Padres vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - August 8, 2024

Padres at Pirates

4:35 pm • MLB Network

San Diego Padres

32-26

7 - 6

Pittsburgh Pirates

32-28

pitcher		team	era	w-l
L.Ortiz			3.32	7-6
R.Vasquez			4.87	4-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Padres 32-26	-1.5	-1.5+145	o8.5-119	-112
Pirates 32-28	u8.5	+1.5-172	u8.5-102	-106

Thursday 4:35 p.m.

August 08, 2024

PNC ParkPittsburgh

O.Cruz o0.5 HR+425

0.25u

Over 8.5-110

SD -111

$45.05

SD -104

L.Ortiz u17.5 Outs-110

R.Vasquez u4.5 Ks-140

0.71u

PIT -112

Over 8.5-120

0.83u

SD -104

2.88u

PIT -114

1.14u

Over 8.5+100

0.5u

Flat to -120 or 9 (+100)

PIT -105

0.53u

Bet to -115

SD -102

Two highly volatile pitchers (Ortiz 0.0 K-BB% L3 starts) with pitch modeling numbers far better than results or estimators - PIT 86/84/92 wRC+ Hm/v RHP/L7 days, SDP 107/117/131 - SD better bad defense & bullpen estimators nearly a run better L30 days

Featured Insight
Padres have struck out just 13% over the last week -- lowest in MLB. Pirates have a strikeout rate of just 17% over the last week -- second lowest in MLB.

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MLB Public Betting

Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Pirates are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Pirates are 15-12 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Pirates' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 22 of Pirates' 33 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	31-29	16-17	15-12	18-17	12-12
Padres	32-26	18-14	14-12	15-15	17-11

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Pirates	33-25-2	22-11	11-14-2	23-12	9-13-2
Padres	24-33-1	12-19-1	12-14	11-18-1	13-15

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	32-28	18-15	14-13	21-14	10-14
Padres	32-26	16-16	16-10	16-14	16-12

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 7th	SD	L 8-9	+1.5 W	O 7.5	SD +135
Aug 6th	SD	L 0-6	+1.5 L	U 7.5	SD +140
Aug 4th	ARI	L 5-6	-1.5 L	O 7.5	ARI -166
Aug 3rd	ARI	W 4-2	+1.5 W	U 9	PIT -118
Aug 2nd	ARI	L 8-9	+1.5 W	O 9	ARI +110

Joe Musgrove
SP
Musgrove is out with elbow
Out
Will Wagner
3B
Wagner is out with oblique
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RR.Vasquez, P	85	5.2	3	3
RC.Edwards, P	12	0	0	0
LY.Matsui, P	27	1.1	2	2
RJ.Adam, P	13	1	0	0
RR.Suarez, P	19	1	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Arraez, 1B	2-5	0	0	1
1L.Arraez, 2B	2-5	0	0	1
2J.Profar, LF	0-3	1	0	0
3J.Cronenworth, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
3D.Solano, PH	0-2	0	0	0
3D.Solano, 1B	0-2	0	0	0
4M.Machado, 3B	1-4	1	1	2
5X.Bogaerts, DH	1-4	1	0	0
6J.Merrill, CF	1-3	2	0	0
7D.Peralta, RF	2-4	1	1	2
8H.Kim, SS	0-3	0	0	0
9K.Higashioka, C	0-3	1	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Ortiz, P	92	6	3	4
RD.Santana, P	13	0.2	0	0
LJ.Beeks, P	4	0.1	0	0
LA.Chapman, P	13	1	1	0
RD.Bednar, P	25	0.2	1	3
RK.Nicolas, P	10	0.1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1I.Kiner-Falefa, 2B	0-5	0	0	0
2B.Reynolds, DH	1-4	1	0	0
3O.Cruz, SS	3-5	1	0	1
4J.Bart, C	2-5	2	1	2
5R.Tellez, 1B	2-4	1	0	1
5J.Triolo, PR	0-0	0	0	0
6B.De La Cruz, LF	1-5	1	0	0
7K.Hayes, 3B	2-3	0	0	0
8J.Bae, RF	1-4	0	0	1
9M.Taylor, CF	0-3	0	0	0