BOS -165
Jun 23rd	@CIN	W 7-4	+1.5 W	O 9.5	BOS +136
Jun 22nd	@CIN	W 4-3	-1.5 L	U 9.5	BOS -118
Jun 21st	@CIN	L 2-5	-1.5 L	U 9	CIN -115

Connor Wong
C
Wong is out with finger
Out
Patrick Sandoval
P
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
P
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Masataka Yoshida
OF
Yoshida is out with shoulder
Out

Joe Musgrove
P
Musgrove is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Yu Darvish
P
Darvish is out with elbow
Out
Matt Waldron
P
Waldron is out with hamstring
Out
Jackson Merrill
OF
Merrill is out with hamstring
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RR.Vasquez, P	59	4	1	1
LW.Peralta, P	13	1	0	1
RS.Kolek, P	22	2	2	0
LA.Davis, P	20	1	1	0
LY.Matsui, P	18	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Arraez, 1B	2-5	1	0	0
2J.Profar, LF	1-3	1	0	0
2T.Wade, PR	0-0	0	0	0
2T.Wade, LF	0-0	0	0	0
3J.Cronenworth, 2B	1-5	1	0	2
4M.Machado, 3B	2-5	1	0	0
5D.Solano, DH	2-3	1	0	2
5D.Peralta, PH	0-1	0	0	0
5D.Peralta, DH	0-1	0	0	0
6J.Merrill, CF	1-5	1	1	3
7H.Kim, SS	1-4	1	0	0
8K.Higashioka, C	1-3	1	1	2
9B.Johnson, RF	1-4	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RN.Pivetta, P	73	4	4	5
RG.Weissert, P	25	1	1	4
RC.Anderson, P	61	4	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Duran, CF	1-5	0	0	0
2D.Hamilton, 2B	0-5	0	0	0
3W.Abreu, RF	1-4	1	0	0
4R.Devers, 3B	1-2	1	1	1
4R.Gonzalez, PH	0-1	0	0	0
4R.Gonzalez, 3B	0-1	0	0	0
5T.O'Neill, LF	0-4	0	0	0
6M.Yoshida, DH	1-2	0	0	0
7C.Wong, C	1-4	0	0	1
8D.Smith, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
9C.Rafaela, SS	3-4	0	0	0