Mets vs. Reds Odds & Betting Predictions - May 9, 2023

Mets at Reds

10:40 pm • BSOH

New York Mets

29-20

6 - 7

Cincinnati Reds

25-25

pitcher		team	era	w-l
L.Weaver			3.38	1-1
D.Peterson			5.03	3-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mets 29-20	-1.5-111	o10.5-120	-167
Reds 25-25	+1.5-108	u10.5-105	+139

Tuesday 10:40 p.m.

May 09, 2023

Great American Ball ParkCincinnati

Over 10-115

NYM o5.5-125

0.8u

Don’t overthink it play

CIN o3.5-130

CIN o3.5-140

not sure how this number is still holding up

CIN +184

0.92u

CIN o3.5-122

0.5u

Over 5 (F5)-115

0.43u

Payoff Pitch tail

M.Scherzer u6.5 Ks-115

1.15u

He’s under this line in 4/4 full starts, seeing a dip in his velocity pretty much across the board compared to last season. I’m not sold that he’s fully healthy amid all of the talk about his back/scapula, and the Mets have a back-up starter just in case. So if he does go, he’s going to be monitored closely. And the Reds have the 5th lowest K% vs RHP over the L14 days (19.4%, 280+ PA).

Over 10-111

Over 5 (F5)-110

0.5u

Bet to -130. Rivers has 4.5 (-140) which is an ever larger edge. 5.5 ok to +105

L.Weaver o4.5 Ks-106

$100.00

Over 9.5-104

0.5u

MGM has +100. Bet to -114

CIN +190

0.95u

Bet to +180

Over 9-120

Project 10.3; Both Scherzer Weaver torched in ERA-FIP. Mets low K rate v right hand pitching, bullpen FIP 4.2

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The Reds are 11-2 (.846) when scoring 5 or more runs this season -- tied for 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .795.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Reds are 13-12 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Reds' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 8 of Reds' 25 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	27-23	14-11	13-12	12-11	15-11
Mets	22-27	12-10	10-17	15-21	7-6

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Reds	18-30-2	8-16-1	10-14-1	5-16-2	12-14
Mets	17-31-1	7-14-1	10-17	16-19-1	1-12

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	25-25	13-12	12-13	13-10	12-14
Mets	29-20	17-5	12-15	23-13	6-7

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 7th	CWS	L 4-17	-1.5 L	O 9.5	CWS -125
May 6th	CWS	W 5-3	-1.5 W	U 9.5	CIN -138
May 5th	CWS	L 4-5	+1.5 W	O 8.5	CWS -118
May 3rd	@SD	L 1-7	+1.5 L	U 8.5	SD +210
May 3rd	@SD	W 2-1	+1.5 W	U 8.5	CIN +165

Frankie Montas
P
Montas is out with back
Out
Sean Manaea
P
Manaea is out with oblique
Out
Paul Blackburn
P
Blackburn is out with knee
Out
Jose Siri
OF
Siri is out with leg
Out
Nick Madrigal
IF
Madrigal is out with shoulder
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Jake Fraley
OF
Fraley is out with calf
Out
Noelvi Marte
IF
Marte is day-to-day with side
Day-to-Day
Brandon Williamson
P
Williamson is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Julian Aguiar
P
Aguiar is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Rhett Lowder
P
Lowder is out with elbow
Out
Carson Spiers
P
Spiers is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LD.Peterson, P	87	3.1	4	4
S.Nogosek, P	41	1.2	2	3
RJ. Brigham, P	16	1	2	0
RA.Ottavino, P	12	1	0	0
RD.Smith, P	26	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Nimmo, CF	0-4	1	0	0
2F.Lindor, SS	2-5	1	1	2
3J.McNeil, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
3J.McNeil, LF	0-4	0	0	0
4P.Alonso, 1B	1-3	1	1	1
5B.Baty, 3B	0-3	1	0	0
6S.Marte, RF	2-4	0	0	0
7D.Vogelbach, DH	0-2	0	0	0
8M.Canha, LF	0-3	0	0	0
8L.Guillorme, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8L.Guillorme, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
9F.Alvarez, C	2-4	2	2	2

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Weaver, P	82	6	2	4
RD.Law, P	17	1	0	0
LA.Young, P	11	0.1	0	2
RL.Sims, P	13	0.1	0	0
RA.Diaz, P	23	1.1	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.India, 2B	1-3	0	3
2N.Senzel, 3B	2-5	1	1
3S.Steer, 1B	0-2	0	0
3C.Casali, C	0-0	0	0
4T.Stephenson, DH	1-4	0	1
5S.Fairchild, LF	1-4	0	0
6W. Myers, RF	1-4	1	0
6W. Myers, 1B	1-4	1	0
7K.Newman, SS	1-3	2	0
8T.Friedl, CF	2-4	2	2
9L.Maile, C	1-2	1	0
9J.Fraley, PH	0-1	0	0
9J.Fraley, RF	0-1	0	0