Orioles vs. Braves Odds & Betting Predictions - May 7, 2023

Orioles at Braves

3:35 pm • NBC

Baltimore Orioles

0-2

2 - 3

Atlanta Braves

0-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Elder			3.81	12-4
T.Wells			3.64	7-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Orioles 0-2	+1.5-150	o9-104	+135
Braves 0-2	-1.5+125	u9-118	-160

Sunday 3:35 p.m.

May 07, 2023

Truist ParkAtlanta

O.Albies o0.5 RBI+170

0.5u

Hitting cleanup for ATL and this cheap?

G.Henderson o0.5 RBI+200

0.25u

Hitting cleanup for BAL

G.Henderson o1.5 Total Bases+160

0.5u

This is a wild number for Gunnar, as much as he’s been in a slump. High barrel rate, low chase rate. Just hasn’t found much success - but Elder is a great fade (xERA 3 runs higher than actual)… Gunnar is THIRD-least at FD for this feat.

BAL +135 (F5)

BAL +129 (F5)

0.8u

+135

BAL +0.5 (F5)-107

1.12u

-105

Under 9-117

0.85u

Under 9.5-105

0.5u

Bet to -114

BAL +140

0.5u

Need +140

Sharps, Pros Match on Sunday Morning Pick
Alex Kolodziej•
May 7, 2023 UTC
Orioles vs. Braves: How to Fade Bryce Elder
Tony Sartori•
May 7, 2023 UTC

See more MLB Coverage

The Braves are 9-55 (.141) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season -- 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .124.

The Orioles are 6-10 (.375) when allowing 5 or more runs this season -- 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .205.

The Braves are 6-3 (.667) when their opponents score in the first inning this season -- tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .401.

Jorge Mateo had an OPS of just .646 last season -- ninth worst in MLB-- sixth Percentile. Max Fried allowed an OPS of just .581 (733 PAs) last season -- 14th best among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 92nd Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 64% (35/55) against Bryce Elder this season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% -- 98th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Braves are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Braves are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Braves are 40-41 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Braves' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 25 of Braves' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16
Orioles	87-75	41-40	46-35	61-57	25-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1
Orioles	85-63-14	40-32-9	45-31-5	60-45-13	22-18-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18
Orioles	91-71	44-37	47-34	68-50	22-19

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 6th	BAL	W 5-4	-1.5 L	O 8.5	ATL -265
May 5th	BAL	L 4-9	-1.5 L	O 8.5	BAL -222
May 4th	@MIA	W 6-3	-1.5 W	O 8.5	ATL -105
May 3rd	@MIA	W 14-6	-1.5 W	O 8.5	ATL -145
May 2nd	@MIA	W 6-0	+1.5 W	U 8	ATL +101

Chris Sale
P
Chris Sale (back spasms) scratched Monday. Grant Holmes will start Game 2.
Out
Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out for season with knee
Out for Season
Austin Riley
IF
Riley is out with hand
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Jorge Mateo
IF
Mateo is out with elbow
Out
Grayson Rodriguez
P
Rodriguez is out with back
Out
John Means
P
Means is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Tyler Wells
P
Wells is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Wells, P	96	5	4	1
RA.Voth, P	29	2	2	0
RY.Cano, P	29	2	3	0
RF.Bautista, P	19	1	1	0
RM.Baumann, P	12	1	2	0
LC.Perez, P	6	0.1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1C.Mullins, CF	1-5	1	0
2A.Santander, DH	2-4	0	1
2J.Mateo, PR	0-0	0	0
2J.Mateo, DH	0-0	0	0
2J.Mateo, SS	0-0	0	0
3R.Mountcastle, 1B	0-5	0	0
4G.Henderson, SS	0-5	0	0
4G.Henderson, 3B	0-5	0	0
5A.Hays, LF	1-4	1	0
6A.Frazier, 2B	1-4	0	0
7R.Urias, 3B	0-4	0	1
7R.McKenna, PR	0-0	0	0
7R.McKenna, CF	0-0	0	0
8K.Stowers, RF	0-5	0	0
9J.McCann, C	0-2	0	0
9A.Rutschman, PH	0-2	0	0
9A.Rutschman, C	0-2	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Elder, P	96	5.1	4	1
RC. McHugh, P	30	2	3	0
LD.Lee, P	5	0.2	0	0
RR.Iglesias, P	15	1	0	0
RJ.Chavez, P	17	1	1	0
RM.Tonkin, P	17	2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	0-5	0	0	0
2M.Olson, 1B	1-4	1	1	1
3A.Riley, 3B	0-5	0	0	0
4O.Albies, 2B	0-5	1	0	0
5E.Rosario, LF	1-4	0	0	0
5S.Hilliard, PR	0-0	1	0	0
5S.Hilliard, LF	0-0	1	0	0
5K.Pillar, PH	0-1	0	0	0
6M.Ozuna, DH	0-3	0	0	0
7M.Harris, CF	1-4	0	0	1
8O.Arcia, SS	1-4	0	0	0
9C.Tromp, C	0-2	0	0	0
9S.Murphy, PH	0-2	0	0	0
9S.Murphy, C	0-2	0	0	0