Orioles vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - September 9, 2024

Orioles at Red Sox

11:10 pm • NESN

Baltimore Orioles

0-0

3 - 12

Boston Red Sox

1-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Bello			4.49	14-8
C.Povich			5.20	3-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Orioles 0-0	+1.5-191	o9.5-105	+105
Red Sox 1-2	-1.5+160	u9.5-115	-125

Monday 11:10 p.m.

September 09, 2024

Fenway ParkBoston

Over 9.5-105

$2380.95

Over 9.5+100

.tsa wind out in certain ballparks Overall: 903-660-81,58% (ROI:12%) Season:42-39-3,52% (ROI:0%)

Over 9.5-105

0.95u

G.Henderson o0.5 HR+575

0.5u

Featured Insight
The Orioles are batting .271 with RISP since last season -- tied for second best in MLB. Opponents are hitting .279 (365-for-1,306) against Red Sox RPs with RISP since last season -- second worst in MLB.

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The Red Sox are just 14-122 (.103) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .142.

The Red Sox are just 31-37 (.456) at home this season -- 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .522.

Gunnar Henderson is slugging .508 since the 2022 season -- tied for 14th best among hitters with at least 699 total PA's-- 95th Percentile. Brayan Bello has allowed a SLG of .483 vs left-handed batters since the 2022 season -- ninth worst among starting pitchers with at least 186 total IP-- seventh Percentile.

Rafael Devers is slugging .541 on breaking pitches since the 2022 season -- fourth best in MLB-- 97th Percentile. Craig Kimbrel has thrown his curveball 31% of the time since the 2022 season -- sixth highest among qualified RPs-- 90th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 18% (102/557) against Brayan Bello since the 2022 season -- 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 186 total IP; League Avg: 24% -- 99th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 77% (13/17) against Brayan Bello in his last two starts -- highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 41% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Red Sox are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Red Sox are 44-37 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Red Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 33 of Red Sox' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	87-75	43-38	44-37	53-50	34-23
Orioles	78-84	37-44	41-40	25-41	51-42

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Red Sox	76-82-4	33-45-3	43-37-1	50-50-3	26-30-1
Orioles	65-92-5	34-44-3	31-48-2	31-32-3	32-59-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	89-73	48-33	41-40	61-42	28-29
Orioles	75-87	39-42	36-45	32-34	40-53

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 8th	CWS	L 2-7	-1.5 L	U 10.5	CWS -275
Sep 7th	CWS	W 7-5	-1.5 W	O 8.5	BOS -211
Sep 6th	CWS	W 3-1	-1.5 W	U 8.5	BOS -285
Sep 4th	@NYM	L 3-8	-1.5 L	O 7.5	NYM +100
Sep 3rd	@NYM	L 2-7	+1.5 L	O 7.5	NYM +110

Tanner Houck
SP
Houck is out with arm
Out
Patrick Sandoval
SP
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
SP
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Jovani Moran
RP
Moran is out with arm
Out

Grayson Rodriguez
SP
Rodriguez is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LC.Povich, P	76	4.2	5	4
RB.Smith, P	13	0.2	0	4
LG.Soto, P	13	0.2	2	0
RC.Kimbrel, P	25	1	3	2
LC.Irvin, P	19	1	3	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Henderson, SS	1-4	1	0	0
2C.Mullins, CF	0-2	0	0	0
2A.Slater, PH	0-2	0	0	0
2A.Slater, LF	0-2	0	0	0
3A.Santander, RF	2-4	1	1	3
4R.O'Hearn, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
5A.Rutschman, C	2-5	0	0	0
6E.Jimenez, DH	0-4	0	0	0
7C.Cowser, LF	0-2	1	0	0
7C.Cowser, CF	0-2	1	0	0
8C.Mayo, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
9L.Soto, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
9E.Rivera, PH	1-1	0	0	0
9J.Holliday, 2B	0-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Bello, P	101	5.1	5	2
LB.Bernardino, P	10	0.2	0	0
RJ.Winckowski, P	45	3	3	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Duran, LF	0-5	0	0	0
2R.Devers, 3B	3-5	2	0	0
3R.Refsnyder, RF	4-4	2	2	5
4T.O'Neill, DH	3-5	2	2	3
5R.Gonzalez, 2B	1-5	1	0	0
6C.Wong, 1B	1-5	1	0	0
7T.Story, SS	1-4	1	0	0
8D.Jansen, C	0-1	2	0	0
9C.Rafaela, CF	2-4	1	0	4