MLB Daily Strikeout Leader Projections | Expert Bet for MLB Player Prop (Tuesday, May 7)

MLB Daily Strikeout Leader Projections | Expert Bet for MLB Player Prop (Tuesday, May 7) article feature image
Credit:

Getty Images. Pictured: Jose Berrios

A prop market that has grown in popularity and offered at FanDuel is the daily strikeout leader. The sportsbook lists odds for every starting pitcher on a given day and you can bet on who will finish with the most strikeouts on the slate.

Keep in mind, much like sports such as golf with leaderboards, dead-heat rules do apply. So if a pitcher you bet on ties with another pitcher, your odds are cut in half.

For today's slate, Dodgers ace Yoshinobu Yamamoto has the lowest odds at +500 as he and faces the cellar-dwelling Miami Marlins.

Behind him are Bailey Ober of the Minnesota Twins at +550 against the Seattle Mariners and Reynaldo Lopez of the Atlanta Braves at +600 against the Boston Red Sox.

However, my model shows significant value on one arm in particular today: Toronto Blue Jays right-hander Jose Berrios on the road against the Philadelphia Phillies.

Berrios is a sneaky pick at +1900 as there is no clear favorite on Tuesday – a handful of starters have their strikeout prop set at 5.5 or 6.5.

While the Phillies' offense is potent, they tend to strike out at an above-average rate, making Berrios’ ceiling higher than normal.

I give Berrios around a 13% chance of fanning at least nine batters, which could be enough to win this market on Tuesday. I have his fair odds closer to +1400, so he’s worth a sprinkle at +1900.

Below, you can find my projections for the daily strikeout leader today, Tuesday, May 7th.

About the Author
Sean is The Action Network's Director of Predictive Analytics. He was named the No. 1 fantasy football draft ranker of 2019 by FantasyPros, where he's also finished as the top in-season ranker in three of the past five seasons

Follow Sean Koerner @The_Oddsmaker on Twitter/X.

This site contains commercial content. We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. The content on this page is for informational purposes only. Action Network makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy of the information given or the outcome of any game or event.