Mariners vs. Diamondbacks Odds & Betting Predictions - June 10, 2025

Mariners at Diamondbacks

1:40 am • ARID
4 - 8
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Merrill Kelly logoM.KellyArizona Diamondbacks logo3.312-1
Emerson Hancock logoE.HancockSeattle Mariners logo5.473-5

Mariners at Diamondbacks Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mariners
72-64
+1.5
+1.5-139
o9.5-109
+139
Diamondbacks
68-69
u9
-1.5+122
u9.5-112
-167
location pinTuesday 1:40 a.m.
June 10, 2025
Chase FieldPhoenix
Mariners vs. Diamondbacks Expert Picks
Kyle Murray
Kyle Murray
Last 30d: 32-40-1 (-2.2u)
M.Kelly u5.5 Ks-105
1.05u
#Tailing @The_Oddsmaker
Allan Lem
Allan Lem
Last 30d: 75-69-5 (-0.9u)
M.Kelly u5.5 Ks-105
0.25u
Tailing @The_Oddsmaker
Sean Koerner
Sean Koerner
Last 30d: 10-15-1 (-2.3u)
M.Kelly u5.5 Ks-105
1.05u
Kelly has cleared this number in six straight games, averaging 7.5 Ks per start during that stretch — but my expected K model suggests he should have averaged closer to 6.1, making him a strong sell-high candidate. The Mariners might look like a plus matchup on paper with the 8th-highest K rate in MLB, but that’s heavily skewed by their home park. T-Mobile Park has the highest park factor for Ks, and Seattle ranks 2nd-highest in K% at home — but just 20th on the road. That’s important here, especially with this game being at Chase Field, one of the toughest parks for strikeouts. Kelly’s K rate is also 3% lower at home this year, aligning with those park factors. Seattle has a high whiff rate against most pitches (again inflated by their home environment), but their best contact pitch has been cutters — which Kelly throws 19% of the time. That could lead to more contact than usual here. I’m projecting Kelly closer to -150 to stay under 5.5, and he’s the latest member of Club 17 (now 13-4), with a +17.0 score thanks to his projection, sell-high label, and matchup factors.
Capper Central
Capper Central
Last 30d: 84-75-1 (-4.5u)
ARI -120
1u
I actually parlayed this with a live tennis game, but for better odds and recap purposes I’ll be playing Dbacks to NOT bat bottom 9
💰🦡 Jake
💰🦡 Jake
Last 30d: 80-92-6 (-11.8u)
Over 5 (F5)+100
1u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 112-118-5 (-11.9u)
SEA +146
1u
Kyle Murray
Kyle Murray
Last 30d: 32-40-1 (-2.2u)
C.Carroll o2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-110
1u
Boomer Betz
Boomer Betz
Last 30d: 201-218-1 (-40.1u)
M.Kelly u17.5 Outs+150
1u
Cam Is Money
Cam Is Money
Last 30d: 66-90-3 (-22.0u)
M.Kelly o5.5 Ks-105
0.95u
Grant Neiffer
Grant Neiffer
Last 30d: 41-109-7 (+33.3u)
K.Marte o0.5 HR+525
0.25u
MoneyLineWixted
MoneyLineWixted
Last 30d: 1-0-0 (+1.0u)
SEA +154
0.65u
Austin Pendergrass
Austin Pendergrass
Last 30d: 71-48-0 (+3.0u)
ARI -174 (F5)
0.29u
Jim Sannes
Jim Sannes
Last 30d: 12-30-0 (+4.0u)
M.Kelly o5.5 Ks-106
0.94u
More strikeouts for Kelly this year potentially thanks to more changeups and four-seamers and fewer cutters. Have him projected at 6.41 strikeouts tonight.
Boomer Betz
Boomer Betz
Last 30d: 201-218-1 (-40.1u)
M.Kelly o5.5 Hits Allowed+112
0.75u
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 189-190-3 (+6.8u)
SEA +145
0.5u
Bet to +140

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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Mariners vs. Diamondbacks Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Mariners

Public

23%

Bets%

77%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Diamondbacks
68-6831-3537-3333-4735-21
Mariners
54-8229-3925-4331-6222-18

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Diamondbacks
67-64-532-30-435-34-139-37-428-27-1
Mariners
72-58-634-29-538-29-145-42-625-15

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Diamondbacks
68-6934-3234-3641-3927-29
Mariners
72-6441-2731-3750-4320-20

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Jun 8th@CINL 2-4-1.5 LU 9.5CIN -121
Jun 7th@CINL 1-13-1.5 LO 9.5CIN -114
Jun 7th@CINL 3-4-U 8.5CIN +300
Jun 5th@ATLW 11-10+1.5 WO 9ARI +130
Jun 4th@ATLW 2-0+1.5 WU 7.5ARI +146

Mariners vs. Diamondbacks Injury Updates

Mariners Injuries

    Diamondbacks Injuries

    • James McCann
      C

      James McCann has been scratched Friday.

      Out

    • John Curtiss
      RP

      Curtiss is out with elbow

      Out

    Mariners vs. Diamondbacks Box Score
    Mariners Player Stats
    Projected
    PITCHERPCIPKER
    Emerson Hancock logoRE.Hancock, P85532
    Eduard Bazardo logoRE.Bazardo, P160.210
    Gabe Speier logoLG.Speier, P70.100
    Casey Legumina logoRC.Legumina, P43232
    Andres Munoz logoRA.Munoz, P8110
    Carlos Vargas logoRC.Vargas, P241.123
    HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
    J.P. Crawford logo1J.Crawford, SS2-3000
    Julio Rodriguez logo2J.Rodriguez, CF2-5000
    Cal Raleigh logo3C.Raleigh, C0-5000
    Jorge Polanco logo4J.Polanco, DH1-5000
    Randy Arozarena logo5R.Arozarena, LF2-5000
    Rowdy Tellez logo6R.Tellez, 1B0-2000
    Dylan Moore logo6D.Moore, PH0-2100
    Dylan Moore logo6D.Moore, 3B0-2100
    Miles Mastrobuoni logo7M.Mastrobuoni, RF0-2000
    Donovan Solano logo7D.Solano, PH1-3101
    Donovan Solano logo7D.Solano, 1B1-3101
    Cole Young logo8C.Young, 2B2-5101
    Ben Williamson logo9B.Williamson, 3B1-2000
    Dominic Canzone logo9D.Canzone, PH1-3112
    Dominic Canzone logo9D.Canzone, RF1-3112
    Diamondbacks Player Stats
    Projected
    PITCHERPCIPKER
    Merrill Kelly logoRM.Kelly, P92670
    Kyle Backhus logoLK.Backhus, P150.210
    Ryan Thompson logoRR.Thompson, P10.100
    Shelby Miller logoRS.Miller, P9100
    Justin Martinez logoRJ.Martinez, P190.221
    Jeff Brigham logoRJ.Brigham, P15003
    Juan Morillo logoRJ.Morillo, P231.110
    Jalen Beeks logoLJ.Beeks, P12110
    HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
    Corbin Carroll logo1C.Carroll, RF1-5111
    Ketel Marte logo2K.Marte, 2B1-5101
    Geraldo Perdomo logo3G.Perdomo, SS1-3200
    Josh Naylor logo4J.Naylor, 1B3-5215
    Eugenio Suarez logo5E.Suarez, 3B0-5000
    Ildemaro Vargas logo5I.Vargas, PR0-0000
    Ildemaro Vargas logo5I.Vargas, 3B0-0000
    Lourdes Gurriel logo6L.Gurriel, LF2-3001
    Tim Tawa logo6T.Tawa, LF0-0000
    Pavin Smith logo7P.Smith, DH0-3000
    Alek Thomas logo8A.Thomas, CF2-5100
    Jose Herrera logo9J.Herrera, C0-3100

    Mariners vs. Diamondbacks Odds Comparison

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    Mariners at Diamondbacks Team Totals

    MatchupOverUnder
    Mariners
    72-64
    o3.5-146
    u3.5+115
    Diamondbacks
    68-69
    o4.5-141
    u4.5+111