Guardians vs. Braves Odds & Betting Predictions - April 27, 2024

Guardians at Braves

11:20 pm • BSSO

Cleveland Guardians

4-6

4 - 2

Atlanta Braves

0-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Morton			4.19	8-10
T.Bibee			3.47	12-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Guardians 4-6	+1.5-141	o8.5-117	+142
Braves 0-2	-1.5+120	u8.5-102	-170

Saturday 11:20 p.m.

April 27, 2024

Truist ParkAtlanta

J.Naylor o1.5 Total Bases+150

0.75u

Bet365 4:44.

J.Naylor o0.5 HR+525

0.07u

Under 9-120

0.83u

… windy unders Overall: 911-660-82,58% (ROI:11%) Season:7-2-1,78% (ROI:44%)

C.Morton u5.5 Ks-136

0.68u

ATL -1.5+115

Under 9-115

0.75u

Bet to -120 or 8.5 (-102)

Featured Insight
Guardians have won 72% of their games that have been decided by one run or less this season -- second best in MLB. Braves have won just 26% of their games that have been decided by one run or less this season -- worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Braves hitters have a hard-hit rate of 45% over the last two weeks -- tied for third best in MLB. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of 43% against the Guardians RPs over the last two weeks -- fifth worst in MLB.

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Guardians vs. Braves: 2 Props for Elite Matchup
Nick Martin•
Apr 27, 2024 UTC

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The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .425.

64% of fastball strikeouts for Andres Gimenez are located out of the zone since last season -- third highest in MLB-- 98th Percentile. 55% of Chris Sale fastball strikeouts are located out of the zone since last season -- third highest among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP-- 98th Percentile.

Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 36% of the time (291/801) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% -- 100th Percentile.

Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 43% of the time (1,386/3,208) since last season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 24% (18/75) against Tanner Bibee with two-strikes this season -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 38% -- first Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Braves are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Braves are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Braves are 40-41 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Braves' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 25 of Braves' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16
Guardians	83-78	42-38	41-40	48-50	34-27

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1
Guardians	67-83-11	38-38-4	29-45-7	45-46-7	21-36-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18
Guardians	92-69	50-30	42-39	63-35	28-33

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 26th	CLE	W 6-2	-1.5 W	U 8.5	ATL -270
Apr 24th	MIA	W 4-3	-1.5 L	U 9	ATL -270
Apr 23rd	MIA	W 5-0	-1.5 W	U 8.5	ATL -262
Apr 22nd	MIA	W 3-0	-1.5 W	U 9.5	ATL -218
Apr 21st	TEX	L 4-6	-1.5 L	U 10	TEX -162

Chris Sale
P
Chris Sale (back spasms) scratched Monday. Grant Holmes will start Game 2.
Out
Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out for season with knee
Out for Season
Austin Riley
IF
Riley is out with hand
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Bibee, P	91	7	9	0
RH.Gaddis, P	14	1	0	2
RE.Clase, P	13	1	0	0
RS.Barlow, P	9	1	1	0
RN.Sandlin, P	11	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	2-5	2	0
2A.Gimenez, 2B	2-5	0	0
3J.Ramirez, 3B	1-4	1	1
4J.Naylor, 1B	2-4	0	1
5W.Brennan, RF	0-4	0	0
5R.Laureano, PH	0-0	0	1
5R.Laureano, RF	0-0	0	1
6T.Freeman, CF	0-3	0	0
7E.Florial, DH	0-4	0	0
8B.Naylor, C	1-3	0	0
8D.Fry, PH	0-1	0	0
8D.Fry, C	0-1	0	0
9G.Arias, SS	0-4	1	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Morton, P	91	7	6	0
RJ.Jimenez, P	25	1	0	2
RR.Iglesias, P	11	1	1	0
LD.Lee, P	26	2	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	0-5	0	0
2O.Albies, 2B	1-5	0	0
3A.Riley, 3B	0-5	0	0
4M.Olson, 1B	0-4	0	0
5M.Ozuna, DH	2-3	1	0
6O.Arcia, SS	1-4	0	0
7M.Harris, CF	1-4	1	0
8T.d'Arnaud, C	1-3	0	1
8L.Williams, PR	0-0	0	0
8C.Tromp, C	0-1	0	0
9J.Kelenic, LF	1-4	0	1