Orioles vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - September 9, 2024

Orioles at Red Sox

11:10 pm • NESN

Baltimore Orioles

9-11

3 - 12

Boston Red Sox

12-10

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Bello			4.49	14-8
C.Povich			5.20	3-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Orioles 9-11	+1.5-191	o9.5-105	+105
Red Sox 12-10	-1.5+160	u9.5-115	-125

Monday 11:10 p.m.

September 09, 2024

Fenway ParkBoston

Over 9.5-105

$2380.95

Over 9.5+100

.tsa wind out in certain ballparks Overall: 903-660-81,58% (ROI:12%) Season:42-39-3,52% (ROI:0%)

Over 9.5-105

0.95u

G.Henderson o0.5 HR+575

0.5u

Featured Insight
The Orioles are batting .271 with RISP since last season -- tied for second best in MLB. Opponents are hitting .279 (365-for-1,306) against Red Sox RPs with RISP since last season -- second worst in MLB.

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The Red Sox are just 14-122 (.103) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .142.

The Red Sox are just 31-37 (.456) at home this season -- 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .522.

Gunnar Henderson is slugging .508 since the 2022 season -- tied for 14th best among hitters with at least 699 total PA's-- 95th Percentile. Brayan Bello has allowed a SLG of .483 vs left-handed batters since the 2022 season -- ninth worst among starting pitchers with at least 186 total IP-- seventh Percentile.

Rafael Devers is slugging .541 on breaking pitches since the 2022 season -- fourth best in MLB-- 97th Percentile. Craig Kimbrel has thrown his curveball 31% of the time since the 2022 season -- sixth highest among qualified RPs-- 90th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 18% (102/557) against Brayan Bello since the 2022 season -- 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 186 total IP; League Avg: 24% -- 99th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 77% (13/17) against Brayan Bello in his last two starts -- highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 41% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Red Sox are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Red Sox are 7-6 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Red Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Red Sox' 9 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	11-11	4-5	7-6	7-8	4-3
Orioles	8-12	4-6	4-6	4-7	4-5

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Red Sox	8-13-1	3-5-1	5-8	4-10-1	4-3
Orioles	12-5-3	7-1-2	5-4-1	8-1-2	4-4-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	12-10	6-3	6-7	9-6	3-4
Orioles	9-11	5-5	4-6	5-6	4-5

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 8th	CWS	L 2-7	-1.5 L	U 10.5	CWS -275
Sep 7th	CWS	W 7-5	-1.5 W	O 8.5	BOS -211
Sep 6th	CWS	W 3-1	-1.5 W	U 8.5	BOS -285
Sep 4th	@NYM	L 3-8	-1.5 L	O 7.5	NYM +100
Sep 3rd	@NYM	L 2-7	+1.5 L	O 7.5	NYM +110

Lucas Giolito
P
Giolito is out with hamstring
Out
Connor Wong
C
Wong is out with finger
Out
Patrick Sandoval
P
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
P
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Brayan Bello
P
Bello is out with shoulder
Out
Masataka Yoshida
OF
Yoshida is out with shoulder
Out

Albert Suarez
P
Suarez is out with shoulder
Out
Tyler O'Neill
OF
O'Neill is day-to-day with neck
Day-to-Day
Trevor Rogers
P
Rogers is out with knee
Out
Kyle Bradish
P
Bradish is out with elbow
Out
Grayson Rodriguez
P
Rodriguez is out with elbow
Out
Tyler Wells
P
Wells is out with elbow
Out

Chayce McDermott
P
McDermott is questionable with back
Questionable

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LC.Povich, P	76	4.2	5	4
RB.Smith, P	13	0.2	0	4
LG.Soto, P	13	0.2	2	0
RC.Kimbrel, P	25	1	3	2
LC.Irvin, P	19	1	3	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Henderson, SS	1-4	1	0	0
2C.Mullins, CF	0-2	0	0	0
2A.Slater, PH	0-2	0	0	0
2A.Slater, LF	0-2	0	0	0
3A.Santander, RF	2-4	1	1	3
4R.O'Hearn, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
5A.Rutschman, C	2-5	0	0	0
6E.Jimenez, DH	0-4	0	0	0
7C.Cowser, LF	0-2	1	0	0
7C.Cowser, CF	0-2	1	0	0
8C.Mayo, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
9L.Soto, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
9E.Rivera, PH	1-1	0	0	0
9J.Holliday, 2B	0-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Bello, P	101	5.1	5	2
LB.Bernardino, P	10	0.2	0	0
RJ.Winckowski, P	45	3	3	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Duran, LF	0-5	0	0	0
2R.Devers, 3B	3-5	2	0	0
3R.Refsnyder, RF	4-4	2	2	5
4T.O'Neill, DH	3-5	2	2	3
5R.Gonzalez, 2B	1-5	1	0	0
6C.Wong, 1B	1-5	1	0	0
7T.Story, SS	1-4	1	0	0
8D.Jansen, C	0-1	2	0	0
9C.Rafaela, CF	2-4	1	0	4