Guardians vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - April 17, 2024

Guardians at Red Sox

11:10 pm • BSGL

Cleveland Guardians

1-2

0 - 2

Boston Red Sox

1-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Houck			3.12	9-10
B.Lively			3.82	13-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Guardians 1-2	+1.5-176	o8.5-103	+114
Red Sox 1-2	-1.5+145	u8.5-116	-135

Wednesday 11:10 p.m.

April 17, 2024

Fenway ParkBoston

BOS -134

CLE o3.5-135

2.03u

BOS -135 (F5)

0.74u

... mlb f5 low era fade Overall: 154-74-42,68% (ROI:16%) Season:0-2-1,0% (ROI:-67%)

CLE +115

Under 9-115

0.5u

J.Duran o1.5 Total Bases-135

0.37u

Ballpark pal gives this a moderate advantage for Duran and +ev bet with devig odds of -163 giving value to this number

Over 9-110

0.55u

Bet to 9.5 (-104)

Featured Insight
Guardians have a strikeout rate of 24% this season -- eighth highest in MLB. Red Sox have struck out 27% this season -- fourth highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Red Sox RPs have a strikeout rate of 28% vs right-handed batters over the last week -- fifth highest in MLB. Guardians right-handed hitters have struck out 29% against LHP over the last week -- fifth highest in MLB.

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Opening Pitch: Zerillo's MLB Bets for Wednesday
Sean Zerillo•
Apr 17, 2024 UTC

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The Red Sox are just 19-25 (.432) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.

Josh Naylor is batting .309 on breaking pitches from RHP since last season -- eighth best in MLB-- 94th Percentile. Tanner Houck has thrown his slider 40% of the time since last season -- tied for ninth highest among starting pitchers with at least 71 total SL-- 94th Percentile.

Josh Naylor is batting .300 on the road since last season -- tied for 12th best in MLB-- 91st Percentile. Opponents are hitting .295 (74-for-251) against Tanner Houck at home since last season -- 12th worst among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP-- eighth Percentile.

Tanner Houck has thrown his slider 47% of the time (131/280) this season -- highest among in AL; League Avg: 24% -- 100th Percentile.

Ben Lively has an ERA of 6.75 (42.2 IP) against division opponents since last season -- 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 4.29 -- third Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Red Sox are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Red Sox are 44-37 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Red Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 33 of Red Sox' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	87-75	43-38	44-37	53-50	34-23
Guardians	86-76	39-42	47-34	33-36	51-38

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Red Sox	76-82-4	33-45-3	43-37-1	50-50-3	26-30-1
Guardians	69-87-6	37-41-3	32-46-3	34-34-1	34-50-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	89-73	48-33	41-40	61-42	28-29
Guardians	88-74	45-36	43-38	44-25	43-46

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 16th	CLE	L 7-10	+1.5 L	O 8.5	CLE -121
Apr 15th	CLE	L 0-6	-1.5 L	U 9.5	CLE -161
Apr 14th	LAA	W 5-4	-1.5 L	U 10	BOS -133
Apr 13th	LAA	W 7-2	+1.5 W	U 10.5	BOS -105
Apr 12th	LAA	L 0-7	+1.5 L	U 9	LAA -115

Tanner Houck
SP
Houck is out with arm
Out
Patrick Sandoval
SP
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
SP
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Jovani Moran
RP
Moran is out with arm
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Lively, P	79	5	7	2
RN.Sandlin, P	12	1	1	0
RW.Parsons, P	25	2	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	0-4	0	0	0
2A.Gimenez, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Ramirez, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
4J.Naylor, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
5W.Brennan, DH	0-3	0	0	0
6E.Florial, RF	0-3	0	0	0
7G.Arias, CF	1-3	0	0	0
8A.Hedges, C	0-3	0	0	0
9B.Rocchio, SS	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Houck, P		94	9	9	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Duran, LF	2-4	0	0	0
2R.Devers, DH	0-4	0	0	0
3T.Casas, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
4W.Abreu, RF	0-2	0	0	0
5E.Valdez, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
5B.Dalbec, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
6C.Wong, C	2-3	1	1	1
7D.Hamilton, SS	0-3	0	0	0
8P.Reyes, 3B	1-3	1	0	0
8P.Reyes, 2B	1-3	1	0	0
9C.Rafaela, CF	0-3	0	0	0