Orioles vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - September 11, 2024

Orioles at Red Sox

11:10 pm • MASN

Baltimore Orioles

9-11

3 - 5

Boston Red Sox

12-10

pitcher		team	era	w-l
N.Pivetta			4.14	6-12
D.Kremer			4.10	8-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Orioles 9-11	+1.5-180	o9.5-110	+116
Red Sox 12-10	-1.5+150	u9.5-113	-136

Wednesday 11:10 p.m.

September 11, 2024

Fenway ParkBoston

BOS -132 (Live)

0.76u

BOS -136

Over 9-114

.tsa wind out in certain ballparks Overall: 905-660-81,58% (ROI:12%) Season:44-39-3,53% (ROI:3%)

BOS -136

$551.47

Over 9-120

BAL +122

Over 9-120

1.8u

BOS -124 (F5)

0.4u

Flat to -135

Featured Insight
The Orioles are batting .270 with RISP since last season -- tied for third best in MLB. Opponents are hitting .281 (369-for-1,315) against Red Sox RPs with RISP since last season -- second worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Red Sox hitters have an OPS of .811 over the last week -- third best in MLB. Orioles RPs have allowed an OPS of .826 (89 PAs) over the last week -- fourth worst in MLB.

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Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Wednesday MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
Sep 11, 2024 UTC
+435 SGP for Orioles vs Red Sox
Sean Paul•
Sep 11, 2024 UTC

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The Red Sox are 19-22 (.463) when their opponents score in the first inning this season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .359.

Colton Cowser has struck out in 30% of PA's this season -- fifth highest in MLB-- third Percentile. Nick Pivetta has a strikeout rate of 29% this season -- tied for 11th highest among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP-- 93rd Percentile.

Gunnar Henderson is batting .300 on breaking pitches from RHP since last season -- fourth best in MLB-- 97th Percentile. Nick Pivetta has thrown a breaking pitch 47% of the time since last season -- 10th highest among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP-- 94th Percentile.

Nick Pivetta allowed a batting average of .364 vs right-handed batters (second worst)-- second Percentile and just .167 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (tied for seventh best among qualified SPs)-- 90th Percentile.

Nick Pivetta has allowed a slugging percentage of .775 (293 Total Bases / 378 ABs) in non-two strike counts since last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: .573 -- 0 Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Red Sox are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Red Sox are 7-6 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Red Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Red Sox' 9 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	11-11	4-5	7-6	7-8	4-3
Orioles	8-12	4-6	4-6	4-7	4-5

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Red Sox	8-13-1	3-5-1	5-8	4-10-1	4-3
Orioles	12-5-3	7-1-2	5-4-1	8-1-2	4-4-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	12-10	6-3	6-7	9-6	3-4
Orioles	9-11	5-5	4-6	5-6	4-5

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 10th	BAL	L 3-5	-1.5 L	U 9.5	BAL -138
Sep 9th	BAL	W 12-3	-1.5 W	O 9.5	BOS -125
Sep 8th	CWS	L 2-7	-1.5 L	U 10.5	CWS -275
Sep 7th	CWS	W 7-5	-1.5 W	O 8.5	BOS -211
Sep 6th	CWS	W 3-1	-1.5 W	U 8.5	BOS -285

Lucas Giolito
P
Giolito is out with hamstring
Out
Connor Wong
C
Wong is out with finger
Out
Patrick Sandoval
P
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
P
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Brayan Bello
P
Bello is out with shoulder
Out
Masataka Yoshida
OF
Yoshida is out with shoulder
Out

Albert Suarez
P
Suarez is out with shoulder
Out
Tyler O'Neill
OF
O'Neill is day-to-day with neck
Day-to-Day
Trevor Rogers
P
Rogers is out with knee
Out
Kyle Bradish
P
Bradish is out with elbow
Out
Grayson Rodriguez
P
Rodriguez is out with elbow
Out
Tyler Wells
P
Wells is out with elbow
Out

Chayce McDermott
P
McDermott is questionable with back
Questionable

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RD.Kremer, P	103	7	7	1
LC.Perez, P	14	0.2	0	0
RY.Cano, P	2	0.1	0	0
RS.Dominguez, P	17	1	2	0
LK.Akin, P	7	0.1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Henderson, SS	1-5	0	0	0
2C.Mullins, CF	0-5	0	0	0
3A.Santander, DH	1-3	1	1	1
4R.O'Hearn, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
5A.Rutschman, C	1-4	0	0	0
6C.Cowser, LF	2-4	0	0	0
7A.Slater, RF	1-4	1	0	0
8J.Holliday, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
9E.Rivera, 3B	2-4	1	1	2

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RN.Pivetta, P	94	6	9	1
RC.Martin, P	18	1	1	0
RJ.Slaten, P	9	1	0	1
RK.Jansen, P	11	1	0	0
RG.Weissert, P	11	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Duran, CF	1-5	2	0	0
1J.Duran, LF	1-5	2	0	0
2R.Devers, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
3W.Abreu, RF	1-3	0	0	0
3R.Gonzalez, PH	1-2	1	0	0
3R.Gonzalez, 2B	1-2	1	0	0
3R.Gonzalez, 1B	1-2	1	0	0
4T.O'Neill, LF	1-4	1	1	3
4T.O'Neill, RF	1-4	1	1	3
5M.Yoshida, DH	2-4	1	0	0
6C.Wong, C	0-3	0	0	0
6E.Valdez, PH	0-1	0	0	0
6D.Jansen, C	0-0	0	0	0
7T.Casas, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
7N.Sogard, PR	0-0	0	0	0
7N.Sogard, 2B	0-0	0	0	0
8T.Story, SS	0-3	0	0	0
9C.Rafaela, 2B	1-4	0	0	1
9C.Rafaela, CF	1-4	0	0	1