Orioles vs. Reds Odds & Betting Predictions - May 3, 2024

Orioles at Reds

10:10 pm • MASN

Baltimore Orioles

0-0

3 - 0

Cincinnati Reds

0-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
H.Greene			2.75	9-5
C.Irvin			4.86	6-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Orioles 0-0	-1.5+154	o9-110	-101
Reds 0-2	+1.5-185	u9-110	-118

Friday 10:10 p.m.

May 03, 2024

Great American Ball ParkCincinnati

G.Henderson o1.5 Total Bases-110

CIN -118

1.18u

CIN -140 (F5)

1.4u

H.Greene u7.5 Ks-145

0.5u

E.De La Cruz o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-120

C.Irvin u4.5 Ks+100

Ballpark pal projects 3.76 Ks and +ev bet with devig odds of -122 giving value to this number

H.Greene u7.5 Ks-146

0.86u

CIN +100 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to -105

Featured Insight
Orioles RPs have a strikeout rate of 26% vs left-handed batters since last season -- fourth highest in MLB. Reds left-handed hitters have struck out 26% against RHP since last season -- fifth highest in MLB.

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The Reds are 22-8 (.733) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .575.

Jeimer Candelario has struck out in 34% of PA's this season -- eighth highest in MLB-- third Percentile. Craig Kimbrel has a strikeout rate of 36% this season -- 12th highest among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

Adley Rutschman is batting just .201 on breaking pitches from RHP since the 2022 season -- tied for 11th worst in MLB-- 11th Percentile. Hunter Greene has thrown his slider 40% of the time since the 2022 season -- fourth highest among starting pitchers with at least 141 total SL-- 97th Percentile.

71% of Hunter Greene's strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (29/200) against Cole Irvin this season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 25% -- 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 57% (23/40) against Cole Irvin over the last 14 days -- 3rd highest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 40% -- 95th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Reds are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Reds are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Reds are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Reds' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 26 of Reds' 79 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	82-78	40-39	42-39	29-43	53-34
Orioles	78-84	37-44	41-40	25-41	51-42

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Reds	58-91-11	26-45-8	32-46-3	20-47-5	37-44-6
Orioles	65-92-5	34-44-3	31-48-2	31-32-3	32-59-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	83-79	44-35	38-43	39-33	43-44
Orioles	75-87	39-42	36-45	32-34	40-53

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 1st	@SD	L 2-6	+1.5 L	O 7.5	SD +124
May 1st	@SD	L 4-6	+1.5 L	O 7	SD +142
Apr 30th	@SD	W 5-2	-1.5 W	U 8	CIN -105
Apr 28th	@TEX	L 3-4	+1.5 W	U 9	TEX +114
Apr 27th	@TEX	W 8-4	+1.5 W	O 8.5	CIN +100

Keegan Thompson
RP
Thompson is out with inactive
Out
Noelvi Marte
3B
Marte is day-to-day with side
Day-to-Day
Brandon Williamson
SP
Williamson is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Graham Ashcraft
RP
Ashcraft is out with groin
Out
Chase Burns
SP
Burns is out with hip
Out
Julian Aguiar
SP
Aguiar is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Rhett Lowder
SP
Lowder is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
LC.Irvin, P	72	6.1	4
RY.Cano, P	3	0.2	0
LD.Coulombe, P	15	1	1
RC.Kimbrel, P	16	1	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Henderson, SS	2-4	0	0	0
2A.Rutschman, C	1-4	1	0	1
3R.O'Hearn, DH	2-5	1	1	2
4R.Mountcastle, 1B	2-5	0	0	0
5A.Santander, RF	0-4	0	0	0
6C.Mullins, CF	0-4	0	0	0
7J.Westburg, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
8H.Kjerstad, LF	1-2	0	0	0
8R.McKenna, PR	0-0	0	0	0
8R.McKenna, LF	0-0	0	0	0
9J.Mateo, 2B	1-4	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RH.Greene, P	109	5.2	5	0
RF.Cruz, P	6	0.1	1	0
RE.Pagan, P	26	0.2	0	3
LJ.Wilson, P	3	0.1	1	0
RB.Farmer, P	24	2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.India, DH	0-4	0	0	0
2E.De La Cruz, SS	2-4	0	0	0
3S.Steer, LF	0-3	0	0	0
4T.Stephenson, C	0-3	0	0	0
5C.Encarnacion-Strand, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
6J.Candelario, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
7S.Espinal, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
8J.Fraley, RF	0-2	0	0	0
8L.Maile, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8N.Martini, RF	0-0	0	0	0
9S.Fairchild, CF	0-2	0	0	0
9W.Benson, PH	0-1	0	0	0