Padres vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - June 28, 2024

Padres at Red Sox

11:10 pm • Apple TV+

San Diego Padres

4-3

9 - 2

Boston Red Sox

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
N.Pivetta			4.14	6-12
R.Vasquez			4.87	4-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Padres 4-3	+1.5-151	o9.5+100	+134
Red Sox 0-0	-1.5+125	u9.5-120	-159

Friday 11:10 p.m.

June 28, 2024

Fenway ParkBoston

Over 5 (F5)-110

1.5u

BOS -1.5+130

BOS -0.5 (F5)-124

$62.00

N.Pivetta u5.5 Hits Allowed+110

R.Devers o1.5 Total Bases-125

BOS -176 (F5)

0.44u

Meant to track at -165. Small to -167

BOS -155

1.55u

Featured Insight
Padres had allowed a run just 28% of the time after an opposing score last season -- third lowest in MLB. The Red Sox answered-back in just 29% of innings after an opponent scored last season -- tied for fifth lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Red Sox hitters have an OPS of .832 over the last two weeks -- fourth best in MLB. Padres RPs have allowed an OPS of .871 (207 PAs) over the last two weeks -- worst in MLB.

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The Red Sox are 37-9 (.804) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season -- tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .718.

32% of Ha-seong Kim strikeouts are looking since last season -- tied for eighth highest in MLB-- 94th Percentile. 40% of Brennan Bernardino strikeouts are looking since last season -- eighth highest among qualified RPs-- 96th Percentile.

Dominic Smith has an OPS of just .682 since last season -- 12th worst in MLB-- ninth Percentile. Robert Suarez has allowed an OPS of just .496 (231 PAs) since last season -- second best among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 25% (10/40) against Nick Pivetta this month (4 games) -- lowest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 43% -- second Percentile.

Nick Pivetta has allowed a slugging percentage of .808 (21 Total Bases / 26 ABs) against right-handed batters -- 3rd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .388 -- fourth Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Red Sox are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Red Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Red Sox' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	75-87	32-49	43-38	30-49	44-37
Padres	82-78	35-45	47-33	43-57	37-19

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Red Sox	79-75-8	37-40-4	42-35-4	37-40-2	41-34-6
Padres	81-74-5	44-34-2	37-40-3	51-44-5	28-28

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	81-81	38-43	43-38	42-37	38-43
Padres	93-69	45-35	47-33	58-42	31-25

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 25th	TOR	L 4-9	-1.5 L	O 9.5	TOR -130
Jun 24th	TOR	W 7-6	-1.5 L	O 8.5	BOS -165
Jun 23rd	@CIN	W 7-4	+1.5 W	O 9.5	BOS +136
Jun 22nd	@CIN	W 4-3	-1.5 L	U 9.5	BOS -118
Jun 21st	@CIN	L 2-5	-1.5 L	U 9	CIN -115

Lucas Giolito
P
Giolito is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Garrett Whitlock
P
Whitlock is out with oblique
Out
David Hamilton
IF
Hamilton is out with finger
Out

Mason McCoy
IF
McCoy is out with back
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RR.Vasquez, P	59	4	1	1
LW.Peralta, P	13	1	0	1
RS.Kolek, P	22	2	2	0
LA.Davis, P	20	1	1	0
LY.Matsui, P	18	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Arraez, 1B	2-5	1	0	0
2J.Profar, LF	1-3	1	0	0
2T.Wade, PR	0-0	0	0	0
2T.Wade, LF	0-0	0	0	0
3J.Cronenworth, 2B	1-5	1	0	2
4M.Machado, 3B	2-5	1	0	0
5D.Solano, DH	2-3	1	0	2
5D.Peralta, PH	0-1	0	0	0
5D.Peralta, DH	0-1	0	0	0
6J.Merrill, CF	1-5	1	1	3
7H.Kim, SS	1-4	1	0	0
8K.Higashioka, C	1-3	1	1	2
9B.Johnson, RF	1-4	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RN.Pivetta, P	73	4	4	5
RG.Weissert, P	25	1	1	4
RC.Anderson, P	61	4	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Duran, CF	1-5	0	0	0
2D.Hamilton, 2B	0-5	0	0	0
3W.Abreu, RF	1-4	1	0	0
4R.Devers, 3B	1-2	1	1	1
4R.Gonzalez, PH	0-1	0	0	0
4R.Gonzalez, 3B	0-1	0	0	0
5T.O'Neill, LF	0-4	0	0	0
6M.Yoshida, DH	1-2	0	0	0
7C.Wong, C	1-4	0	0	1
8D.Smith, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
9C.Rafaela, SS	3-4	0	0	0