Orioles vs. Nationals Odds & Betting Predictions - May 7, 2024

Orioles at Nationals

10:45 pm • MASN
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Trevor Williams logoT.WilliamsWashington Nationals logo2.036-1
Corbin Burnes logoC.BurnesBaltimore Orioles logo2.9215-9

Orioles at Nationals Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Orioles
9-10
-1.5-135
o8.5-118
-218
Nationals
10-9
+1.5+114
u8.5-102
+180
location pinTuesday 10:45 p.m.
May 07, 2024
Nationals ParkWashington
Orioles vs. Nationals Expert Picks
The Degenerates
The Degenerates
312d ago
Last 30d: 89-79-0 (-0.2u)
BAL -1.5-125
1.25u
Bruce  Marshall
Bruce Marshall
312d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
BAL -1.5-130
1u
Prop Bet Guy
Prop Bet Guy
312d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
C.Burnes u5.5 Ks-105
1.05u
Under in 4/7, and only has exceeded 6 Ks once (opening day vs the Angels). Gets a Nats lineup with 7 guys who have a sub-20% K% vs righties - and one who doesn’t (Rosario) has not K’ed in 5 ABs vs Burnes. And he’s been excellent vs lefties in general (.223 wOBA), but only a 18.2% K%. He faces five lefties today.
Green Dot Daily
Green Dot Daily
312d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
C.Burnes u5.5 Ks-105
1u
@The_Oddsmaker
Nick Martin
Nick Martin
312d ago
Last 30d: 92-121-2 (+6.6u)
C.Burnes u5.5 Ks-105
1u
@The_Oddsmaker
Gilles Gallant
Gilles Gallant
312d ago
Last 30d: 45-47-3 (+2.1u)
C.Burnes u5.5 Ks-105
0.53u
#Tailing @The_Oddsmaker
Sean Koerner
Sean Koerner
312d ago
Last 30d: 9-9-0 (-0.9u)
C.Burnes u5.5 Ks-105
1.05u
Jim Sannes
Jim Sannes
312d ago
Last 30d: 2-24-0 (-7.5u)
WSH +184
1.29u
40% for me, up from 35.2% implied. Trevor Williams is throwing his slider differently and throwing it more this year, and it has helped improve his underlying data quite a bit (beyond just the nice results). Orioles should be favored -- just not by this much.

PRO Insights

Orioles logo

Orioles

BAL Insights
  • Orioles logoOrioles have won 58% of their games since the 2022 season -- fourth best in MLB. Nationals have won just 40% of their games since the 2022 season -- fourth worst.
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Nationals logo

Nationals

WSH Insights
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    Orioles vs. Nationals Previews & Analysis

    Orioles vs. Nationals Notes

    Prop Odds Comparison

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    Line Movement Tracker

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    Orioles vs. Nationals Public Betting Percentages

    86%

    Bets%

    14%

    Money%

    Matchup History

    Against the Spread (ATS) History

    overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
    Nationals
    89-7344-3745-3614-1275-59
    Orioles
    87-7541-4046-3561-5725-16

    Over/Under History

    overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
    Nationals
    76-78-837-39-539-39-39-16-165-62-7
    Orioles
    85-63-1440-32-945-31-560-45-1322-18-1

    Straight-Up (ML) History

    overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
    Nationals
    71-9138-4333-4815-1156-78
    Orioles
    91-7144-3747-3468-5022-19

    Last 5 Matchups

    dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
    May 5thTORW 11-8+1.5 WO 8.5WSH -112
    May 4thTORL 3-6+1.5 LO 7.5TOR +145
    May 3rdTORW 9-3+1.5 WO 8.5WSH +177
    May 2nd@TEXL 0-6+1.5 LU 8TEX +164
    May 2nd@TEXW 1-0+1.5 WU 9WSH +167

    Nationals vs. Orioles Injury Updates

    Nationals Injuries

    • Josiah Gray
      P

      Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.

      Out

    Orioles Injuries

    • Jorge Mateo
      IF

      Mateo is out with elbow

      Out

    • Trevor Rogers
      P

      Rogers is out with knee

      Out

    • Kyle Bradish
      P

      Bradish is out with elbow

      Out

    • Tyler Wells
      P

      Wells is out with elbow

      Out

    • Chayce McDermott
      P

      McDermott is questionable with back

      Questionable

    Orioles vs. Nationals Box Score
    Orioles Player Stats
    Projected
    PITCHERPCIPKER
    Corbin Burnes logoRC.Burnes, P956.163
    Jacob Webb logoRJ.Webb, P180.210
    Keegan Akin logoLK.Akin, P17110
    HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
    Gunnar Henderson logo1G.Henderson, SS0-4000
    Adley Rutschman logo2A.Rutschman, C1-4000
    Ryan O'Hearn logo3R.O'Hearn, DH0-4000
    Ryan Mountcastle logo4R.Mountcastle, 1B0-4000
    Anthony Santander logo5A.Santander, RF0-3000
    Colton Cowser logo6C.Cowser, LF0-3000
    Jordan Westburg logo7J.Westburg, 2B1-3000
    Jordan Westburg logo7J.Westburg, 3B1-3000
    Cedric Mullins logo8C.Mullins, CF1-3000
    Ramon Urias logo9R.Urias, 3B0-2000
    Heston Kjerstad logo9H.Kjerstad, PH0-1000
    Jorge Mateo logo9J.Mateo, 2B0-0000
    Nationals Player Stats
    Projected
    PITCHERPCIPKER
    Trevor Williams logoRT.Williams, P77580
    Robert Garcia logoLR.Garcia, P13120
    Derek Law logoRD.Law, P10100
    Hunter Harvey logoRH.Harvey, P17110
    Kyle Finnegan logoRK.Finnegan, P10110
    HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
    Jacob Young logo1J.Young, CF0-2000
    CJ Abrams logo2C.Abrams, SS0-4000
    Luis Garcia logo3L.Garcia, 2B0-2000
    Nick Senzel logo4N.Senzel, DH0-3000
    Jesse Winker logo5J.Winker, LF2-4100
    Joey Meneses logo6J.Meneses, 1B2-4101
    Keibert Ruiz logo7K.Ruiz, C0-4000
    Eddie Rosario logo8E.Rosario, RF1-3101
    Trey Lipscomb logo9T.Lipscomb, 3B1-4001

    Orioles vs. Nationals Odds Comparison

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    Orioles at Nationals Team Totals

    MatchupOverUnder
    Orioles
    9-10
    o5.5+110
    u5.5-140
    Nationals
    10-9
    o3.5+120
    u3.5-150