Red Sox vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - September 3, 2024

Red Sox at Mets

11:10 pm • NESN
2 - 7
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
David Peterson logoD.PetersonNew York Mets logo2.9010-3
Kutter Crawford logoK.CrawfordBoston Red Sox logo4.369-16

Red Sox at Mets Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox
0-0
+1.5-180
o7.5-115
+110
Mets
7-6
-1.5+150
u7.5-105
-130
location pinTuesday 11:10 p.m.
September 03, 2024
Citi FieldFlushing, Queens
Red Sox vs. Mets Expert Picks
💰🦡 Jake
💰🦡 Jake
67d ago
Last 30d: 112-103-5 (+4.3u)
Under 7.5-110
1.1u
The BOS bats have been nothing shy of embarrassing lately ranking 28th in BA the L15 days & 29th in the L7 days. They will see D. Peterson who has been the total opposite & absolutely dominant in Aug. with a 1.86 ERA. The NYM have been winning, but the bats have not been special ranking 16th in the L7 days & 18th in the L15. They will face K. Crawford who had a rough start to Aug. but has pitched well in his L3 starts vs bats much better than NYM right now (BAL, ARI, TOR). BOS has only went over 7.5 in 1 of their L6 games & NYM have gone over in 1 of their L5.
Picks  Office
Picks Office
67d ago
Last 30d: 85-110-3 (-32.3u)
Under 8-115
1u
Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice The Mets' David Peterson has been an absolute bright star, posting a sensational 2.83 ERA this year, and an even more scintillating 2.11 over his last three outings. His lack of vulnerability to big innings can be found in the 1.08 WHIP over that time frame, as his 2.43 groundball-to-flyball ratio greatly mitigates any possibility of the long ball - a key factor in predicting a low-scoring contest. He also proved that he can take on Boston - way back he allowed two earned runs over six innings of work against the Red Sox. For their part, the Red Sox have also gotten good work from Kutter Crawford, who in his last appearance had a 3.71 ERA and a very strong 0.94 WHIP to show he can contain the Mets bats well. Speaking of bullpens, the Mets have been especially stifling, posting a 1.46 ERA and 0.77 WHIP in the last three games. Though Boston's bullpen has blown up a time or two, their season-long 3.98 ERA is decent enough to not be completely run over. On the offensive side of the ledger, both teams have been underachieving as Boston is batting .206 and the Mets .229 over their last ten games. The Red Sox have been especially weak, averaging only 2.83 runs per game and the Mets have allowed just 2.90 runs per game in that time. Additionally, historical trends between the two sides suggest under. In the last 15 meetings, the record sits at 10-3-2. Umpire Chris Segal has a tendency to see games go over the total, but strong performances on the rubber and weak outputs at the plate should outweigh this trend. Additionally, combining that with the fact that both teams have been under trends of late and with Citi Field's reputation as a pitcher-friendly park, makes the case for a low-scoring game even stronger. The under 8 looks to be a smart play given those factors.
The Degenerates
The Degenerates
67d ago
Last 30d: 59-59-1 (-3.5u)
NYM -130
1u
Picks  Office
Picks Office
67d ago
Last 30d: 85-110-3 (-32.3u)
NYM -135
0.74u
Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice The New York Mets come into this game on a five-game winning streak because of strong starting pitching and timely hitting. David Peterson, the starter for the Mets in this one, has been one of the main reasons for that. He is 8-1 with a 2.83 ERA in 92.1 innings this season. In his last three starts, Peterson has been even better, posting a 2.11 ERA over 21.1 innings. His ability to mix pitches effectively, particularly his slider, has kept hitters off-balance, making him a tough opponent. Kutter Crawford gets the start for the Red Sox, and he's had a problem with consistency all year long. While Crawford has compiled an 8-12 record and a 4.12 ERA, he hasn't fared all that terrific in big spots, allowing some big runs to score. He has fought his command at times - especially of late - which has allowed opponents to build the big inning. With the Mets lineup finding ways to get on base and capitalize when runners are in scoring position, Crawford could be in for a tough outing. The Mets offense has indeed been very productive of late, thanks in large part to Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso. Lindor's hitting .271 with an OPS of .835 while Alonso can still change a game with one swing of his bat, where he has accumulated 30 home runs and 78 RBIs this season. The Mets team batting average over their last five games is .267, a far cry from the run-producing problems of the Red Sox. Boston has scored only three runs in its last three games, and the team's .206 batting average over the last ten games calls into question their recent offensive struggles. The Mets bullpen has been stout, boasting a 1.46 ERA over its last 24.2 innings to slam the door on several games. Meanwhile, the Boston bullpen has been leaky, yielding a 5.33 ERA in its last 52.1 frames before allowing crucial runs. Combined with the Mets' strong home record and the Red Sox's struggles on the road, these factors make New York the clear favorite to extend their winning streak to six games.
Firefighter Bets
Firefighter Bets
67d ago
Last 30d: 71-89-0 (-22.3u)
F.Lindor o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-115
0.87u
JB Bets
JB Bets
67d ago
Last 30d: 70-79-0 (-0.7u)
Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-120
0.83u
NRFI RECORDS L10 Crawford 6-4 Peterson 9-1
Grant Neiffer
Grant Neiffer
67d ago
Last 30d: 44-51-2 (-3.3u)
P.Alonso o0.5 HR+425
2.13u
Boomer Betz
Boomer Betz
67d ago
Last 30d: 148-175-1 (-55.8u)
BOS +125
1u
Brian Bitler
Brian Bitler
67d ago
Last 30d: 49-47-4 (+1.3u)
BOS +118
3u
BJ Cunningham
BJ Cunningham
68d ago
Last 30d: 74-60-12 (+8.7u)
Over 8-110
1u

PRO Insights

Red Sox logo

Red Sox

BOS Insights
  • Red Sox logoThe Red Sox have scored in at least three different innings in 56% of their games this season -- second highest in MLB. Mets have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 50% of their games this season -- fifth highest in MLB.
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Mets logo

Mets

NYM Insights
  • Mets logoMets RPs have a strikeout rate of 27% this season -- highest in MLB. Red Sox have struck out 25% this season -- third highest in MLB.
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Red Sox vs. Mets Notes

Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Red Sox vs. Mets Public Betting Percentages

17%

Bets%

83%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Mets
86-7644-3742-3952-4533-30
Red Sox
75-8732-4943-3830-4944-37

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Mets
81-76-542-3939-37-546-46-534-29
Red Sox
79-75-837-40-442-35-437-40-241-34-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Mets
89-7346-3543-3860-3728-35
Red Sox
81-8138-4343-3842-3738-43

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Sep 2ndBOSW 4-1+1.5 WU 8NYM -117
Sep 1st@CWSW 2-0-1.5 WU 7.5NYM -182
Aug 31st@CWSW 5-3-1.5 WU 9NYM -196
Aug 31st@CWSW 5-1-1.5 WU 9NYM -219
Aug 29th@ARIW 3-2+1.5 WU 8NYM +105

Mets vs. Red Sox Injury Updates

Mets Injuries

  • Paul Blackburn
    P

    Blackburn is out with hand

    Out

  • Ronny Mauricio
    IF

    Mauricio is out with knee

    Out

  • Christian Scott
    P

    Scott is out with elbow

    Out

Red Sox Injuries

  • Lucas Giolito
    P

    Giolito is out for season with elbow

    Out for Season

  • Garrett Whitlock
    P

    Whitlock is out with oblique

    Out

  • David Hamilton
    IF

    Hamilton is out with finger

    Out

Red Sox vs. Mets Box Score
Red Sox Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Kutter Crawford logoRK.Crawford, P93682
Justin Slaten logoRJ.Slaten, P16101
Chris Martin logoRC.Martin, P22124
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Rob Refsnyder logo1R.Refsnyder, LF1-3000
Wilyer Abreu logo1W.Abreu, PH0-1000
Wilyer Abreu logo1W.Abreu, LF0-1000
Jarren Duran logo2J.Duran, CF1-3100
Tyler O'Neill logo3T.O'Neill, RF1-3000
Rafael Devers logo4R.Devers, 3B0-4000
Romy Gonzalez logo5R.Gonzalez, 1B0-2000
Romy Gonzalez logo5R.Gonzalez, 2B0-2000
Enmanuel Valdez logo5E.Valdez, PH0-0001
Enmanuel Valdez logo5E.Valdez, 2B0-0001
Masataka Yoshida logo6M.Yoshida, DH1-4100
Danny Jansen logo7D.Jansen, C1-4000
Ceddanne Rafaela logo8C.Rafaela, SS0-4000
Nick Sogard logo9N.Sogard, 2B1-2001
Triston Casas logo9T.Casas, PH0-2000
Triston Casas logo9T.Casas, 1B0-2000
Mets Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
David Peterson logoLD.Peterson, P896111
Jose Butto logoRJ.Butto, P19121
Reed Garrett logoRR.Garrett, P10100
Ryne Stanek logoRR.Stanek, P17120
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Francisco Lindor logo1F.Lindor, SS2-4213
Brandon Nimmo logo2B.Nimmo, CF0-3001
Brandon Nimmo logo2B.Nimmo, LF0-3001
Mark Vientos logo3M.Vientos, 3B1-4111
Tyrone Taylor logo3T.Taylor, RF0-0000
Pete Alonso logo4P.Alonso, 1B2-4112
Jesse Winker logo5J.Winker, DH0-4000
Starling Marte logo6S.Marte, RF0-2000
Harrison Bader logo6H.Bader, CF0-0000
Jose Iglesias logo7J.Iglesias, 2B0-3000
Jose Iglesias logo7J.Iglesias, 3B0-3000
Jeff McNeil logo8J.McNeil, LF1-2200
Jeff McNeil logo8J.McNeil, RF1-2200
Jeff McNeil logo8J.McNeil, 2B1-2200
Francisco Alvarez logo9F.Alvarez, C1-3100

Red Sox vs. Mets Odds Comparison

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Red Sox at Mets Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Red Sox
0-0
o3.5-115
u3.5-115
Mets
7-6
o3.5-135
u3.5+105