Orioles vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - September 10, 2024

Orioles at Red Sox

11:10 pm • MASN

Baltimore Orioles

0-0

5 - 3

Boston Red Sox

1-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
K.Crawford			4.36	9-16
A.Suarez			3.70	9-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Orioles 0-0	+1.5-180	o9.5+100	+117
Red Sox 1-2	-1.5+150	u9.5-118	-138

Tuesday 11:10 p.m.

September 10, 2024

Fenway ParkBoston

Over 9-115

1.15u

BOS -135 (F5)

2.03u

G.Henderson o1.5 Total Bases-120

1.2u

Free Play⚡️

Under 9+105

0.53u

Bet to -104

A.Suarez u2.5 BB-165

0.61u

Fliff

A.Suarez o15.5 Outs+120

2.4u

🔑 A. Suarez o15.5 outs +120 (DraftKings) 2u He’s hit this over 4/L5 starts, and my model has this at a 62% expected win probability. Great value here for a pitcher who has been on fire

BAL o1.5 Team Total (F5)-154

0.65u

@jakemlb

BOS -108

0.54u

Bet to -110

BOS -115 (F5)

0.29u

Small to -120

Over 9-120

Featured Insight
Orioles hitters have an OPS of .755 this season -- fourth best in MLB. Red Sox RPs have allowed an OPS of .740 (2,336 PAs) this season -- fifth worst in MLB.

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The Red Sox are 19-22 (.463) when their opponents score in the first inning this season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .359.

Masataka Yoshida has struck out in just 11% of PA's over the last two weeks -- tied for 13th lowest in MLB-- 94th Percentile. Albert Suarez has a strikeout rate of just 12% over the last two weeks -- eighth lowest among qualified SPs-- eighth Percentile.

Rafael Devers is slugging .542 on breaking pitches since the 2022 season -- fourth best in MLB-- 97th Percentile. Craig Kimbrel has thrown his curveball 31% of the time since the 2022 season -- sixth highest among qualified RPs-- 90th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% (55/167) against Kutter Crawford in two-strike counts this season -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% -- first Percentile.

Kutter Crawford has allowed an OPS of 1.485 (97 PA's) when he's behind in the count this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 1.036 -- first Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Red Sox are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Red Sox are 44-37 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Red Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 33 of Red Sox' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	87-75	43-38	44-37	53-50	34-23
Orioles	78-84	37-44	41-40	25-41	51-42

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Red Sox	76-82-4	33-45-3	43-37-1	50-50-3	26-30-1
Orioles	65-92-5	34-44-3	31-48-2	31-32-3	32-59-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	89-73	48-33	41-40	61-42	28-29
Orioles	75-87	39-42	36-45	32-34	40-53

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 9th	BAL	W 12-3	-1.5 W	O 9.5	BOS -125
Sep 8th	CWS	L 2-7	-1.5 L	U 10.5	CWS -275
Sep 7th	CWS	W 7-5	-1.5 W	O 8.5	BOS -211
Sep 6th	CWS	W 3-1	-1.5 W	U 8.5	BOS -285
Sep 4th	@NYM	L 3-8	-1.5 L	O 7.5	NYM +100

Tanner Houck
SP
Houck is out with arm
Out
Patrick Sandoval
SP
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
SP
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Jovani Moran
RP
Moran is out with arm
Out

Grayson Rodriguez
SP
Rodriguez is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Suarez, P	101	6	8	1
LC.Perez, P	20	1.1	1	1
RY.Cano, P	15	0.2	2	1
RS.Dominguez, P	14	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Henderson, SS	1-4	2	0	0
2C.Mullins, CF	2-4	2	2	3
3A.Santander, RF	1-3	1	0	0
4R.O'Hearn, 1B	1-5	0	0	0
5A.Rutschman, DH	1-5	0	0	2
6C.Cowser, LF	1-4	0	0	0
7C.Mayo, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
7E.Rivera, 3B	0-1	0	0	0
8J.Holliday, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
9J.McCann, C	1-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Crawford, P	89	6.1	6	3
LB.Bernardino, P	9	0.1	0	2
RL.Guerrero, P	20	1.1	2	0
RZ.Kelly, P	24	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Duran, CF	1-5	1	0
2R.Devers, 3B	1-3	0	0
3W.Abreu, RF	0-3	0	0
3R.Refsnyder, PH	0-1	0	0
3R.Refsnyder, RF	0-1	0	0
4T.O'Neill, LF	0-3	1	0
5M.Yoshida, DH	1-4	0	1
6C.Wong, C	2-4	1	0
7T.Casas, 1B	1-4	0	1
8E.Valdez, 2B	0-1	0	0
8R.Gonzalez, PH	0-2	0	0
8R.Gonzalez, 2B	0-2	0	0
9C.Rafaela, SS	1-4	0	0