Guardians vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - April 18, 2024

Guardians at Red Sox

5:35 pm • NESN

Cleveland Guardians

1-2

5 - 4

Boston Red Sox

1-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Bernardino			4.06	4-3
C.Carrasco			5.64	3-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Guardians 1-2	-1.5+152	o8.5-109	-110
Red Sox 1-2	+1.5-180	u8.5-111	-108

Thursday 5:35 p.m.

April 18, 2024

Fenway ParkBoston

CLE -110

1.82u

C.Carrasco o4.5 Ks+120

0.6u

Under 9.5-120

0.83u

... home team went under by 5 and now home team is fav or slight dogs Overall: 757-544-69,58% (ROI:12%) Season:5-2-0,71% (ROI:38%)

BOS -115

... home favs off a short win in a non division game and were fav last game Overall: 572-319-0,64% (ROI:11%) Season:2-4-0,33% (ROI:-44%)

Over 9-117

1.17u

Under 9.5-114

0.5u

Bet to 9 (-110)

Featured Insight
The Guardians are batting .311 with RISP this season -- fourth best in MLB. Opponents are hitting .315 (28-for-89) against Red Sox RPs with RISP this season -- fourth worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Red Sox RPs have a strikeout rate of 29% vs right-handed batters over the last week -- fourth highest in MLB. Guardians right-handed hitters have struck out 36% against LHP over the last week -- highest in MLB.

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4 MLB Best Bets for Thursday
Action Network Staff•
Apr 18, 2024 UTC

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The Red Sox are just 19-25 (.432) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.

Rafael Devers has an OPS of .858 since the 2022 season -- 14th best in MLB-- 87th Percentile. Josh Fleming has allowed an OPS of .834 (423 PAs) since the 2022 season -- fifth worst among qualified RPs-- second Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 20% (86/442) against Brennan Bernardino since last season -- lowest among in AL; League Avg: 30% -- first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .412 (54-for-131) against Carlos Carrasco's inside fastball since the 2022 season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: .262 -- 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 20% (86/442) against Brennan Bernardino since last season -- 2nd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% -- 0 Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Red Sox are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Red Sox are 44-37 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Red Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 33 of Red Sox' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	87-75	43-38	44-37	53-50	34-23
Guardians	86-76	39-42	47-34	33-36	51-38

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Red Sox	76-82-4	33-45-3	43-37-1	50-50-3	26-30-1
Guardians	69-87-6	37-41-3	32-46-3	34-34-1	34-50-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	89-73	48-33	41-40	61-42	28-29
Guardians	88-74	45-36	43-38	44-25	43-46

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 17th	CLE	W 2-0	-1.5 W	U 8.5	BOS -135
Apr 16th	CLE	L 7-10	+1.5 L	O 8.5	CLE -121
Apr 15th	CLE	L 0-6	-1.5 L	U 9.5	CLE -161
Apr 14th	LAA	W 5-4	-1.5 L	U 10	BOS -133
Apr 13th	LAA	W 7-2	+1.5 W	U 10.5	BOS -105

Tanner Houck
SP
Houck is out with arm
Out
Patrick Sandoval
SP
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
SP
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Jovani Moran
RP
Moran is out with arm
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Carrasco, P	89	5.2	5	2
RC.Smith, P	15	0.1	1	2
LT.Herrin, P	15	1	2	0
RH.Gaddis, P	10	1	1	0
RE.Clase, P	11	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1A.Gimenez, 2B	2-5	0	2
2D.Fry, LF	1-3	1	0
3J.Ramirez, DH	0-4	0	1
4J.Naylor, 1B	1-4	0	1
5T.Freeman, CF	1-3	1	0
6B.Naylor, C	1-4	0	0
7R.Laureano, RF	1-4	1	1
8G.Arias, 3B	0-4	1	0
9B.Rocchio, SS	1-3	1	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LB.Bernardino, P	21	2	2	0
RC.Criswell, P	55	2.1	0	1
LJ.Jacques, P	33	1.2	2	1
RJ.Slaten, P	24	2	1	0
RC.Martin, P	12	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Duran, LF	1-4	2	2
1J.Duran, CF	1-4	2	2
2T.Casas, 1B	1-5	0	0
3W.Abreu, RF	1-4	0	1
4E.Valdez, 2B	1-3	0	0
4R.Refsnyder, PH	0-1	0	0
4R.Refsnyder, LF	0-1	0	0
5C.Wong, DH	0-4	0	0
6D.Hamilton, SS	0-3	0	0
7P.Reyes, 3B	0-4	0	0
8R.McGuire, C	1-3	1	0
9C.Rafaela, CF	1-4	1	0
9C.Rafaela, 2B	1-4	1	0