Dodgers vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - April 25, 2023

Dodgers at Pirates

10:35 pm • SportsNet PT

Los Angeles Dodgers

37-21

8 - 7

Pittsburgh Pirates

31-28

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Oviedo			4.31	9-14
N.Syndergaard			5.40	1-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Dodgers 37-21	N/A	N/A	N/A
Pirates 31-28	N/A	N/A	N/A

Tuesday 10:35 p.m.

April 25, 2023

PNC ParkPittsburgh

LAD -115

PIT -105

$1.00

LAD -112

0.5u

LAD -105 (F5)

0.53u

Under 8.5+100

0.5u

LAD -110

0.91u

PIT -105

1.05u

PIT o4+102

1.02u

I appear to be going all-in on PIT tonight, but 102 wRC+ v RHP (126 L7 days) - Syndergaard estimators about 1/2 run below his ERA, but all still above 4.00 - Def -1 Runs Prevented - Bullpen all estimators 4+

J.Oviedo o5.5 Ks+128

24.3 K% (14.7 SwStr%), at least 25 BF all 4 starts - LAD 24.5 K% v RHP

Over 8.5-115

0.87u

PIT o3.5-130

0.5u

Over 0.5+650

LA Dodgers @ PIT Pirates

$10.00

PIT +118 (F5)

0.59u

Bet to +105

PIT +116 (F5)

1.16u

Oviedo's worst estimator (3.86 FIP) is better than Syndergaard's best (4.14 SIERA). LAD have an equal offensive advantage, but home field should actually give PIT a slight edge here.

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Freddie Freeman is batting .302 on breaking pitches from RHP since last season -- fourth best in MLB-- 97th Percentile. Johan Oviedo has thrown his slider 41% of the time since last season -- sixth highest among starting pitchers with at least 73 total SL-- 96th Percentile.

Mookie Betts is slugging .494 on breaking pitches from RHP since last season -- 14th best in MLB-- 89th Percentile. Johan Oviedo has thrown his slider 41% of the time since last season -- sixth highest among starting pitchers with at least 73 total SL-- 96th Percentile.

15 of Noah Syndergaard's 19 strikeouts (79%) have come on changeups this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% -- 100th Percentile.

Noah Syndergaard has had third base stolen on him 7 times since last season -- most in MLB -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 51% (19/37) against Johan Oviedo with runners in scoring position this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 65% (15/23) against Johan Oviedo in two-strike counts this season -- 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% -- 97th Percentile.

The Pirates are 7-3 (.700) when their opponents score in the first inning this season -- 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .419.

The Dodgers are just 1-4 (.200) when moneyline underdogs of less than +150 since the 2021 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .422.

The Dodgers are 1-10 (.091) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season -- tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .039.

The Pirates are 9-1 (.900) when scoring 5 or more runs this season -- 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .801.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Pirates are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Pirates are 15-12 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Pirates' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 21 of Pirates' 32 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	30-29	15-17	15-12	17-17	12-12
Dodgers	31-27	14-16	17-11	31-26	0-1

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Pirates	32-25-2	21-11	11-14-2	22-12	9-13-2
Dodgers	24-34	11-19	13-15	24-33	0-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	31-28	17-15	14-13	20-14	10-14
Dodgers	37-21	19-11	18-10	37-20	0-1

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 23rd	CIN	W 2-0	-	-	-
Apr 22nd	CIN	W 2-1	-	-	-
Apr 21st	CIN	W 4-2	-	-	-
Apr 20th	CIN	W 4-3	-	-	-
Apr 19th	@COL	W 14-3	-	-	-

Blake Snell
SP
Blake Snell has been scratched Friday. Will Klein likely to start a bullpen game.
Out
Enrique Hernandez
1B
Hernandez is out with elbow
Out
Tommy Edman
2B
Edman is out with ankle
Out
Wyatt Mills
RP
Mills is out with elbow
Out
Bobby Miller
SP
Miller is out with shoulder
Out
Landon Knack
SP
Knack is out with undisclosed
Out
Gavin Stone
SP
Stone is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
N.Syndergaard, P	80	4	2	7
LV.Gonzalez, P	14	1	1	0
RE.Phillips, P	10	1	1	0
RY.Almonte, P	16	1	2	0
LC.Ferguson, P	25	1	1	0
RS.Miller, P	12	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Betts, SS	0-5	0	0	0
2F.Freeman, 1B	1-4	1	0	1
3J.Heyward, RF	0-2	1	0	0
3T.Thompson, PH	0-1	0	0	0
3T.Thompson, RF	0-1	0	0	0
4J.Outman, CF	2-5	1	0	0
5M.Vargas, 2B	2-4	1	0	2
6D.Peralta, LF	0-5	1	0	0
7M.Busch, DH	1-3	1	0	1
8C.Taylor, 3B	3-4	2	1	3
9A.Barnes, C	0-3	0	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Oviedo, P	94	5.1	4	4
RR.Stephenson, P	9	0.2	0	0
LJ.Hernandez, P	17	1	2	0
RC.Holderman, P	22	1	1	3
RD. Underwood, P	20	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Hayes, 3B	2-5	1	0	2
2T.Marcano, 2B	1-4	1	0	0
3A.McCutchen, DH	1-5	1	1	3
4C.Santana, 1B	2-5	0	0	1
5J.Suwinski, LF	2-5	0	0	0
6C.Joe, RF	0-5	0	0	0
7R.Castro, SS	1-4	0	0	0
8J.Bae, CF	2-4	2	0	0
9A.Hedges, C	1-2	2	0	1
9M. Mathias, PH	0-0	0	0	0
9J.Delay, C	0-0	0	0	0