Mets vs. Phillies Odds & Betting Predictions - June 23, 2023

Mets at Phillies

11:05 pm • Apple TV+

New York Mets

29-19

1 - 5

Philadelphia Phillies

29-18

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Walker			4.38	15-6
K.Senga			2.98	12-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mets 29-19	-1.5+152	o9.5-110	-105
Phillies 29-18	+1.5-181	u9.5-110	-112

Friday 11:05 p.m.

June 23, 2023

Citizens Bank ParkPhiladelphia

K.Senga u16.5 Outs-125

MGM. Between Senga’s road struggles (4.78 ERA, under in 5/6) and the weather (favorable hitting conditions with a risk of mid-game rain delay), I’m pulling on this. Plus PHI have really climbed the pitches per PA leaderboard since Harper is back.

Over 9.5-111

PHI -112

K.Senga o5.5 Ks-130

0.77u

Over 9.5-110

1.1u

Over 9-110

2.2u

Over 9.5-110

1.1u

Over 9-120

0.6u

Bet to -125 or 9.5 (-105)

PHI -110

0.5u

Bet to -110. Friday

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The Mets are just 7-14 (.333) after a road loss this season -- tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .457.

The Mets are just 2-7 (.222) after a loss as underdogs this season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .401.

The Phillies are 76-49 (.608) after a win since last season -- 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .519.

The Phillies are 23-15 (.605) after a win this season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .523.

41% of Daniel Vogelbach strikeouts are looking since last season -- second highest among hitters with at least 352 total PA's-- 99th Percentile. 32% of Craig Kimbrel strikeouts are looking since last season -- tied for 14th highest among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

Brandon Nimmo is batting .306 on breaking pitches this season -- ninth best in MLB-- 94th Percentile. Andrew Vasquez has thrown his slider 74% of the time this season -- highest among qualified RPs-- 100th Percentile.

Kodai Senga has walked 41 of 307 batters (13%) this season -- 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: 8% -- third Percentile.

Kodai Senga has a strike rate of just 58% (209/357) in two strike counts this season -- 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: 65% -- first Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 53% of Taijuan Walker's pitches (199/377) with two-strikes this season -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 60% -- first Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Phillies are 12-10 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Phillies' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 13 of Phillies' 25 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	25-22	13-12	12-10	19-19	6-3
Mets	22-26	12-10	10-16	15-20	7-6

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Phillies	21-25-1	13-12	8-13-1	18-19-1	3-6
Mets	17-30-1	7-14-1	10-16	16-18-1	1-12

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	29-18	17-8	12-10	24-14	5-4
Mets	29-19	17-5	12-14	23-12	6-7

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 22nd	ATL	L 1-5	-1.5 L	U 8	ATL -123
Jun 20th	ATL	L 2-4	+1.5 L	U 8.5	ATL +125
Jun 18th	@ATH	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 7.5	PHI -220
Jun 17th	@ATH	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 9.5	PHI -180
Jun 17th	@ATH	W 6-1	-1.5 W	U 8.5	PHI -142

Frankie Montas
P
Montas is out with back
Out
Sean Manaea
P
Manaea is out with oblique
Out
Paul Blackburn
P
Blackburn is out with knee
Out
Jose Siri
OF
Siri is out with leg
Out
Nick Madrigal
IF
Madrigal is out with shoulder
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Senga, P	102	5.1	6	2
LJ.Walker, P	11	0.1	0	1
RJ. Brigham, P	7	0.1	0	0
LB.Raley, P	15	1	1	0
RV.Nittoli, P	10	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Nimmo, CF	1-4	1	1	1
2S.Marte, RF	0-4	0	0	0
3F.Lindor, SS	1-3	0	0	0
4P.Alonso, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
5D.Vogelbach, DH	0-4	0	0	0
6T.Pham, LF	0-3	0	0	0
7J.McNeil, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
8F.Alvarez, C	0-3	0	0	0
9B.Baty, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
9M.Canha, PH	0-0	0	0	0
9M.Canha, 3B	0-0	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Walker, P	91	6	5	1
LG.Soto, P	12	1	3	0
LJ.Alvarado, P	14	1	1	0
RC.Kimbrel, P	21	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1K.Schwarber, LF	0-3	1	0
2T.Turner, SS	1-3	1	2
3N.Castellanos, RF	1-4	0	0
4B.Harper, DH	1-3	0	1
5J.Realmuto, C	0-2	0	0
6B.Stott, 2B	1-3	1	1
7A.Bohm, 1B	1-4	1	0
8B.Marsh, CF	3-4	1	1
9E.Sosa, 3B	0-4	0	0