Nationals vs. Rangers Odds & Betting Predictions - May 2, 2024

Nationals at Rangers

6:35 pm • MASN2

Washington Nationals

14-8

0 - 6

Texas Rangers

16-11

pitcher		team	era	w-l
N.Eovaldi			3.80	12-8
M.Parker			4.29	7-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Nationals 14-8	+1.5-130	o8-105	+164
Rangers 16-11	-1.5+110	u8-115	-199

Thursday 6:35 p.m.

May 02, 2024

Globe Life FieldArlington

N.Eovaldi u5.5 Ks-135

1.35u

TEX -190

0.53u

Under 8.5-120

WSH +162

N.Eovaldi o1.5 BB+100

N.Eovaldi u18.5 Outs-125

0.8u

TEX -205

0.49u

Under 8.5-122

0.82u

... under when home team shutout Overall: 412-290-40,59% (ROI:13%) Season:1-0-0,100% (ROI:92%)

N.Eovaldi u18.5 Outs-125

0.8u

WSH +183

WSH +176

0.5u

Long-winded, but necessary. Starting at the end, bullpene stimators are a wash. TEX 94 wRC+ v LHP, WAS 99 v RHP. I expect TEX to eventually surpass WAS in this manner, but it is what it is for now. Mitchell has been very good in just 30 innings above AA, but still has below average projections. Eovaldi has walked 11 of his last 53 BF w/ a dip in velo last outing, but also struck out 14 w/ a 76 GB% ground ball rate in those two starts. Being somewhere in the middle w/ potential volatility on these two pitchers probably favors the large dog here.

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Featured Insight
Rangers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 40% of their games last season -- third lowest in MLB. The Nationals scored in at least three different innings in just 41% of their games last season -- tied for fourth lowest in MLB.

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Opening Pitch: Zerillo's MLB Bets for Thursday
Sean Zerillo•
May 2, 2024 UTC

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The Nationals are 5-2 (.714) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .575.

Keibert Ruiz has an OPS of just .697 since last season -- 15th worst in MLB-- 11th Percentile. Kirby Yates has allowed an OPS of just .558 (296 PAs) since last season -- 15th best among qualified RPs-- 92nd Percentile.

Mitchell Parker has allowed an OPS of just .483 (62 PA's) this season -- 8th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: .697 -- 95th Percentile.

Nathan Eovaldi has walked 11 of 53 batters (21%) over the last 14 days -- highest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% -- first Percentile.

Nathan Eovaldi has walked 7 of 32 right-handed batters (22%) over the last 14 days -- highest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 5% -- second Percentile.

Mitchell Parker has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 15.0 innings pitched -- Luis Severino has the longest active streak at 24.0.

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MLB Public Betting

Rangers are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Rangers are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Rangers are 40-41 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Rangers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 29 of Rangers' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rangers	86-76	46-35	40-41	39-42	46-30
Nationals	78-84	33-48	45-36	5-15	72-69

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Rangers	71-89-2	29-51-1	42-38-1	34-46-1	36-39-1
Nationals	81-73-8	40-37-4	41-36-4	8-12	72-61-8

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rangers	81-81	48-33	33-48	49-32	30-46
Nationals	66-96	32-49	34-47	7-13	58-83

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 2nd	WSH	L 0-1	-1.5 L	U 9	WSH -202
May 1st	WSH	W 7-1	-1.5 W	U 8	TEX -161
Apr 28th	CIN	W 4-3	-1.5 L	U 9	TEX -135
Apr 27th	CIN	L 4-8	-1.5 L	O 8.5	CIN -120
Apr 27th	CIN	W 2-1	-1.5 L	U 8.5	TEX -174

Jordan Montgomery
SP
Montgomery is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Cody Bradford
RP
Bradford is out with elbow
Out

Josiah Gray
SP
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out
DJ Herz
SP
Herz is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Parker, P	83	5.1	5	3
RJ.Barnes, P	11	0.2	0	0
RJ.Weems, P	6	1	1	0
RM.Barnes, P	31	1	2	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Abrams, SS	1-4	0	0	0
2N.Senzel, DH	0-2	0	0	0
3L.Garcia, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
4J.Meneses, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
5J.Winker, LF	0-4	0	0	0
6K.Ruiz, C	1-4	0	0	0
7E.Rosario, RF	0-2	0	0	0
7A.Call, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7A.Call, RF	0-1	0	0	0
8I.Vargas, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
9J.Young, CF	0-2	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RN.Eovaldi, P	92	5.1	8
LJ.Latz, P	14	1.1	2
RD.Robertson, P	24	1.1	2
RJ.Hernandez, P	10	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1M.Semien, 2B	1-4	0	1
2C.Seager, SS	0-4	0	0
3N.Lowe, 1B	1-3	1	0
4A.Garcia, RF	1-4	0	0
5J.Heim, C	2-3	2	1
6J.Smith, 3B	1-3	2	0
7W.Langford, LF	0-4	0	0
8E.Duran, DH	1-2	1	1
8T.Jankowski, PH	1-2	0	2
8T.Jankowski, DH	1-2	0	2
9E.Carter, CF	1-4	0	1