Dodgers vs. Twins Odds & Betting Predictions - April 10, 2024

Dodgers at Twins

5:10 pm • MLB Network

Los Angeles Dodgers

12-8

2 - 3

Minnesota Twins

8-10

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Paddack			4.99	5-3
B.Miller			8.52	2-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Dodgers 12-8	-1.5-108	o8.5-118	-170
Twins 8-10	+1.5-112	u8.5-102	+143

Wednesday 5:10 p.m.

April 10, 2024

Target FieldMinneapolis

B.Miller u6.5 Ks-115

0.87u

Bet365 1:04. @The_Oddsmaker

B.Miller u6.5 Ks-115

0.5u

#Tailing @The_Oddsmaker

B.Miller u6.5 Ks-115

Over 8.5-110

B.Miller o6.5 Ks+100

B.Miller o15.5 Outs-130

1.3u

T.Hernández o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs-125

LAD -1.5-107

M.Betts o1.5 Total Bases+100

$50.00

Under 8.5+105

1.05u

Under 9-116

0.5u

B.Miller o6.5 Ks-105

1.05u

B.Miller o15.5 Outs+102

Under 9-115

0.5u

Bet to -119 or 8.5 (+100)

Featured Insight
The Dodgers have allowed just 1.8 runs per game while leading since the 2022 season -- lowest in MLB (270 games). The Twins have scored just 2.0 runs per game while trailing since the 2022 season -- tied for seventh lowest in MLB (223 games).

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Featured Insight
The Twins scored 3.0 runs per game while leading last season -- ninth highest in MLB (117 games). The Dodgers allowed 3.0 runs per game while trailing last season -- ninth highest in MLB (98 games).

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The Dodgers are 49-17 (.742) after a loss since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .487.

Carlos Santana has an OPS of just .714 since the 2022 season -- 14th worst in MLB-- 13th Percentile. Tyler Holton has allowed an OPS of just .558 (387 PAs) since the 2022 season -- ninth best among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

Carlos Correa slugged just .259 on pitches 95 mph or greater last season -- third worst in MLB-- second Percentile. 100% of Bobby Miller fastballs were 95+ MPH last season -- tied for highest among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 100th Percentile.

Bobby Miller has a strikeout rate of 44% (14 SO in 32 PAs) this season -- 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 23% -- 98th Percentile.

Bobby Miller had an average fastball velocity of 99.0 MPH in the 2023 season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 93.6 -- 100th Percentile.

Chris Paddack has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 40% (6/15) of opposing batters this season -- 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 64% -- first Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 15% (6/40) against Chris Paddack this season -- 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 28% -- first Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Twins are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Twins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 43 of Twins' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	69-93	33-48	36-45	46-66	22-26
Dodgers	81-79	42-38	39-41	74-67	7-11

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Twins	83-73-6	43-33-5	40-40-1	63-43-6	18-30
Dodgers	88-67-5	45-31-4	43-36-1	79-57-5	9-9

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	82-80	43-38	39-42	63-49	18-30
Dodgers	98-64	52-28	45-35	91-50	6-12

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 9th	LAD	L 3-6	+1.5 L	O 8	LAD +157
Apr 8th	LAD	L 2-4	+1.5 L	U 8.5	LAD +114
Apr 6th	CLE	L 1-3	-1.5 L	U 8	CLE -170
Apr 4th	CLE	L 2-4	-1.5 L	U 7	CLE -166
Apr 3rd	@MIL	W 7-3	-1.5 W	O 9	MIN -112

Clayton Kershaw
P
Kershaw is out with toe
Out

Michael Kopech
P
Kopech is questionable with arm
Questionable
Michael Grove
P
Grove is out with shoulder
Out
River Ryan
P
Ryan is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Gavin Stone
P
Stone is out for season with shoulder
Out for Season
Emmet Sheehan
P
Sheehan is out with arm
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Miller, P	73	4	4	2
LA.Vesia, P	14	0.2	1	1
RM.Grove, P	31	2.1	4	0
RJ.Kelly, P	18	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Betts, 2B	1-5	1	0	0
1M.Betts, SS	1-5	1	0	0
2S.Ohtani, DH	1-3	0	0	0
3F.Freeman, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
4T.Hernandez, RF	2-4	0	0	1
5M.Muncy, 3B	1-4	1	1	1
6E.Hernandez, LF	1-4	0	0	0
7J.Outman, CF	1-3	0	0	0
7C.Taylor, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8M.Rojas, SS	0-2	0	0	0
8G.Lux, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8G.Lux, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
8W.Smith, PH	1-1	0	0	0
8T.Trammell, PR	0-0	0	0	0
9A.Barnes, C	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Paddack, P	86	4.2	5	2
LK.Funderburk, P	11	0.2	1	0
RJ.Alcala, P	6	0.2	1	0
RB.Stewart, P	13	1	0	0
RG.Jax, P	16	1	3	0
LS.Okert, P	16	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1E.Julien, 2B	3-4	3	2	2
2C.Correa, SS	2-4	0	0	0
3A.Kirilloff, RF	0-3	0	0	0
3W.Castro, PR	0-0	0	0	0
3W.Castro, LF	0-0	0	0	0
4B.Buxton, DH	1-4	0	0	1
5M.Margot, LF	0-3	0	0	0
5M.Margot, RF	0-3	0	0	0
6A.Martin, CF	0-2	0	0	0
7C.Santana, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
8C.Vazquez, C	0-2	0	0	0
9K.Farmer, 3B	0-2	0	0	0