Red Sox vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - September 4, 2024

Red Sox at Mets

11:10 pm • SNY

Boston Red Sox

1-2

3 - 8

New York Mets

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Megill			4.04	4-5
T.Houck			3.12	9-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox 1-2	-1.5+160	o7.5-116	+100
Mets 0-0	+1.5-192	u7.5-105	-120

Wednesday 11:10 p.m.

September 04, 2024

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

NYM -120

0.83u

NYM -115

0.25u

Small bump. Price Target now -125 after lineups

Under 7.5-105

1.05u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-115

1.15u

NYM -102

0.5u

Update: Bet to -125

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The Red Sox are just 55-49 (.529) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .588.

The Red Sox are just 18-19 (.486) after a home loss this season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .529.

Pete Alonso is batting just .193 on breaking pitches from RHP since last season -- tied for seventh worst in MLB-- 10th Percentile. Tanner Houck has thrown his slider 41% of the time since last season -- fifth highest among starting pitchers with at least 119 total SL-- 97th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 30% (39/128) against Tylor Megill with runners in scoring position since last season -- tied for 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 119 total IP; League Avg: 24% -- fifth Percentile.

Tylor Megill has allowed an OBP of .379 (235 PA's) with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season -- 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 184 total IP; League Avg: .330 -- 14th Percentile.

Tanner Houck has allowed an OBP of .318 (321 PA's) against right-handed batters this season -- 10th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 -- 16th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 35-46 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Mets' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	74-88	39-42	35-46	48-67	26-21
Red Sox	87-75	43-38	44-37	53-50	34-23

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	76-80-6	40-39-2	36-41-4	54-55-6	22-25
Red Sox	76-82-4	33-45-3	43-37-1	50-50-3	26-30-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	83-79	49-32	34-47	64-51	19-28
Red Sox	89-73	48-33	41-40	61-42	28-29

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 3rd	BOS	W 7-2	-1.5 W	O 7.5	NYM -130
Sep 2nd	BOS	W 4-1	+1.5 W	U 8	NYM -117
Sep 1st	@CWS	W 2-0	-1.5 W	U 7.5	NYM -182
Aug 31st	@CWS	W 5-3	-1.5 W	U 9	NYM -196
Aug 31st	@CWS	W 5-1	-1.5 W	U 9	NYM -219

Tanner Houck
SP
Houck is out with arm
Out
Patrick Sandoval
SP
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
SP
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Jovani Moran
RP
Moran is out with arm
Out

Jesse Winker
LF
Winker is out with back
Out
Griffin Canning
SP
Canning is out with achilles
Out
Nick Madrigal
3B
Madrigal is out with shoulder
Out
Tylor Megill
SP
Megill is out with elbow
Out
Christian Scott
SP
Scott is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Houck, P	84	5	7	4
RZ.Kelly, P	13	1	1	0
RJ.Slaten, P	11	1	0	0
RK.Jansen, P	28	0.1	1	4
LR.Hill, P	16	0.1	0	0
RG.Weissert, P	5	0.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Duran, CF	2-4	1	1
2R.Devers, 3B	0-3	0	1
3W.Abreu, RF	0-1	0	1
3R.Refsnyder, PH	1-1	0	0
3R.Refsnyder, RF	1-1	0	0
4T.O'Neill, LF	1-3	0	0
5M.Yoshida, DH	0-4	0	0
6T.Casas, 1B	0-2	0	0
7C.Wong, C	2-4	0	0
8E.Valdez, 2B	2-4	1	0
9N.Sogard, SS	1-2	1	0
9R.Gonzalez, PH	0-2	0	0
9R.Gonzalez, SS	0-2	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Megill, P	67	4	3	3
LA.Young, P	14	1	0	0
RH.Brazoban, P	18	1.1	1	0
LD.Young, P	14	1.1	1	0
RP.Maton, P	13	0.1	0	0
RE.Diaz, P	16	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1F.Lindor, SS	2-5	1	0	0
2B.Nimmo, LF	1-2	2	0	0
3M.Vientos, 3B	2-4	1	0	0
3J.Iglesias, PR	0-0	1	0	0
3J.Iglesias, 3B	0-0	1	0	0
4P.Alonso, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
5J.Winker, DH	1-3	2	1	4
6T.Taylor, RF	0-3	1	0	1
7J.McNeil, 2B	0-3	0	0	1
8F.Alvarez, C	1-3	0	0	1
9H.Bader, CF	0-3	0	0	1